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BBVA in 2012

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<strong>BBVA</strong> Group. Market risk by risk factor <strong>in</strong> <strong>2012</strong>(Million euros)VaR by risk factorInterest/Spread riskCurrencyriskStock-marketriskVega/Correlation riskDiversificationeffect (*)Average VaR 22Maximum VaR 35 2 3 11 (21) 31M<strong>in</strong>imum VaR 21 3 1 11 (21) 15End-of-period VaR 35 3 3 9 (19) 30(*) The diversification effect is the difference between the agregation of each risk factor, <strong>in</strong>dividually measured, and the total VaR figure, which reflects the implicit correlation amongall the variables and scenarios used <strong>in</strong> the measurement.TotalBy geographical areas, and as an annual average, 64.5% of the market risk corresponded to the<strong>BBVA</strong>, S.A and the United States trad<strong>in</strong>g floors and 35.4% to the Group’s banks <strong>in</strong> Lat<strong>in</strong> America, ofwhich 24.3% is <strong>in</strong> Mexico.35<strong>BBVA</strong> Group. Market risk by geographical area(Average <strong>2012</strong>)<strong>BBVA</strong>, S.A. and the United States64.5%Mexico 24,3%Lat<strong>in</strong> America banks35.4%South America11.1%The backtest<strong>in</strong>g comparison performed with market risk management results for the parentcompany (which accounts for most of the Group’s market risk) follows the pr<strong>in</strong>ciples set out <strong>in</strong>the Basel Accord. It makes a day-on-day comparison between actual risks and those estimatedby the model, and proved that the risk measurement model was work<strong>in</strong>g correctly throughout<strong>2012</strong> (Chart 36).36 <strong>BBVA</strong>, S.A. <strong>in</strong>ternal backtest<strong>in</strong>g model <strong>in</strong> <strong>2012</strong>(Estimated VaR without smooth<strong>in</strong>g versus daily results)–6030-dec-1113-jan-1227-jan-1210-feb-1224-feb-1209-mar-1223-mar-1206-apr-1220-apr-1204-may-1218-may-1201-jun-1215-jun-1229-jun-1213-jul-1227-jul-1210-aug-1224-aug-1207-sep-1221-sep-1205-oct-1219-oct-1202-nov-1216-nov-1230-nov-1214-dec-1228-dec-12+30+20Daily VaRLossesProfitsMillion euros+100–10–20–30–40–50118 Risk management

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