petitioned the U.S. Supreme Court to grant ... - Election Law Blog
petitioned the U.S. Supreme Court to grant ... - Election Law Blog petitioned the U.S. Supreme Court to grant ... - Election Law Blog
23aAppendix DDefendants’ experts assert that Plaintiff’s illustrativedistricts result in vote dilution by relying on totalpopulation for district size, rather than consideringcitizen-voting-age-population (“CVAP”). (Def.’s Ex. 4, at12-13; Id. at Ex. 51, at 7-9.) They contend that Mr. Ely’sillustrative districts contain an extremely high number ofnon-citizens, and this will result in the majority Hispanicdistrict exercising voting power that is substantiallymagnified relative to Irving’s other districts. (See id.; TrialTr. vol. 1, 108, Feb. 19.) Dr. Alford testified at trial that“the fact that the other districts will contain much largereligible populations means that their individual votes willcount less. So this will devalue the votes in those districts...” (Trial Tr. vol. 1, 110, Feb. 19.) However, as Dr. Alfordacknowledges, total population (not CVAP) is generallyaccepted as a proper measure for equalizing the size ofdistricts. (Id. at 112.) The Fifth Circuit addressed thiscomplex issue in great detail in Chen v. City of Houstonand concluded that the decision whether to rely on totalpopulation or the eligible-to-vote population in creatingdistricts is a decision best left to the political process. Chenv. City of Houston, 206 F.3d 502, 522-28 (5th Cir.2000).Therefore, the Court concludes that applying the totalpopulation standard on the illustrative districts is entirelyappropriate.b. Estimate Derived from Census and ACS DataIn drawing the illustrative districts, Mr. Ely utilizeddata from the 2000 Census and from the 2006 ACS. (TrialTr. vol. 1, 60-61, Feb. 17.) The 2000 Census was conductedby the Census Bureau and was composed of two parts: the
24aAppendix Done-hundred percent count and the sample count. The onehundredpercent count is collected using the short form,which is-in theory-filled out by every household in theUnited States. The short form data provides informationon total population, voting age population, Hispanic origin,and non-Hispanic origin populations. A sample surveycomponent of the Census is collected through an additionallong form, which is fi lled out by approximately one ineight households. The long form collects demographicinformation such as economic characteristics, primarylanguage, and citizenship.The ACS is another sample survey conducted bythe Census Bureau. It is of relatively recent origin andis intended to replace the Census long form, but it isconducted annually with the results averaged over timeperiods to get the same level of statistical sampling asthe long form. (Id. at 61.) Each year the ACS surveysapproximately 1/1000 households. At the time that Mr.Ely performed his analysis for this case, the 2006 ACSdata was the most current data that had been releasedby the Census Bureau.Mr. Ely based his illustrative districts on his estimatesof Irving’s Hispanic CVAP (“HCVAP”) in 2008. (Id.) Hetestified regarding why he chose to rely on those estimatesand the method he used to calculate them. He initiallyused the ACS to ascertain whether the data from the2000 Census long form remained generally accurate in2006. Mr. Ely explained that in his opinion, the criticalnumber is the ratio between the Hispanic and non-Hispanic share of CVAP, therefore he wanted to measure
- Page 22 and 23: 9City of IrvingPopulation, Voting A
- Page 24 and 25: 11The district court granted summar
- Page 26 and 27: 13I. This Petition Presents An Impo
- Page 28 and 29: 15First, the issue has increasingly
- Page 30 and 31: 17wards had far more eligible voter
- Page 32 and 33: 19or practice, they cannot claim to
- Page 34 and 35: 21This case—in which the choice b
- Page 36 and 37: 23two, five, or ten, or one-half.
- Page 38 and 39: 25In Chen, the Fifth Circuit reache
- Page 40: 27Importantly, then, the Fourteenth
- Page 43 and 44: 30Tennessee voters’ dilution chal
- Page 45 and 46: 32Under the Plan, as noted above, D
- Page 47 and 48: 34slightly larger than 9.9%—prese
- Page 49 and 50: 1aAppendix AAPPENDIX
- Page 51 and 52: 2aAppendix APER CURIAM: *This case
- Page 53 and 54: 4aAPPENDIX B — Appendix MEMORANDU
- Page 55 and 56: 6aAppendix Bpopulation numbers are
- Page 57 and 58: 8aAppendix Bwhich total population
- Page 59 and 60: 10aAppendix Bthe court does acknowl
- Page 61 and 62: 12aAppendix CON PETITION FOR REHEAR
- Page 63 and 64: 14aAppendix DIrving’s at-large el
- Page 65 and 66: 16aAppendix Dother things, the at-l
- Page 67 and 68: 18aAppendix DThornburg v. Gingles,
- Page 69 and 70: 20aAppendix Dfailed to establish a
- Page 71: 22aAppendix Dcomplying with the Gin
- Page 75 and 76: 26aAppendix Dhis opinion that would
- Page 77 and 78: 28aAppendix Dto estimate the 2008 H
- Page 79 and 80: 30aAppendix Dvotes of Hispanics hav
- Page 81 and 82: 32aAppendix Daverage household size
- Page 83 and 84: 34aAppendix DDr. Rives attempts to
- Page 85 and 86: 36aAppendix Dwith sampling error ac
- Page 87 and 88: 38aAppendix DIn his expert report,
- Page 89 and 90: 40aAppendix DAs Dr. Rives pointed o
- Page 91 and 92: 42aAppendix DC. Gingles II & III-Ra
- Page 93 and 94: 44aAppendix Dthis methodology canno
- Page 95 and 96: 46aAppendix Dthat the confidence th
- Page 97 and 98: 48aAppendix Dto Dr. Alford’s hypo
- Page 99 and 100: 50aAppendix DD. Totality of the Cir
- Page 101 and 102: 52aAppendix DThe Court concludes th
- Page 103 and 104: 54aAppendix DNotably, James Dickens
- Page 105 and 106: 56aAppendix D1231, 1245-46, 173 L.E
- Page 107 and 108: 58aAppendix D2. Proof of Changed De
- Page 109 and 110: 60aAppendix DPlaintiff has not empl
- Page 111 and 112: 62aAppendix Dthe way in which the v
- Page 113 and 114: 64aAppendix Dthe requirement that t
- Page 115 and 116: 66aAPPENDIX E — RELEVANT Appendix
- Page 117: 68aAppendix Eof insurrection or reb
24aAppendix Done-hundred percent count and <strong>the</strong> sample count. The onehundredpercent count is collected using <strong>the</strong> short form,which is-in <strong>the</strong>ory-filled out by every household in <strong>the</strong>United States. The short form data provides informationon <strong>to</strong>tal population, voting age population, Hispanic origin,and non-Hispanic origin populations. A sample surveycomponent of <strong>the</strong> Census is collected through an additionallong form, which is fi lled out by approximately one ineight households. The long form collects demographicinformation such as economic characteristics, primarylanguage, and citizenship.The ACS is ano<strong>the</strong>r sample survey conducted by<strong>the</strong> Census Bureau. It is of relatively recent origin andis intended <strong>to</strong> replace <strong>the</strong> Census long form, but it isconducted annually with <strong>the</strong> results averaged over timeperiods <strong>to</strong> get <strong>the</strong> same level of statistical sampling as<strong>the</strong> long form. (Id. at 61.) Each year <strong>the</strong> ACS surveysapproximately 1/1000 households. At <strong>the</strong> time that Mr.Ely performed his analysis for this case, <strong>the</strong> 2006 ACSdata was <strong>the</strong> most current data that had been releasedby <strong>the</strong> Census Bureau.Mr. Ely based his illustrative districts on his estimatesof Irving’s Hispanic CVAP (“HCVAP”) in 2008. (Id.) Hetestified regarding why he chose <strong>to</strong> rely on those estimatesand <strong>the</strong> method he used <strong>to</strong> calculate <strong>the</strong>m. He initiallyused <strong>the</strong> ACS <strong>to</strong> ascertain whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> data from <strong>the</strong>2000 Census long form remained generally accurate in2006. Mr. Ely explained that in his opinion, <strong>the</strong> criticalnumber is <strong>the</strong> ratio between <strong>the</strong> Hispanic and non-Hispanic share of CVAP, <strong>the</strong>refore he wanted <strong>to</strong> measure
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