Recovery Plan for the Northern Spotted Owl - DRAFT

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6. Timber supply curve and economic rent ........................................ 5637. Timber supply curve and consumers' surplus ................................ 5648. Effects of removal of timberland on regional timber market ............. 5659. Economic benefit foregone by reduction in federal timber harvest ... 56610. Price-induced gains in economic benefits from federal timber harvest ... 56711. Price-induced gains in economic benefit from private timber harvest ... 56712. Price-induced losses in benefits from milling .................................. 56813. Total economic losses from reduction in federal timber harvest ....... 56914. Dynamic effects of removal of timberland on regional timber market ... 570Tables1. Summary of previous studiesof economic effects of northern spotted owl conservation ................ 5472. Economic dependency indexes for wood products and otherselected industrial sectors, by economic area and region, 1985 ....... 5523. Job response coefficients for affected counties ............................... 5534. Economic characteristicsof counties affected by critical habitat designation .......................... 5545. High-risk communities in Washington ........................................... 5566. Severely affected communities and counties in Oregon ................... 5577. Derivation of timber supply curve .................................................. 5618. Effect of restricted timber availabilityon derivation of timber supply curve .............................................. 5619. Comparison of federal timber available for harvest,1995, with conservation areas and matrix rules ............................. 57510. Comparison of timber employment levels, 1995, related tofederal timber harvest (with conservation areas and matrix) ........... 57611. State and county timber industry employment effectsof withdrawing designated conservation areas(DCAs) from the timber base ......................................................... 57712. Economic effects of silviculturein designated conservation areas ................................................... 58013. State and county revenue sharing effects of withdrawingdesignated conservation areas (DCAs) from the timber base ............ 581530
I. Introduction and SurnmaryA. Requirements of the Endangered Species ActB. The ProblemThe Endangered Species Act establishes a biological imperative that governsthe formulation of the recovery plan for the northern spotted owl, a speciesthat was placed on the list of threatened species on June 26, 1990. Thebiological imperative requires that the recovery plan provide for the managementof the owl and its habitat in a manner that will result in the conditionsnecessary for its long-term survival without the protections of the act. If this isachieved, the species can be removed from the list. Clearly, biological principlesand information will form the primary basis for designing and evaluating thelikely success of management actions for recovery of the spotted owl.Formulation of a recovery plan for the northern spotted owl encounters manyof the fundamental conflicts that generally arise between economic growth andproductivity, on one hand, and environmental quality, on the other. The rangeand habitat of the owl are extensive and largely coincide with the remainingold-growth forests of the Pacific Northwest and other valuable timberlands withsimilar characteristics. Many of the actions being suggested to protect the owlpopulation would substantially restrict the harvesting of timber from theseforests. They also would prevent harvest from some younger forestlands thatcould become owl habitat in future decades. Although the preservation of owlhabitat will yield a variety of benefits to wildlife and recreation, substantialsocial and economic costs will be caused by the reductions in timber harveststhat will result from implementing such measures during many decades.U.S. Forest Service and Bureau of Land Management (BLM) estimates indicatethat planned timber sales in federal forests in the 1990s would have yieldedannual timber harvests between 3 and 4 billion board feet per year, generatingmore than $1 billion dollars annually in economic benefits and supportingnearly 70,000 jobs in the Pacific Northwest. Projections for some owl preservationplans show that they would cause a substantial decline in production andemployment in the timber and wood products industries in the Pacific Northwest.Timber harvests from federal lands would be cut nearly in half. Estimatesof the costs of such proposals have ranged as high as $25 billion over 50years (Mead et al. 1990) and 40,000 jobs (Beuter et al. 1990). The threat ofsuch economic effects has made the preservation of the owl very controversial.C. The Role of Economic ConsiderationsSecretary of the Interior Manuel Lujan, Jr., asked the Northern Spotted OwlRecovery Team to consider economic effects to the extent consistent with itslegal mandate in formulating a recovery plan for the owl. The decision toconsider economic effects in formulating a recovery plan represents a significantdeparture from past practice. Recovery plans prepared for other specieshave not formally used economic analysis, although the costs of managementactions such as acquisition of habitat have been considered.Several unique challenges confronted the Recovery Team because of theprecedent-setting nature of this effort. On one hand, advocates of forestpreservation and owl conservation expressed concerns that the considerationof economic effects would prevent the recovery plan from being based on531
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I 1.2:Sp 6/draftRecovery Plan for t
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List of FiguresTable 4.1 Abbreviate
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Recovery ObjectiveSecretary of the
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Management Rules for Designated Con
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Monitoring and Research ProgramThe
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Chapter IIntroduction1
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"Threatened species" means a specie
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B. The Interagency Scientific Commi
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lished works and many government do
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II.A. Natural History of theNorther
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I- \IzXelT - - -.11 I..., ... I.."
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spring. Territories probably are sm
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Northern goshawks (Accipiter gentil
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also use a variety of nest sites in
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Home Range SizeHome range is define
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Table 2.2. Median amounts of old-gr
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3. Life Historycannot reject the hy
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Dispersal1984, Thomas et al. 1990,
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4. ConclusionOur knowledge of the n
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Ca n a d aEastern Washington Cascad
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Table 2.3. Estimated spotted owl ha
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Table 2.4. Significant threats to t
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Table 2.5. Results of surveys for s
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isolated. In these provinces, small
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centers for 30 to 35 spotted owl te
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Southwest Washington occupies a key
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Distribution of Habitat and Populat
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Province Isolation. The eastern Was
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were in suitable habitat condition.
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Estimated acres of forest landbase:
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owned and contain little suitable h
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Vulnerability to Natural Disturbanc
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Douglas-fir/hardwood types, the lat
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miles from the contiguous populatio
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In comparison, the southern part of
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Sacramento River Canyon now provide
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On January 11, 1980, there was an a
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vation Strategy for the Northern Sp
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transfer of one area to the Grand R
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The BLM Spokane (Washington) Distri
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3. National Park ServiceThe followi
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The results of a consultation are s
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- Since landowners already face cut
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4. Cumulative Effects AssessmentThe
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Assessment, Planning, and Monitorin
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Spotted owl nesting sites and activ
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Coastal Oregon Productivity Enhance
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including wildlife. In other cases,
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Currently, the Yakima Indian Nation
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where timber harvest is limited to
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III.A. Recovery Objective and Delis
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4. The population is unlikely to ne
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Needs of other species should be co
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years. The strategy of managing for
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't0
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Finally, the plan recommends mainta
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A total of 1,181 pairs of owls has
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DKnown owlsin the OregonprovincesKn
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mologists, and representatives of o
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this prey species is an appropriate
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After 100 years residual snags will
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2. Fuelwood Gathering. If allowed,
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The application of prescriptions A,
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owls. (Refer to tables in section I
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PRESCRIPTION D -RETAIN OWLS IN MANA
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126
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DCA Management Plans.The recovery p
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Endangered Species Act) or through
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6. Costs to landowners should be re
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The real or perceived disincentives
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authority of the public body to ent
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* Use the recovery plan's recommend
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140
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Supplemental pair areas - Habitat d
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Numbers of owls currently are estim
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Biological goals and implementation
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ning. Also, several unsurveyed area
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Owl pairsKnown owlsin the province3
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- Initiate long-range planning effo
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Table 3.8. Summary comments on the
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from nonfederal lands are needed to
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Eastern Washington Cascades Provinc
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(Owl pairs140 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
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habitat in DCA WD- 16. Approximatel
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Table 3.12. Summary comments on the
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Ttllwrnook/Astoria area. Provide su
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connectivity between key DCAs. This
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ITable 3.14. Summary comments on th
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crest of the Cascade Mountains. The
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sites on federal lands (figure 3.21
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Owl pairsL I 350- _ _ . ...........
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DCAs, often combined with adjacent
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Owl pairsLiKnown owlsin the provinc
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nesting and roosting habitat until
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Option 3: Management of clusters: g
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Table 3.21. Summary of acreage and
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Owl pairs -Known owlsin the provinc
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and to within 0.5 miles of the acti
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Spotted owls have been found at 86
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their distance from other sites. Ar
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* Recommend population and habitat
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away in some or all of the range. D
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4. What are the population dynamics
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If the monitoring and research prog
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lowlands, eastern Oregon Cascades,
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210
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Stepdown Outline1. Management Tasks
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Table 4.1 Abbreviated Cost TableThe
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continued-TaskPriorityResp. PartyCo
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218
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220
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and the number of invertebrate anim
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Table 5.2. Numbers of other species
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Amphibians and Reptiles: Larch Moun
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228
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230
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Barrows, C. W. 1980. Feeding ecolog
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Clark, R. J., D. G. Smith, and L. H
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Franklin, A. B., J. A. Blakesley, a
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Harestad, A. S., and F. L. Bunnell.
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Lundquist, R. W. and J. M. Mariani.
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O'Halloran, K. 1989. Spotted owl in
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Solis, D. M. 1980. Habitat use by n
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Young, K. D., A. B. Franklin, and J
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248
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250
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Table A.1. General approaches for e
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complete count of the territorial b
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Table A.3. Powera for various desig
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Table A.4. Illustration of a Markov
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Obviously, these statements hold on
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Table A.6. Reliability of trend est
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Demographic AnalysisAs noted earlie
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the estimate (using the simple equa
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however, we know little about the b
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Table A.8. Summary of information n
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predict the power achieved by diffe
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Other studiestached. If dispersing
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impractical at present. We describe
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Conclusionsthe year effect can be i
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280
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282
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284
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owls. Consequently, the issue of wh
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Use of the informationAssessments a
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Recent LiteratureWe might begin by
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Kerms (1989) measured habitat struc
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Hamer (pers. comm.) described 11 ne
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Table B.3. Percent hardwoods in the
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Table B.5. Comparison of habitats u
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Table B.8. Tree density (number of
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and numbers of trees, and percent o
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Under this hypothesis, owl fitness
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suitable habitat for that region (m
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ResultsDiscussionspotted owl habita
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__Discussiondata from 41 sites in t
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Recommendations for Future Research
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314
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Hamer, T. 1988. Home range size of
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318
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320
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Parameter Estimatesfor Individual S
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provided in Table C. 5. Study of th
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Table C.6. Summary of statistics re
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3. ConclusionsThis source of bias i
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330
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Gray Wolf .........................
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formed during the initial meeting t
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provide habitat for the numerous sp
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The ApproachA committee of the Reco
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The List of Threatened and Endanger
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Mammalsoldest trees in a stand. Eig
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ABBFigure D. 1. Distribution of: a)
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KTable D.3. A list of threatened an
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Fishestheir dispersal capabilities
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OlympicNorthcoastalRockyMountainSou
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continued-StatusabState Considered
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continued-SpeciesColumbia sidebandM
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endemic to the Pacific Northwest).
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------continued-SpeciesRhyacophila
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continued-SpeciesFed3tatusa bStateW
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StatusasbOld ForestState Associatio
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Summaryspores (Maser et al. 1978b).
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Biology of Owl Prey, Older Forest A
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Woodrats.-The dusky-footed woodrat
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and are less restrictive under stat
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Stock concept.-The term "stock" was
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Table D.10. List of fish stocks of
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continued-Steelhead-owipu Sea-runTr
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continued-BasinHoodWillametteRogueS
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Table D.13. Washington streams (or
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inland distribution currently decre
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nesting territories in the three st
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However, little is known about the
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Fisher (Martes penncmti)Distributio
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at one time supported marten popula
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each population of these animals is
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species also is found under the bar
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few meters from water after heavy r
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In considering the needs of other s
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Barrows, C. W. 1981. Roost selectio
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Clark, T. W., E. Anderson, C. Dougl
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Hamer, T. E. 1991. Habitat relation
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Mannan, R. W., E. C. Meslow, and H.
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Oakley, A. L., Collins, J. A., Ever
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Solis, D. M. 1983. Summer habitat e
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Washington Natural Heritage Program
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414
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f. Wilderness.g. Livestock grazing.
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I. Monitoring.1. Northern spotted o
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420
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here will reduce some of that habit
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424
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426
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Selection of Forest TypesAt the tim
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eceive as little as 25 inches. Disc
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A. FireThe combination and interact
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Table F.4. Important forest insects
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continued-Common Name Causal Agent
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D. DiseasesForest diseases in the P
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III. Forest Protection in theWest C
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120 100200 500I~~~~.K446Figure F.4.
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InsectsDiseasesInsects in this subr
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__hardwoods are immune. Shade toler
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pests (Schowalter 1988). Black stai
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tion and initial attack. If manipul
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log and snag density was likely low
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B. Management Effects on StandsMana
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units (underburning or lop/scatter)
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In the higher elevation White Fir a
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growth often increases (Reinhardt a
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50rcc4*0-cC)2M CmZ13010-yearI ,...*
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In the East Cascades subregion fore
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The introduced disease, white pine
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VI. Conclusionsmortality will resul
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Baker, F.A. 1988. The influence of
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Habeck, J.R. 1990. Old-growth ponde
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Perry, D.A., and J.G. Borchers. 199
Page 496 and 497: Weatherspoon, C.P., and C.N. Skinne
Page 498 and 499: 482
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Page 502 and 503: area, structure, ages, location; ne
Page 504 and 505: Stand AFigure G.2. A--unthmnned Dou
Page 506 and 507: figure 0.3. Effects of thinning Dou
Page 508 and 509: II. Review of Natural Vegetation an
Page 510 and 511: western hemlock, and sometimes othe
Page 512 and 513: year intervals (Appendix F). With t
Page 514 and 515: Live crown ratiobecent)6050IStand A
Page 516 and 517: Basal area growth continued to incr
Page 518 and 519: technology probably will allow some
Page 520 and 521: Stand A. No activities (west side 3
Page 522 and 523: Stand A. No activities (west side o
Page 524 and 525: acre, 4 to 12 inches in diameter),
Page 526 and 527: allow redwood sprout clumps maximum
Page 528 and 529: KAge 15 years - 511 trees per acre,
Page 530 and 531: 6Stems per acre100 _ Stand A. Natur
Page 532 and 533: Basal Area(square feetper acre)50 1
Page 534 and 535: * Opening the canopy in small patch
Page 536 and 537: Drew, T.J. and J.W. Flewelling. 197
Page 538 and 539: Miller, R.E.; D.L. Reukema, and R.L
Page 540 and 541: Tappeiner, J.C., P.M. McDonald, and
Page 542 and 543: 526
Page 544 and 545: 528
Page 548 and 549: scientifically credible biological
Page 550 and 551: E. Summary of Preliminary Estimates
Page 552 and 553: II. General Economic Principles for
Page 554 and 555: practices may be able to show how s
Page 556 and 557: Economic patterns show the efficien
Page 558 and 559: The sustainable yield concept that
Page 560 and 561: A. Previously Estimated Economic Co
Page 562 and 563: County receipts were estimated to d
Page 564 and 565: B. Potential Social Costs of Owl Co
Page 566 and 567: The contrast between the behavior d
Page 568 and 569: 0U1 n1nDTable H.2. Economic depende
Page 570 and 571: cḻlTable H.4. Economic characteri
Page 572 and 573: An analysis completed by the State
Page 574 and 575: V. Preliminary Evaluation of the Ec
Page 576 and 577: 25-° 20/0M 15-a)CLU)0 10-0CL 5 -0)
Page 578 and 579: 25 -- 20-0co/o 15--Da)a0a)10m~ C) 5
Page 580 and 581: forestlands. The costs of productio
Page 582 and 583: In Figure H.8, the equilibrium betw
Page 584 and 585: foregone and the way they will save
Page 586 and 587: The income created by the purchase
Page 588 and 589: Two concepts are useful for underst
Page 590 and 591: y an estimate of the price that wou
Page 592 and 593: Table H.10. Comparison of timber em
Page 594 and 595: of the second year. The same assump
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are generally much lower than for c
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582
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studies at University of Washington
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586
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Most significant late successionall
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to evaluate options. Information in
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Q0Table 1.1. Estimated acres and ow
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soTable 1.3. Estimated acres and ow
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01CDarTable 1.5. Size class distrib
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Table 1.8. Frequency distribution o
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Literature CitedThomas, J.W., E.D.
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602
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- The overlap of home ranges among
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Table J.2. Acreage and owl numbers
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continuedDCA Land AcreageIdent. Sta
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Table J.9. Acrea ?e and owl numbers
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continued-DCA LandIdent. StatusAcre
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-DCAIdent.LandStatusAcreageNRF Tota
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626
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Experience Includes: Assistant Dire
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Education: B.S. in forestry from Or
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Team SupportCharles Bruce, Oregon D
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continued-1 5-24-91 Other SpeciesSu
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continued-9-16 thru9-20-919-19-91Sp
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Perry, D. 1991. The ecology of coar
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2mandate the achievement of recover
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642
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644
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Aspect - the direction a slope face
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Congressionally classified and desi
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Empirical - derived from direct obs
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Hummocky - a landscape characterize
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Mixed conifer - as used in this doc
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Potential habitat - a stand of tree
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Sensitive species - those species t
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Take -Uunder the Endangered Species
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wild, scenic, or recreational by an
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Recovery Plan for the Northern Spotted Owl - DRAFT

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