Recovery Plan for the Northern Spotted Owl - DRAFT
Recovery Plan for the Northern Spotted Owl - DRAFT Recovery Plan for the Northern Spotted Owl - DRAFT
6. Timber supply curve and economic rent ........................................ 5637. Timber supply curve and consumers' surplus ................................ 5648. Effects of removal of timberland on regional timber market ............. 5659. Economic benefit foregone by reduction in federal timber harvest ... 56610. Price-induced gains in economic benefits from federal timber harvest ... 56711. Price-induced gains in economic benefit from private timber harvest ... 56712. Price-induced losses in benefits from milling .................................. 56813. Total economic losses from reduction in federal timber harvest ....... 56914. Dynamic effects of removal of timberland on regional timber market ... 570Tables1. Summary of previous studiesof economic effects of northern spotted owl conservation ................ 5472. Economic dependency indexes for wood products and otherselected industrial sectors, by economic area and region, 1985 ....... 5523. Job response coefficients for affected counties ............................... 5534. Economic characteristicsof counties affected by critical habitat designation .......................... 5545. High-risk communities in Washington ........................................... 5566. Severely affected communities and counties in Oregon ................... 5577. Derivation of timber supply curve .................................................. 5618. Effect of restricted timber availabilityon derivation of timber supply curve .............................................. 5619. Comparison of federal timber available for harvest,1995, with conservation areas and matrix rules ............................. 57510. Comparison of timber employment levels, 1995, related tofederal timber harvest (with conservation areas and matrix) ........... 57611. State and county timber industry employment effectsof withdrawing designated conservation areas(DCAs) from the timber base ......................................................... 57712. Economic effects of silviculturein designated conservation areas ................................................... 58013. State and county revenue sharing effects of withdrawingdesignated conservation areas (DCAs) from the timber base ............ 581530
I. Introduction and SurnmaryA. Requirements of the Endangered Species ActB. The ProblemThe Endangered Species Act establishes a biological imperative that governsthe formulation of the recovery plan for the northern spotted owl, a speciesthat was placed on the list of threatened species on June 26, 1990. Thebiological imperative requires that the recovery plan provide for the managementof the owl and its habitat in a manner that will result in the conditionsnecessary for its long-term survival without the protections of the act. If this isachieved, the species can be removed from the list. Clearly, biological principlesand information will form the primary basis for designing and evaluating thelikely success of management actions for recovery of the spotted owl.Formulation of a recovery plan for the northern spotted owl encounters manyof the fundamental conflicts that generally arise between economic growth andproductivity, on one hand, and environmental quality, on the other. The rangeand habitat of the owl are extensive and largely coincide with the remainingold-growth forests of the Pacific Northwest and other valuable timberlands withsimilar characteristics. Many of the actions being suggested to protect the owlpopulation would substantially restrict the harvesting of timber from theseforests. They also would prevent harvest from some younger forestlands thatcould become owl habitat in future decades. Although the preservation of owlhabitat will yield a variety of benefits to wildlife and recreation, substantialsocial and economic costs will be caused by the reductions in timber harveststhat will result from implementing such measures during many decades.U.S. Forest Service and Bureau of Land Management (BLM) estimates indicatethat planned timber sales in federal forests in the 1990s would have yieldedannual timber harvests between 3 and 4 billion board feet per year, generatingmore than $1 billion dollars annually in economic benefits and supportingnearly 70,000 jobs in the Pacific Northwest. Projections for some owl preservationplans show that they would cause a substantial decline in production andemployment in the timber and wood products industries in the Pacific Northwest.Timber harvests from federal lands would be cut nearly in half. Estimatesof the costs of such proposals have ranged as high as $25 billion over 50years (Mead et al. 1990) and 40,000 jobs (Beuter et al. 1990). The threat ofsuch economic effects has made the preservation of the owl very controversial.C. The Role of Economic ConsiderationsSecretary of the Interior Manuel Lujan, Jr., asked the Northern Spotted OwlRecovery Team to consider economic effects to the extent consistent with itslegal mandate in formulating a recovery plan for the owl. The decision toconsider economic effects in formulating a recovery plan represents a significantdeparture from past practice. Recovery plans prepared for other specieshave not formally used economic analysis, although the costs of managementactions such as acquisition of habitat have been considered.Several unique challenges confronted the Recovery Team because of theprecedent-setting nature of this effort. On one hand, advocates of forestpreservation and owl conservation expressed concerns that the considerationof economic effects would prevent the recovery plan from being based on531
- Page 496 and 497: Weatherspoon, C.P., and C.N. Skinne
- Page 498 and 499: 482
- Page 500 and 501: 484
- Page 502 and 503: area, structure, ages, location; ne
- Page 504 and 505: Stand AFigure G.2. A--unthmnned Dou
- Page 506 and 507: figure 0.3. Effects of thinning Dou
- Page 508 and 509: II. Review of Natural Vegetation an
- Page 510 and 511: western hemlock, and sometimes othe
- Page 512 and 513: year intervals (Appendix F). With t
- Page 514 and 515: Live crown ratiobecent)6050IStand A
- Page 516 and 517: Basal area growth continued to incr
- Page 518 and 519: technology probably will allow some
- Page 520 and 521: Stand A. No activities (west side 3
- Page 522 and 523: Stand A. No activities (west side o
- Page 524 and 525: acre, 4 to 12 inches in diameter),
- Page 526 and 527: allow redwood sprout clumps maximum
- Page 528 and 529: KAge 15 years - 511 trees per acre,
- Page 530 and 531: 6Stems per acre100 _ Stand A. Natur
- Page 532 and 533: Basal Area(square feetper acre)50 1
- Page 534 and 535: * Opening the canopy in small patch
- Page 536 and 537: Drew, T.J. and J.W. Flewelling. 197
- Page 538 and 539: Miller, R.E.; D.L. Reukema, and R.L
- Page 540 and 541: Tappeiner, J.C., P.M. McDonald, and
- Page 542 and 543: 526
- Page 544 and 545: 528
- Page 548 and 549: scientifically credible biological
- Page 550 and 551: E. Summary of Preliminary Estimates
- Page 552 and 553: II. General Economic Principles for
- Page 554 and 555: practices may be able to show how s
- Page 556 and 557: Economic patterns show the efficien
- Page 558 and 559: The sustainable yield concept that
- Page 560 and 561: A. Previously Estimated Economic Co
- Page 562 and 563: County receipts were estimated to d
- Page 564 and 565: B. Potential Social Costs of Owl Co
- Page 566 and 567: The contrast between the behavior d
- Page 568 and 569: 0U1 n1nDTable H.2. Economic depende
- Page 570 and 571: cḻlTable H.4. Economic characteri
- Page 572 and 573: An analysis completed by the State
- Page 574 and 575: V. Preliminary Evaluation of the Ec
- Page 576 and 577: 25-° 20/0M 15-a)CLU)0 10-0CL 5 -0)
- Page 578 and 579: 25 -- 20-0co/o 15--Da)a0a)10m~ C) 5
- Page 580 and 581: forestlands. The costs of productio
- Page 582 and 583: In Figure H.8, the equilibrium betw
- Page 584 and 585: foregone and the way they will save
- Page 586 and 587: The income created by the purchase
- Page 588 and 589: Two concepts are useful for underst
- Page 590 and 591: y an estimate of the price that wou
- Page 592 and 593: Table H.10. Comparison of timber em
- Page 594 and 595: of the second year. The same assump
I. Introduction and SurnmaryA. Requirements of <strong>the</strong> Endangered Species ActB. The ProblemThe Endangered Species Act establishes a biological imperative that governs<strong>the</strong> <strong>for</strong>mulation of <strong>the</strong> recovery plan <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> nor<strong>the</strong>rn spotted owl, a speciesthat was placed on <strong>the</strong> list of threatened species on June 26, 1990. Thebiological imperative requires that <strong>the</strong> recovery plan provide <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> managementof <strong>the</strong> owl and its habitat in a manner that will result in <strong>the</strong> conditionsnecessary <strong>for</strong> its long-term survival without <strong>the</strong> protections of <strong>the</strong> act. If this isachieved, <strong>the</strong> species can be removed from <strong>the</strong> list. Clearly, biological principlesand in<strong>for</strong>mation will <strong>for</strong>m <strong>the</strong> primary basis <strong>for</strong> designing and evaluating <strong>the</strong>likely success of management actions <strong>for</strong> recovery of <strong>the</strong> spotted owl.Formulation of a recovery plan <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> nor<strong>the</strong>rn spotted owl encounters manyof <strong>the</strong> fundamental conflicts that generally arise between economic growth andproductivity, on one hand, and environmental quality, on <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r. The rangeand habitat of <strong>the</strong> owl are extensive and largely coincide with <strong>the</strong> remainingold-growth <strong>for</strong>ests of <strong>the</strong> Pacific Northwest and o<strong>the</strong>r valuable timberlands withsimilar characteristics. Many of <strong>the</strong> actions being suggested to protect <strong>the</strong> owlpopulation would substantially restrict <strong>the</strong> harvesting of timber from <strong>the</strong>se<strong>for</strong>ests. They also would prevent harvest from some younger <strong>for</strong>estlands thatcould become owl habitat in future decades. Although <strong>the</strong> preservation of owlhabitat will yield a variety of benefits to wildlife and recreation, substantialsocial and economic costs will be caused by <strong>the</strong> reductions in timber harveststhat will result from implementing such measures during many decades.U.S. Forest Service and Bureau of Land Management (BLM) estimates indicatethat planned timber sales in federal <strong>for</strong>ests in <strong>the</strong> 1990s would have yieldedannual timber harvests between 3 and 4 billion board feet per year, generatingmore than $1 billion dollars annually in economic benefits and supportingnearly 70,000 jobs in <strong>the</strong> Pacific Northwest. Projections <strong>for</strong> some owl preservationplans show that <strong>the</strong>y would cause a substantial decline in production andemployment in <strong>the</strong> timber and wood products industries in <strong>the</strong> Pacific Northwest.Timber harvests from federal lands would be cut nearly in half. Estimatesof <strong>the</strong> costs of such proposals have ranged as high as $25 billion over 50years (Mead et al. 1990) and 40,000 jobs (Beuter et al. 1990). The threat ofsuch economic effects has made <strong>the</strong> preservation of <strong>the</strong> owl very controversial.C. The Role of Economic ConsiderationsSecretary of <strong>the</strong> Interior Manuel Lujan, Jr., asked <strong>the</strong> Nor<strong>the</strong>rn <strong>Spotted</strong> <strong>Owl</strong><strong>Recovery</strong> Team to consider economic effects to <strong>the</strong> extent consistent with itslegal mandate in <strong>for</strong>mulating a recovery plan <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> owl. The decision toconsider economic effects in <strong>for</strong>mulating a recovery plan represents a significantdeparture from past practice. <strong>Recovery</strong> plans prepared <strong>for</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r specieshave not <strong>for</strong>mally used economic analysis, although <strong>the</strong> costs of managementactions such as acquisition of habitat have been considered.Several unique challenges confronted <strong>the</strong> <strong>Recovery</strong> Team because of <strong>the</strong>precedent-setting nature of this ef<strong>for</strong>t. On one hand, advocates of <strong>for</strong>estpreservation and owl conservation expressed concerns that <strong>the</strong> considerationof economic effects would prevent <strong>the</strong> recovery plan from being based on531