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Climate change, impacts and vulnerability in Europe ... - MemoFin.fr

Climate change, impacts and vulnerability in Europe ... - MemoFin.fr Climate change, impacts and vulnerability in Europe ... - MemoFin.fr

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ReferencesAraújo, M. B., Thuiller, W. and Pearson, R. G. (2006)Climate warming and the decline of amphibiansand reptiles in Europe. Journal of Biogeography 33(10),1712–1728. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2699.2006.01482.xBaier, P., Pennerstorfer, J. and Schopf, A. (2007)PHENIPS—A comprehensive phenology modelof Ips typographus (L.) (Col., Scolytinae) as a toolfor hazard rating of bark beetle infestation.Forest Ecology and Management 249(3), 171–186.doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2007.05.020.Bellard, C., Bertelsmeier, C., Leadley, P., Thuiller, W.and Courchamp, F. (2012) Impacts of climate changeon the future of biodiversity. Ecology Letters 15(4),365–377. doi:10.1111/j.1461-0248.2011.01736.x.Berg, M. P., Kiers, E. T., Driessen, G., Van DerHeijden, M., Kooi, B. W., Kuenen, F., Liefting, M.,Verhoef, H. A. and Ellers, J. (2010) Adapt or disperse:understanding species persistence in a changingworld. Global Change Biology 16(2), 587–598.doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.02014.x.Berger, S., Sohlke, G., Walther, G. R. and Pott,R. (2007) Bioclimatic limits and range shifts ofcold-hardy evergreen broad-leaved species attheir northern distributional limit in Europe.Phytocoenologia, 37 3(4), 523–539. doi:10.1127/0340-269X/2007/0037-0523.Bertin, R. I. (2008) Plant phenology and distributionin relation to recent climate change. The Journalof the Torrey Botanical Society 135(1), 126–146.doi:10.3159/07-RP-035R.1.Both, C. and Marvelde, L. (2007) Climate change andtiming of avian breeding and migration throughoutEurope. Climate Research 35, 93–105. doi:10.3354/cr00716.Both, C., Van Asch, M., Bijlsma, R. G., Van DenBurg, A. B. and Visser, M. E. (2009) Climate changeand unequal phenological changes across fourtrophic levels: constraints or adaptations? Journalof Animal Ecology 78(1), 73–83. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2656.2008.01458.x.Burgiel, S. W. and Muir, A. A. (2010) Invasive Species,Climate Change and Ecosystem-Based Adaptation:Addressing Multiple Drivers of Global Change. GlobalInvasive Species Programme, Washington, DC andNairobi, Kenya. http://www.gisp.org/whatsnew/docs/Climate_Change_ReportA4.pdf.Buters, J. T. M., Weichenmeier, I., Ochs, S., Pusch,G., Kreyling, W., Boere, A. J. F., Schober, W.and Behrendt, H. (2010) The allergen Bet v 1 infractions of ambient air deviates from birch pollencounts. Allergy 65(7), 850–858. doi:10.1111/j.1398-9995.2009.02286.x.Charmantier, A., McCleery, R. H., Cole, L. R.,Perrins, C., Kruuk, L. E. B. and Sheldon, B. C. (2008)Adaptive Phenotypic Plasticity in Response toClimate Change in a Wild Bird Population. Science320(5877), 800–803. doi:10.1126/science.1157174.Chen, I.-C., Hill, J. K., Ohlemüller, R., Roy, D. B.and Thomas, C. D. (2011) Rapid Range Shifts ofSpecies Associated with High Levels of ClimateWarming. Science 333(6045), 1 024–1 026. doi:10.1126/science.1206432.Cleland, E. E., Chiariello, N. R., Loarie, S. R.,Mooney, H. A. and Field, C. B. (2006) Diverseresponses of phenology to global changes in agrassland ecosystem. Proceedings of the NationalAcademy of Sciences 103(37), 13 740–13 744.doi:10.1073/pnas.0600815103.Corbet, S. A. (2000) Conserving compartments inpollination webs. Conservation Biology 14(5),1 229–1 231.Crick, H. Q. P. and Sparks, T. H. (1999) Climatechange related to egg-laying trends. Nature399(6735), 423. doi:10.1038/20839.Davis, M. A. (2003) Biotic globalization:does competition from introduced speciesthreaten biodiversity? Bioscience 53(5), 481–489.doi:10.1641/0006-3568(2003)053[0481:BGDCFI]2.0.CO;2.Dell, D., Sparks, T. H. and Dennis, R. L. H. (2005)Climate change and the effect of increasing springtemperatures on emergence dates of the butterflyApatura iris (Lepidoptera: Nymphalidae). EuropeanJournal of Entomology 102(2), 161–167.Devictor, V., van Swaay, C., Brereton, T., Brotons, L.,Chamberlain, D., Heliola, J., Herrando, S., Julliard,R., Kuussaari, M., Lindstrom, A., Reif, J., Roy, D.B., Schweiger, O., Settele, J., Stefanescu, C. et al.(2012) Differences in the climatic debts of birdsand butterflies at a continental scale. Nature ClimateChange 2(2), 121–124. doi:10.1038/nclimate1347.Diamond, S. E., Frame, A. M., Martin, R. A.and Buckley, L. B. (2011) Species' traits predictphenological responses to climate change inbutterflies. Ecology 92(5), 1 005–1 012. doi:10.1890/10-1594.1.276 Climate change, impacts and vulnerability in Europe 2012

ReferencesDíaz, S., Fargione, J., Chapin, F. S. and Tilman, D.(2006) Biodiversity Loss Threatens Human Well-Being. PLoS Biology 4(8), e277. doi:10.1371/journal.pbio.0040277.Dingemanse, N. J. and Kalkman, V. J. (2008)Changing temperature regimes have advanced thephenology of Odonata in the Netherlands. EcologicalEntomology 33(3), 394–402. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2311.2007.00982.x.Dirnböck, T., Essl, F. and Rabitsch, W. (2011)Disproportional risk for habitat loss of high-altitudeendemic species under climate change. GlobalChange Biology 17(2), 990–996. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2010.02266.x.Dormann, C. F. (2007) Promising the future? Globalchange projections of species distributions. Basicand Applied Ecology 8(5), 387–397. doi:10.1016/j.baae.2006.11.001.Dormann, C. F., Purschke, O., Márquez, J. R. G.,Lautenbach, S. and Schröder, B. (2008) Componentsof uncertainty in species distribution analysis: acase study of the great grey shrike. Ecology 89(12),3 371–3 386. doi:10.1890/07-1772.1.Dullinger, S., Willner, W., Plutzar, C., Englisch, T.,Schratt-Ehrendorfer, L., Moser, D., Ertl, S., Essl, F.and Niklfeld, H. (2012) Post-glacial migration lagrestricts range filling of plants in the EuropeanAlps. Global Ecology and Biogeography 21(8), 829–840.doi:10.1111/j.1466-8238.2011.00732.x.Dutertre, M., Beninger, P. G., Barillé, L., Papin, M.and Haure, J. (2010) Rising water temperatures,reproduction and recruitment of an invasiveoyster, Crassostrea gigas, on the French Atlanticcoast. Marine Environmental Research 69(1), 1–9.doi:10.1016/j.marenvres.2009.07.002.EEA (2008) Impacts of Europe's changing climate— 2008 indicator-based assessment. Joint EEA-JRC-WHO report (EEA Report No 4/2008). EuropeanEnvironment Agency, Copenhagen. http://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/eea_report_2008_4.Engler, R., Randin, C. F., Thuiller, W., Dullinger,S., Zimmermann, N. E., Araújo, M. B., Pearman, P.B., Le Lay, G., Piedallu, C., Albert, C. H., Choler, P.,Coldea, G., De LAMO, X., Dirnböck, T., Gégout, J.et al. (2011) 21st century climate change threatensmountain flora unequally across Europe. GlobalChange Biology 17(7), 2 330–2 341. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2010.02393.x.Essl, F., Dullinger, S., Rabitsch, W., Hulme, P. E.,Hülber, K., Jarošík, V., Kleinbauer, I., Krausmann,F., Kühn, I., Nentwig, W. and others (2011)Socioeconomic legacy yields an invasion debt.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 108(1),203. doi:10.1073/pnas.1011728108.Essl, F. and Kobler, J. (2009) Spiny invaders-Patternsand determinants of cacti invasion in Europe. Flora204(7), 485–494. doi:10.1016/j.flora.2008.06.002.Estrella, N., Sparks, T. H. and Menzel, A. (2009)Effects of temperature, phase type and timing,location, and human density on plant phenologicalresponses in Europe. Climate Research 39(3), 235–248.doi:10.3354/cr00818.ETC/BD (2009) Online report on Article 17 of theHabitats Directive: conservation status of habitats &species of Community interest (2001–2006). EuropeanTopic Centre on Biological Diversity, Paris. http://bd.eionet.europa.eu/article17.European Commission (2011) Our life insurance,our natural capital: an EU biodiversity strategy to2020. http://ec.europa.eu/environment/nature/biodiversity/comm2006/pdf/2020/1_EN_ACT_part1_v7%5B1%5D.pdf.Ficetola, G. F., Thuiller, W. and Padoa-Schioppa,E. (2009) From introduction to the establishmentof alien species: bioclimatic differences betweenpresence and reproduction localities in the sliderturtle. Diversity and Distributions 15(1), 108–116.doi:10.1111/j.1472-4642.2008.00516.x.Framstad, E. (2012) The Terrestrial EcosystemsMonitoring Programme in 2011: Ground vegetation,epiphytes, small mammals and birds (NINA Rapport840). Norsk institutt for naturforskning, Oslo. http://www.nina.no/ninaenglish/Publications/Publication.aspx?pubid=7213&Fra=P&lang=en.Gange, A. C., Gange, E. G., Sparks, T. H. and Boddy,L. (2007) Rapid and recent changes in fungalfruiting patterns. Science 316(5821), 71. doi:10.1126/science.1137489.Gordo, O. and Sanz, J. J. (2005) Phenologyand climate change: a long-term study in aMediterranean locality. Oecologia 146(3), 484–495.doi:10.1007/s00442-005-0240-z.Gordo, O. and Sanz, J. J. (2006a) Temporal trendsin phenology of the honey bee Apis mellifera (L.)and the small white Pieris rapae (L.) in the IberianClimate change, impacts and vulnerability in Europe 2012277

ReferencesAraújo, M. B., Thuiller, W. <strong>and</strong> Pearson, R. G. (2006)<strong>Climate</strong> warm<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> the decl<strong>in</strong>e of amphibians<strong>and</strong> reptiles <strong>in</strong> <strong>Europe</strong>. Journal of Biogeography 33(10),1712–1728. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2699.2006.01482.xBaier, P., Pennerstorfer, J. <strong>and</strong> Schopf, A. (2007)PHENIPS—A comprehensive phenology modelof Ips typographus (L.) (Col., Scolyt<strong>in</strong>ae) as a toolfor hazard rat<strong>in</strong>g of bark beetle <strong>in</strong>festation.Forest Ecology <strong>and</strong> Management 249(3), 171–186.doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2007.05.020.Bellard, C., Bertelsmeier, C., Leadley, P., Thuiller, W.<strong>and</strong> Courchamp, F. (2012) Impacts of climate <strong>change</strong>on the future of biodiversity. Ecology Letters 15(4),365–377. doi:10.1111/j.1461-0248.2011.01736.x.Berg, M. P., Kiers, E. T., Driessen, G., Van DerHeijden, M., Kooi, B. W., Kuenen, F., Lieft<strong>in</strong>g, M.,Verhoef, H. A. <strong>and</strong> Ellers, J. (2010) Adapt or disperse:underst<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>g species persistence <strong>in</strong> a chang<strong>in</strong>gworld. Global Change Biology 16(2), 587–598.doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.02014.x.Berger, S., Sohlke, G., Walther, G. R. <strong>and</strong> Pott,R. (2007) Bioclimatic limits <strong>and</strong> range shifts ofcold-hardy evergreen broad-leaved species attheir northern distributional limit <strong>in</strong> <strong>Europe</strong>.Phytocoenologia, 37 3(4), 523–539. doi:10.1127/0340-269X/2007/0037-0523.Bert<strong>in</strong>, R. I. (2008) Plant phenology <strong>and</strong> distribution<strong>in</strong> relation to recent climate <strong>change</strong>. The Journalof the Torrey Botanical Society 135(1), 126–146.doi:10.3159/07-RP-035R.1.Both, C. <strong>and</strong> Marvelde, L. (2007) <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> <strong>and</strong>tim<strong>in</strong>g of avian breed<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> migration throughout<strong>Europe</strong>. <strong>Climate</strong> Research 35, 93–105. doi:10.3354/cr00716.Both, C., Van Asch, M., Bijlsma, R. G., Van DenBurg, A. B. <strong>and</strong> Visser, M. E. (2009) <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>change</strong><strong>and</strong> unequal phenological <strong>change</strong>s across fourtrophic levels: constra<strong>in</strong>ts or adaptations? Journalof Animal Ecology 78(1), 73–83. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2656.2008.01458.x.Burgiel, S. W. <strong>and</strong> Muir, A. A. (2010) Invasive Species,<strong>Climate</strong> Change <strong>and</strong> Ecosystem-Based Adaptation:Address<strong>in</strong>g Multiple Drivers of Global Change. GlobalInvasive Species Programme, Wash<strong>in</strong>gton, DC <strong>and</strong>Nairobi, Kenya. http://www.gisp.org/whatsnew/docs/<strong>Climate</strong>_Change_ReportA4.pdf.Buters, J. T. M., Weichenmeier, I., Ochs, S., Pusch,G., Kreyl<strong>in</strong>g, W., Boere, A. J. F., Schober, W.<strong>and</strong> Behrendt, H. (2010) The allergen Bet v 1 <strong>in</strong><strong>fr</strong>actions of ambient air deviates <strong>fr</strong>om birch pollencounts. Allergy 65(7), 850–858. doi:10.1111/j.1398-9995.2009.02286.x.Charmantier, A., McCleery, R. H., Cole, L. R.,Perr<strong>in</strong>s, C., Kruuk, L. E. B. <strong>and</strong> Sheldon, B. C. (2008)Adaptive Phenotypic Plasticity <strong>in</strong> Response to<strong>Climate</strong> Change <strong>in</strong> a Wild Bird Population. Science320(5877), 800–803. doi:10.1126/science.1157174.Chen, I.-C., Hill, J. K., Ohlemüller, R., Roy, D. B.<strong>and</strong> Thomas, C. D. (2011) Rapid Range Shifts ofSpecies Associated with High Levels of <strong>Climate</strong>Warm<strong>in</strong>g. Science 333(6045), 1 024–1 026. doi:10.1126/science.1206432.Clel<strong>and</strong>, E. E., Chiariello, N. R., Loarie, S. R.,Mooney, H. A. <strong>and</strong> Field, C. B. (2006) Diverseresponses of phenology to global <strong>change</strong>s <strong>in</strong> agrassl<strong>and</strong> ecosystem. Proceed<strong>in</strong>gs of the NationalAcademy of Sciences 103(37), 13 740–13 744.doi:10.1073/pnas.0600815103.Corbet, S. A. (2000) Conserv<strong>in</strong>g compartments <strong>in</strong>poll<strong>in</strong>ation webs. Conservation Biology 14(5),1 229–1 231.Crick, H. Q. P. <strong>and</strong> Sparks, T. H. (1999) <strong>Climate</strong><strong>change</strong> related to egg-lay<strong>in</strong>g trends. Nature399(6735), 423. doi:10.1038/20839.Davis, M. A. (2003) Biotic globalization:does competition <strong>fr</strong>om <strong>in</strong>troduced speciesthreaten biodiversity? Bioscience 53(5), 481–489.doi:10.1641/0006-3568(2003)053[0481:BGDCFI]2.0.CO;2.Dell, D., Sparks, T. H. <strong>and</strong> Dennis, R. L. H. (2005)<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> <strong>and</strong> the effect of <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g spr<strong>in</strong>gtemperatures on emergence dates of the butterflyApatura iris (Lepidoptera: Nymphalidae). <strong>Europe</strong>anJournal of Entomology 102(2), 161–167.Devictor, V., van Swaay, C., Brereton, T., Brotons, L.,Chamberla<strong>in</strong>, D., Heliola, J., Herr<strong>and</strong>o, S., Julliard,R., Kuussaari, M., L<strong>in</strong>dstrom, A., Reif, J., Roy, D.B., Schweiger, O., Settele, J., Stefanescu, C. et al.(2012) Differences <strong>in</strong> the climatic debts of birds<strong>and</strong> butterflies at a cont<strong>in</strong>ental scale. Nature <strong>Climate</strong>Change 2(2), 121–124. doi:10.1038/nclimate1347.Diamond, S. E., Frame, A. M., Mart<strong>in</strong>, R. A.<strong>and</strong> Buckley, L. B. (2011) Species' traits predictphenological responses to climate <strong>change</strong> <strong>in</strong>butterflies. Ecology 92(5), 1 005–1 012. doi:10.1890/10-1594.1.276 <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>change</strong>, <strong>impacts</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>vulnerability</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> 2012

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