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BBVA in 2012

BBVA in 2012

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Overall risk profileAttributable economic risk capital (ERC) consumption reached €36,062m as of December 31,<strong>2012</strong>, an <strong>in</strong>crease of 29.4% over 2011 figures, us<strong>in</strong>g comparable data 1 . The ma<strong>in</strong> risk cont<strong>in</strong>ues tobe credit risk on portfolios orig<strong>in</strong>ated <strong>in</strong> the Group branch networks from its own customer base.This accounted for 58.3% of the total with a year-on-year <strong>in</strong>crease of 15.8%, due ma<strong>in</strong>ly to the<strong>in</strong>corporation of Unnim, the <strong>in</strong>creased credit risk on the trad<strong>in</strong>g floors of the Assets and LiabilitiesCommittee (ALCO) and the recalibration of parameters carried out <strong>in</strong> Spa<strong>in</strong>. The ERC for equityreaches a relative weight of 19.4%, up 126.5%, as the calculation of the goodwill generated by stakes<strong>in</strong> the credit <strong>in</strong>stitutions mak<strong>in</strong>g up the Group has been <strong>in</strong>cluded <strong>in</strong> its estimate. Structural <strong>in</strong>terestrateand exchange-rate ERC is up 58.7%, due to the impact of the <strong>in</strong>clusion of the goodwill on theforeign-exchange risk. The relative weight of ERC from market operations <strong>in</strong>creases after post<strong>in</strong>g a78.4% <strong>in</strong>crease due to the <strong>in</strong>corporation of the elements of Basel 2.5 (stress VaR and IRC).3<strong>BBVA</strong> Group’s economic risk capital. Distribution by type of risk(Data <strong>in</strong> attributable terms 31-12-<strong>2012</strong>)Others 6%Operational 6%Market 3%Structural 8%Spa<strong>in</strong> 49%Eurasia 9%Mexico 17%Equity 19%South America 12%The United States 10%Credit 58% Corporate Activities 3%In the breakdown by area, Spa<strong>in</strong> registers an ERC <strong>in</strong>crease of 14.7% due to the <strong>in</strong>corporation ofUnnim, the recalibration of the models <strong>in</strong>cluded <strong>in</strong> mid-year, the <strong>in</strong>creased credit risk on the trad<strong>in</strong>gfloors of the ALCO and the <strong>in</strong>creased market risk result<strong>in</strong>g from the application of Basel 2.5. Eurasiagrows 8.5% over the previous year due to the trend <strong>in</strong> the credit risk parameters <strong>in</strong> Turkey andthe <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> the value of the stake <strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>a Citic Bank (CNCB), which <strong>in</strong>creases equity risk. InMexico, ERC is up 13.8%, due ma<strong>in</strong>ly, as regards credit risk, to the recalibration of the parametersand lend<strong>in</strong>g growth. As for market risk, ERC <strong>in</strong> Mexico is up due to the application of the Basel 2.5criteria. United States reduces its relative weight <strong>in</strong> global ERC, which is down 10.2% year-on-yeardue to the improved credit risk profile <strong>in</strong> the area. ERC <strong>in</strong> South America grows 12.5%, basically asa result of the general and strong lend<strong>in</strong>g growth <strong>in</strong> all the countries and the appreciation of thecurrencies <strong>in</strong> the region.4<strong>BBVA</strong> Group’s economic risk capital. Distribution by bus<strong>in</strong>ess area(Data <strong>in</strong> attributable terms 31-12-<strong>2012</strong>)Corporate Activities 22%Spa<strong>in</strong> 34%The United States 8%South America 9%Mexico 14%Eurasia 13%In conclusion, the Group’s recurrent risk-adjusted return (RAR), i.e., that generated from customerbus<strong>in</strong>ess and exclud<strong>in</strong>g one-offs, stood at 18.9%, rema<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g at high levels <strong>in</strong> all bus<strong>in</strong>ess areas.(1) The growth rates presented are calculated aga<strong>in</strong>st the close as of the same time <strong>in</strong> December 2011 (€27,874m), which <strong>in</strong>cludesthe annual effects of the updates carried out at the end of the year (Mexico, South America and The United States) <strong>in</strong> the creditrisk parameters and the revision of other risk models, as compared to the official figure for <strong>2012</strong> (€36,062m).92 Risk management

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