Rob Thieler from U.S. Geological Survey Presentation - Connecticut ...

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Mapping Erosion Risk Using Bayesian NetworksProbability of shoreline erosion >2 m/yrNew YorkBostonD.C.CharlestonMiami(Gutierrez et al., 2011)
Mapping Prediction UncertaintyHigher probability = higher certainty of outcome• Uncertainty map can beused to identify wherebetter information isneeded• Areas of low confidencerequire• better input data• better understanding ofprocesses• Can use this map tofocus researchresources(Gutierrez et al., 2011)
Page 3 and 4: We need better science* to prepare
Page 5 and 6: Sea-level rise rates since the Last
Page 7 and 8: Historic and Projected Sea-level Ri
Page 9 and 10: Issue: Global variability in SLRLos
Page 11 and 12: Importance of Spatial Scale
Page 13 and 14: Coastal Vulnerability to Sea-level
Page 15 and 16: Coastal Elevation Data• Elevation
Page 17 and 18: Eastern North Carolina0 15 30 60 90
Page 19 and 20: But… the coast is not like a bath
Page 21 and 22: Coastal Wetlands RespondDynamically
Page 23 and 24: Science strategy to address the cha
Page 25: Sea-level rise impacts: A multivari

Rob Thieler from U.S. Geological Survey Presentation - Connecticut ...

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