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BBVA in 2012

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Credit risk <strong>in</strong> market activitiesThe credit risk assessment <strong>in</strong> OTC f<strong>in</strong>ancial <strong>in</strong>struments is made by means of a Monte Carlosimulation, which calculates not only the current exposure of the counterparties, but also theirpossible future exposure to fluctuations <strong>in</strong> market variables.The model comb<strong>in</strong>es different credit risk factors to produce distributions of future credit lossesand thus allows a calculation of the portfolio effect; <strong>in</strong> other words, it <strong>in</strong>corporates the term effect(the exposure of the various transactions presents potential maximum values at different po<strong>in</strong>ts<strong>in</strong> time) and the correlation effect (the relation between exposures, risk factors, etc. are normallydifferent from 1). It also uses credit risk mitigation techniques such as legal nett<strong>in</strong>g and collateralagreements.The maximum credit risk exposure <strong>in</strong> derivatives with counterparties <strong>in</strong> the Group as of31-Dec-<strong>2012</strong> stood at €60,796m, an <strong>in</strong>crease of 4% on 2011 year-end. Exclud<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>tra-groupcounterparties, the maximum risk <strong>in</strong> derivatives is €59,755m.) Maximum exposure to creditrisk <strong>in</strong> derivatives at <strong>BBVA</strong>, S.A. is estimated at €55,516m (€55,081m exclud<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>tra-groupcounterparties). <strong>BBVA</strong> S.A.’s overall reduction <strong>in</strong> terms of exposure due to nett<strong>in</strong>g and collateralagreements is €42,375m.Therefore, the net risk <strong>in</strong> derivatives at <strong>BBVA</strong>, S.A. as of December 31, <strong>2012</strong> is €13,123m. Exclud<strong>in</strong>gthe exposure with <strong>in</strong>tra-group counterparties, the net risk <strong>in</strong> derivatives at <strong>BBVA</strong>, S.A. as ofDecember 31, <strong>2012</strong> is €12,707m.Counterparty risk by type of product and by sector. Maximum exposure <strong>in</strong> <strong>BBVA</strong>, S.A.(Million euros)Derivatives Depos Repurchases Rest TotalF<strong>in</strong>ancial sector 4,788 231 162 53 5,234Corporate 5,245 - - (50) 5,195Sovereign 80 17 - 3 100Branches 2,594 - - - 2,594Total 12,707 248 162 6 13,123The table above shows the distribution by sectors and by products of the amounts of themaximum credit risk exposure <strong>in</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ancial <strong>in</strong>struments <strong>in</strong> <strong>BBVA</strong>, S.A. By sectors, exposure is ma<strong>in</strong>lyconcentrated <strong>in</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ancial <strong>in</strong>stitutions (40%) and corporates (40%).The table below shows the distribution by maturity of the maximum exposure amounts <strong>in</strong>f<strong>in</strong>ancial <strong>in</strong>struments. Maturity <strong>in</strong>dex is 3.5 years.Maturity vector by rat<strong>in</strong>g and tranches at <strong>BBVA</strong>, S.A. (exclud<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>tra-group counterparties. Data as ofdecember <strong>2012</strong>) (Million euros)Up to 3 months Up to 12 months Up to 3 years Up to 5 years Up to 10 years More than 10 yearsAAA - 108 - - 439 681AA 19 45 133 75 75 37A 1,171 808 758 310 612 370BB 136 960 717 218 368 288Non <strong>in</strong>vestment grade 94 430 549 329 336 510NR 5 24 60 36 44 36D - 6 12 15 115 174Risk <strong>in</strong> market units119

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