Rob Thieler from U.S. Geological Survey Presentation - Connecticut ...
Rob Thieler from U.S. Geological Survey Presentation - Connecticut ... Rob Thieler from U.S. Geological Survey Presentation - Connecticut ...
Summary• Future sea-level rise is problematic• It is a certain impact (we have already made a commitment toseveral centuries of SLR)• It is an uncertain impact (rates and magnitudes poorlyconstrained; human response unknown)• Effective climate change decision support willrequire changes in how we do science and howdecision makers assimilate and use scientificinformation• Probabilistic approaches have many applications• Convey what we know and what we know we don’t know• Synthesize data and models• Provide basis to focus research resources• Furnish information to support decision-making
- Page 3 and 4: We need better science* to prepare
- Page 5 and 6: Sea-level rise rates since the Last
- Page 7 and 8: Historic and Projected Sea-level Ri
- Page 9 and 10: Issue: Global variability in SLRLos
- Page 11 and 12: Importance of Spatial Scale
- Page 13 and 14: Coastal Vulnerability to Sea-level
- Page 15 and 16: Coastal Elevation Data• Elevation
- Page 17 and 18: Eastern North Carolina0 15 30 60 90
- Page 19 and 20: But… the coast is not like a bath
- Page 21 and 22: Coastal Wetlands RespondDynamically
- Page 23 and 24: Science strategy to address the cha
- Page 25 and 26: Sea-level rise impacts: A multivari
- Page 27: Mapping Prediction UncertaintyHighe
Summary• Future sea-level rise is problematic• It is a certain impact (we have already made a commitment toseveral centuries of SLR)• It is an uncertain impact (rates and magnitudes poorlyconstrained; human response unknown)• Effective climate change decision support willrequire changes in how we do science and howdecision makers assimilate and use scientificinformation• Probabilistic approaches have many applications• Convey what we know and what we know we don’t know• Synthesize data and models• Provide basis to focus research resources• Furnish information to support decision-making