Systematic review, meta-analysis and economic modelling of ...

Systematic review, meta-analysis and economic modelling of ... Systematic review, meta-analysis and economic modelling of ...

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DOI: 10.3310/hta17010 Health Technology Assessment 2013 Vol. 17 No. 1Appendix 7 Diagnostic model probabilisticsensitivity analysis resultsProbability of cost-effectiveness in doctor-on-demand scenarioLambda (λ), £ Prob NoT Prob 10% Prob 99th Prob Hi SensProb 10-hourTrop0 1 0 0 0 01000 1 0 0 0 02000 1 0 0 0 03000 0.0054 0.5724 0.2844 0.1378 04000 0 0.4074 0.3349 0.2577 05000 0 0.3186 0.3298 0.3510 0.00066000 0 0.2603 0.3076 0.4298 0.00237000 0 0.2155 0.2834 0.4903 0.01088000 0 0.1799 0.2574 0.5309 0.03189000 0 0.1515 0.2301 0.5585 0.059910,000 0 0.1266 0.2057 0.5751 0.092611,000 0 0.1075 0.1828 0.5813 0.128412,000 0 0.0924 0.1628 0.5792 0.165613,000 0 0.0782 0.1434 0.5771 0.201314,000 0 0.0682 0.1277 0.5701 0.234015,000 0 0.0609 0.1145 0.5628 0.261816,000 0 0.0539 0.1038 0.5501 0.292217,000 0 0.0481 0.0953 0.5395 0.317118,000 0 0.0409 0.0876 0.5281 0.343419,000 0 0.0369 0.0800 0.5167 0.366420,000 0 0.0335 0.0718 0.5041 0.390621,000 0 0.0309 0.0663 0.4933 0.409522,000 0 0.0272 0.0632 0.4815 0.428123,000 0 0.0246 0.0597 0.4678 0.447924,000 0 0.0225 0.0561 0.4568 0.464625,000 0 0.0210 0.0516 0.4454 0.482026,000 0 0.0195 0.0480 0.4363 0.4962© Queen’s Printer and Controller of HMSO 2013. This work was produced by Goodacre et al. under the terms of a commissioning contract issued by the Secretary of Statefor Health. This issue may be freely reproduced for the purposes of private research and study and extracts (or indeed, the full report) may be included in professional journalsprovided that suitable acknowledgement is made and the reproduction is not associated with any form of advertising. Applications for commercial reproduction should beaddressed to: NIHR Journals Library, National Institute for Health Research, Evaluation, Trials and Studies Coordinating Centre, Alpha House, University of Southampton SciencePark, Southampton SO16 7NS, UK.167

DOI: 10.3310/hta17010 Health Technology Assessment 2013 Vol. 17 No. 1Appendix 7 Diagnostic model probabilisticsensitivity <strong>analysis</strong> resultsProbability <strong>of</strong> cost-effectiveness in doctor-on-dem<strong>and</strong> scenarioLambda (λ), £ Prob NoT Prob 10% Prob 99th Prob Hi SensProb 10-hourTrop0 1 0 0 0 01000 1 0 0 0 02000 1 0 0 0 03000 0.0054 0.5724 0.2844 0.1378 04000 0 0.4074 0.3349 0.2577 05000 0 0.3186 0.3298 0.3510 0.00066000 0 0.2603 0.3076 0.4298 0.00237000 0 0.2155 0.2834 0.4903 0.01088000 0 0.1799 0.2574 0.5309 0.03189000 0 0.1515 0.2301 0.5585 0.059910,000 0 0.1266 0.2057 0.5751 0.092611,000 0 0.1075 0.1828 0.5813 0.128412,000 0 0.0924 0.1628 0.5792 0.165613,000 0 0.0782 0.1434 0.5771 0.201314,000 0 0.0682 0.1277 0.5701 0.234015,000 0 0.0609 0.1145 0.5628 0.261816,000 0 0.0539 0.1038 0.5501 0.292217,000 0 0.0481 0.0953 0.5395 0.317118,000 0 0.0409 0.0876 0.5281 0.343419,000 0 0.0369 0.0800 0.5167 0.366420,000 0 0.0335 0.0718 0.5041 0.390621,000 0 0.0309 0.0663 0.4933 0.409522,000 0 0.0272 0.0632 0.4815 0.428123,000 0 0.0246 0.0597 0.4678 0.447924,000 0 0.0225 0.0561 0.4568 0.464625,000 0 0.0210 0.0516 0.4454 0.482026,000 0 0.0195 0.0480 0.4363 0.4962© Queen’s Printer <strong>and</strong> Controller <strong>of</strong> HMSO 2013. This work was produced by Goodacre et al. under the terms <strong>of</strong> a commissioning contract issued by the Secretary <strong>of</strong> Statefor Health. This issue may be freely reproduced for the purposes <strong>of</strong> private research <strong>and</strong> study <strong>and</strong> extracts (or indeed, the full report) may be included in pr<strong>of</strong>essional journalsprovided that suitable acknowledgement is made <strong>and</strong> the reproduction is not associated with any form <strong>of</strong> advertising. Applications for commercial reproduction should beaddressed to: NIHR Journals Library, National Institute for Health Research, Evaluation, Trials <strong>and</strong> Studies Coordinating Centre, Alpha House, University <strong>of</strong> Southampton SciencePark, Southampton SO16 7NS, UK.167

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