Recovery Plan for the Northern Spotted Owl - DRAFT

Recovery Plan for the Northern Spotted Owl - DRAFT Recovery Plan for the Northern Spotted Owl - DRAFT

10.07.2015 Views

25 -- 20-0co/o 15--Da)a0a)10m~ C) 5-0 200 400 600 800 1,200 1,600 2,000Annual rate of production1 11 ....I.... 11.1Figure HA. Timber supply curve derivedfrom Table H.8.2. The Fundamental Economic Benefits of TimberProduction.The market for lumber is national. Lumber and wood products are shippedlong distances and can be imported, primarily from Canada. Because of theavailable supply of lumber from timber grown in other regions and the flexibilityin substitution of other materials for lumber, the level of timber productionin the Pacific Northwest has only a small effect on lumber prices. If the rate ofPS1S0aDa)i0,0.0coC1)0C1)a-Annual rate of productionQFigure H.5. Effect of removing low cost timberffrom timber supply curve.562

timber harvesting in the Pacific Northwest does not much affect nationallumber prices or consumption, it will not substantially affect the rate of consumptionor the benefits that consumers experience from using lumber.If lumber prices and consumption are not much affected by changes in PacificNorthwest timber production, what then is its benefit? Economists call thefundamental economic benefit from development of natural resources theeconomic rent. The economic rent from harvesting a stand of timber is thedifference between the revenues from the sale of the timber harvested and thecosts of all the various resources-labor, materials, energy, capital-used inharvesting and transporting them. As Figure H.6 shows, the price of timber,PT, is determined by the intersection of the supply curve and the demand curvefor timber. This intersection represents the market equilibrium betweensupply and demand.In Figure H.6, the economic rent from the harvesting of Q, board feet per yearsold at PT' the price of timber, is the hatched area between the price line andthe supply curve. The hatched area is what is left when the costs of production,which is represented by the area under the supply curve from the originto Q,, is subtracted from the rectangle that represents the production revenues,PT X Q9.Thus, a good measure of the direct economic benefit of producing timber is thegains the economy realizes by incurring less cost in harvesting and transportinglogs than the price paid for the logs. These benefits are captured in avariety of forms: stumpage fees paid to landowners including the federalgovernment and state governments, lumber company profits, federal incometaxes, and state taxes. Stumpage prices are the best indicators of the economicbenefit of the timber that is cut because competitive bidding for timberharvest contracts forces firms to bid away most of the difference between thevalue of the logs at the millgate and the costs of harvesting and transportation.The timber supply curve in Figure H.6 shows the economic benefit that can berealized from harvesting various portions of the timber resources in a region'sPS0.0(I)00T_DAnnual rate of production 1Figure H.6. Timber supply curve and economic rent563

timber harvesting in <strong>the</strong> Pacific Northwest does not much affect nationallumber prices or consumption, it will not substantially affect <strong>the</strong> rate of consumptionor <strong>the</strong> benefits that consumers experience from using lumber.If lumber prices and consumption are not much affected by changes in PacificNorthwest timber production, what <strong>the</strong>n is its benefit? Economists call <strong>the</strong>fundamental economic benefit from development of natural resources <strong>the</strong>economic rent. The economic rent from harvesting a stand of timber is <strong>the</strong>difference between <strong>the</strong> revenues from <strong>the</strong> sale of <strong>the</strong> timber harvested and <strong>the</strong>costs of all <strong>the</strong> various resources-labor, materials, energy, capital-used inharvesting and transporting <strong>the</strong>m. As Figure H.6 shows, <strong>the</strong> price of timber,PT, is determined by <strong>the</strong> intersection of <strong>the</strong> supply curve and <strong>the</strong> demand curve<strong>for</strong> timber. This intersection represents <strong>the</strong> market equilibrium betweensupply and demand.In Figure H.6, <strong>the</strong> economic rent from <strong>the</strong> harvesting of Q, board feet per yearsold at PT' <strong>the</strong> price of timber, is <strong>the</strong> hatched area between <strong>the</strong> price line and<strong>the</strong> supply curve. The hatched area is what is left when <strong>the</strong> costs of production,which is represented by <strong>the</strong> area under <strong>the</strong> supply curve from <strong>the</strong> originto Q,, is subtracted from <strong>the</strong> rectangle that represents <strong>the</strong> production revenues,PT X Q9.Thus, a good measure of <strong>the</strong> direct economic benefit of producing timber is <strong>the</strong>gains <strong>the</strong> economy realizes by incurring less cost in harvesting and transportinglogs than <strong>the</strong> price paid <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> logs. These benefits are captured in avariety of <strong>for</strong>ms: stumpage fees paid to landowners including <strong>the</strong> federalgovernment and state governments, lumber company profits, federal incometaxes, and state taxes. Stumpage prices are <strong>the</strong> best indicators of <strong>the</strong> economicbenefit of <strong>the</strong> timber that is cut because competitive bidding <strong>for</strong> timberharvest contracts <strong>for</strong>ces firms to bid away most of <strong>the</strong> difference between <strong>the</strong>value of <strong>the</strong> logs at <strong>the</strong> millgate and <strong>the</strong> costs of harvesting and transportation.The timber supply curve in Figure H.6 shows <strong>the</strong> economic benefit that can berealized from harvesting various portions of <strong>the</strong> timber resources in a region'sPS0.0(I)00T_DAnnual rate of production 1Figure H.6. Timber supply curve and economic rent563

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