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Recovery Plan for the Northern Spotted Owl - DRAFT

Recovery Plan for the Northern Spotted Owl - DRAFT

Recovery Plan for the Northern Spotted Owl - DRAFT

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In general, <strong>the</strong> harvest of timber in <strong>the</strong> Pacific Northwest has occurred earlierand more rapidly on private <strong>for</strong>estlands than on public <strong>for</strong>estlands. Significantharvesting of timber in <strong>the</strong> national <strong>for</strong>ests did not begin until after World WarII. Several consequences of this pattern affect <strong>the</strong> preservation of owl habitatand its economic effects. First, because most of <strong>the</strong> private old-growth <strong>for</strong>estlandhas been harvested, most of <strong>the</strong> remaining <strong>for</strong>estland that provides <strong>the</strong>best owl habitat is on federal <strong>for</strong>ests. Second, it was expected that <strong>the</strong> totaltimber harvest in <strong>the</strong> Northwest in <strong>the</strong> next few decades (while <strong>the</strong> regrowth onprivate lands matured) would be sustained by harvest from federal <strong>for</strong>ests.Sustained yield or nondeclining flow concepts being used in setting <strong>the</strong> rate oftimber sales from federal <strong>for</strong>ests were applied to <strong>the</strong> substantial areas of oldgrowthtimber in <strong>the</strong>se <strong>for</strong>ests. The removal of a substantial portion of thistimber inventory from <strong>the</strong> timber resource base will reduce <strong>the</strong> federal harvestlevel during a period when private <strong>for</strong>ests are not capable of sustaining asignificant increase in harvest.IV. Economic and Social Cost In<strong>for</strong>mationConsidered in <strong>the</strong> Formation of <strong>the</strong><strong>Recovery</strong> <strong>Plan</strong>In addition to <strong>the</strong> economic principles discussed earlier, <strong>the</strong> <strong>Recovery</strong> Teamconsidered several types of economic in<strong>for</strong>mation. These included:* The estimated costs of previous owl conservation proposals,* Indicators of <strong>the</strong> dependency and sensitivity of local economies to timberharvest,* Indicators of <strong>the</strong> effects of various elements of <strong>the</strong> recovery plan and o<strong>the</strong>r owlconservation proposals on timber harvest, revenues, and employment,* Estimates of <strong>the</strong> costs and returns of various silvicultural practices.The first two categories of in<strong>for</strong>mation were used to provide a context thatwould facilitate <strong>the</strong> design of lower cost options <strong>for</strong> consideration. The thirdwas used in <strong>the</strong> assessment of <strong>the</strong> various management actions <strong>the</strong> <strong>Recovery</strong>Team considered <strong>for</strong> inclusion in <strong>the</strong> recovery plan. Most of <strong>the</strong> evaluationcriteria were intended to help <strong>the</strong> <strong>Recovery</strong> Team evaluate <strong>the</strong> likely contributionof various options toward recovery. Harvest and employment effects wereincluded to show whe<strong>the</strong>r various options were substantially different in <strong>the</strong>ircosts. The <strong>Recovery</strong> Team also reviewed estimates of <strong>the</strong> costs and revenuesfrom silvicultural practices that might be used to promote development of owlhabitat.The <strong>Recovery</strong> Team also considered in<strong>for</strong>mation on <strong>the</strong> social costs of implementingowl conservation measures from several sociological studies.When <strong>the</strong> <strong>Recovery</strong> Team completed <strong>for</strong>mulation of <strong>the</strong> draft recovery plan, itprepared preliminary estimates of <strong>the</strong> economic costs of its implementation.These are described in section IV. Section IV also provides a discussion of <strong>the</strong>concepts and analytical methods used to estimate <strong>the</strong> indicators of employmentand revenue effects.543

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