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BBVA in 2012

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The eas<strong>in</strong>g of f<strong>in</strong>ancial tensions <strong>in</strong> the clos<strong>in</strong>g months of <strong>2012</strong> has prompted a reduction of thefunds requested from the ECB to €313,109m <strong>in</strong> December, after a high of €388,736m <strong>in</strong> August.15The health of thebank<strong>in</strong>g systemcont<strong>in</strong>ues toimprove <strong>in</strong> theUnited StatesIn Lat<strong>in</strong> America,the sector rema<strong>in</strong>svery soundIn Turkey therehas been a notablegrowth <strong>in</strong> creditwhile NPA ratioshave rema<strong>in</strong>edlow. Reformscont<strong>in</strong>ue <strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>aIn the United States, the bank<strong>in</strong>g system cont<strong>in</strong>ues to recover, and there are now fewer<strong>in</strong>stitutions fac<strong>in</strong>g problems. The NPA ratio of commercial banks has decreased over the courseof <strong>2012</strong> <strong>in</strong> all segments, although it flared up slightly <strong>in</strong> the residential real-estate segment <strong>in</strong> thethird quarter. Lend<strong>in</strong>g conditions are likely to rema<strong>in</strong> strict <strong>in</strong> 2013, particularly for residentialloans, <strong>in</strong> light of the high f<strong>in</strong>ancial burden of households.In Mexico, the f<strong>in</strong>ancial system is <strong>in</strong> an enviable situation, with a capital ratio far above therequired m<strong>in</strong>imum of 10%. As a result, it will be one of the first countries to adopt the Basel IIIaccords. Lend<strong>in</strong>g is grow<strong>in</strong>g strongly, and has reported 20 successive months of double-digityear-on-year growth. Growth is evident <strong>in</strong> all components of bank lend<strong>in</strong>g, and this dynamicmood is expected to cont<strong>in</strong>ue due to the favorable macroeconomic environment. Growth hasslowed <strong>in</strong> traditional customer funds, due to the less dynamic role played by time deposits <strong>in</strong> thelight of the strong growth <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment companies (SID, non-bank<strong>in</strong>g sav<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>in</strong>struments whichare a substitute for time deposits). However, there are no liquidity tensions.In South America, the f<strong>in</strong>ancial system <strong>in</strong> most countries rema<strong>in</strong>s sound and there is stronggrowth <strong>in</strong> lend<strong>in</strong>g, fueled by monetary policies geared towards boost<strong>in</strong>g economic activity.Faced with external monetary expansion and the ensu<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> capital flows, many centralbanks have chosen to apply macroprudential measures to discourage capital <strong>in</strong>flows and tocontrol the rise <strong>in</strong> domestic lend<strong>in</strong>g (particularly <strong>in</strong> Brazil and Peru).In Turkey, lend<strong>in</strong>g to the private sector has risen considerably (+16.0 year to year), although thepercentages are lower than the figures of 2011. This is, ma<strong>in</strong>ly, due to the <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> the official<strong>in</strong>terest rates <strong>in</strong> the second half of the year (for the first time <strong>in</strong> over a year). F<strong>in</strong>ally, the NPA ratiorema<strong>in</strong>s at low levels.Lastly, <strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>a, the authorities have launched several reforms s<strong>in</strong>ce the start of the year,<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g measures designed to liberalize <strong>in</strong>terest rates and provide greater flexibility <strong>in</strong>exchange rates. In June and July, the Central Bank broadened the range of discounts permitted<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>terest rates for loans to 30%, and <strong>in</strong>troduced a 10% premium on the benchmark <strong>in</strong>terestrate for deposits. It also reduced the reserve requirement by 150 basis po<strong>in</strong>ts. In September, thef<strong>in</strong>ancial sector plan was published, follow<strong>in</strong>g on from the Five-Year Plan (2011-2015), restat<strong>in</strong>g the<strong>in</strong>tention of abolish<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>terest rate controls, open<strong>in</strong>g the capital account, promot<strong>in</strong>g f<strong>in</strong>ancial<strong>in</strong>novation and re<strong>in</strong>forc<strong>in</strong>g the f<strong>in</strong>ancial regulation framework. The Plan also sets quantitativetargets for the added value of the f<strong>in</strong>ancial sector (up to 5.0% of GDP <strong>in</strong> 2015, compared with4.4% <strong>in</strong> the last decade). In this context, growth <strong>in</strong> bank lend<strong>in</strong>g rema<strong>in</strong>s relatively stable,although the proportion of long-term loans has <strong>in</strong>creased, show<strong>in</strong>g that credit flows are be<strong>in</strong>gdrawn to public <strong>in</strong>frastructure projects and bus<strong>in</strong>ess <strong>in</strong>vestments.40 Executive summary

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