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Recovery Plan for the Northern Spotted Owl - DRAFT

Recovery Plan for the Northern Spotted Owl - DRAFT

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Use of <strong>the</strong> in<strong>for</strong>mationAssessments and predictions about <strong>the</strong> suitability of habitats <strong>for</strong> owls generallyinvolve three steps:1. Define habitats and habitat categories.2. Determine suitability of each habitat category.3. Evaluate basis <strong>for</strong> extrapolating findings to o<strong>the</strong>r populations.The six types of in<strong>for</strong>mation identified earlier play different roles in <strong>the</strong>se threesteps (Table B. 1). Descriptive in<strong>for</strong>mation about <strong>the</strong> structure of utilized sitesand amounts of habitat within home ranges are particularly helpful in defininghabitat categories. Knowing <strong>the</strong> amount of habitat present in home rangesalso provides some indication of which landscapes provide suitable conditions.Correlational in<strong>for</strong>mation provided by studies of which habitats are preferred<strong>for</strong> roosting and <strong>for</strong>aging, and by studies of density and demographic rates, aremost useful in measuring <strong>the</strong> suitability of existing habitats. Correlationalstudies also provide some assistance in defining new habitats and decidinghow much <strong>the</strong> results can be extrapolated to o<strong>the</strong>r populations of interest.Functional studies, in which causes are identified and distinguished fromcorrelates, provide a good basis <strong>for</strong> measuring suitability and an excellent basisboth <strong>for</strong> defining new habitat categories and <strong>for</strong> evaluating whe<strong>the</strong>r, or howwell, <strong>the</strong> results of studies can be extrapolated to o<strong>the</strong>r populations. A fewexamples illustrating <strong>the</strong>se generalizations and showing how studies of habitatsuitability complement and rein<strong>for</strong>ce each o<strong>the</strong>r are given later. More detaileddiscussions of how each type of in<strong>for</strong>mation can be used in <strong>the</strong> recoveryprogram are provided in subsequent sections.Early surveys <strong>for</strong> owls revealed that density was high in areas with plentifulold-growth and low elsewhere. These descriptive and correlational results weresupplemented by functional studies that sought to identify <strong>the</strong> specific resourcesneeded by owls that were present in old-growth and absent in o<strong>the</strong>rareas. The results of <strong>the</strong> correlative and functional studies convinced mostinvestigators that densities would remain low outside of old-growth. Since oldgrowthwas expected to decline in abundance, this led to <strong>the</strong> prediction thatoverall populations would decline. In this example, <strong>the</strong> parameter indicatinghabitat suitability was abundance, and <strong>the</strong> habitat categories were old-growthand o<strong>the</strong>r. The critical assumption on which <strong>the</strong> prediction was based wasthat density would remain low outside of old-growth areas.The landscape model discussed in Appendix A permits <strong>the</strong> definition of up tosix habitat types, and <strong>the</strong> specification of various "rules" that define behaviorand success of owls within each type. These rules are assumed to remain <strong>the</strong>same within each type through time. The parameters are thus <strong>the</strong> demographicrates and o<strong>the</strong>r rules followed by <strong>the</strong> model, and <strong>the</strong> habitats aredefined by <strong>the</strong> investigator. Both correlative and functional studies are neededto define <strong>the</strong> habitat types, estimate parameter values within <strong>the</strong>m, andevaluate <strong>the</strong> assumption that parameter values will be similar in study areasand areas about which inferences are made using <strong>the</strong> landscape model.<strong>Owl</strong>s are sometimes present in areas where most of <strong>the</strong> trees are fairly young(e.g., 50 to 80 years old), but some older and larger trees are present (e.g.,Thomas 1990:184). This leads to <strong>the</strong> hypo<strong>the</strong>sis that if some large trees wereleft during harvest, density of owls might increase substantially when <strong>the</strong>regenerating stand reached an age of 50 to 80 years. In this prediction <strong>the</strong>habitat is 50 to 80-year-old stands with remnant large trees, <strong>the</strong> parameterindicating suitability is density, and <strong>the</strong> primary assumption is that density infuture habitats of this type will be similar to <strong>the</strong> existing habitats that havebeen studied. Descriptive and correlational studies were useful in developing288

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