Climate change, impacts and vulnerability in Europe ... - MemoFin.fr

Climate change, impacts and vulnerability in Europe ... - MemoFin.fr Climate change, impacts and vulnerability in Europe ... - MemoFin.fr

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ReferencesEEA (2011a) Mapping the impacts of natural hazardsand technological accidents in Europe (EEA Technicalreport No 13/2010). European EnvironmentAgency, Copenhagen. http://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/mapping-the-impacts-of-natural.EEA (2011b) Mapping the impacts of natural hazardsand technological accidents in Europe (EEA TechnicalReport No 13/2010). EEA. http://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/mapping-the-impacts-of-natural.Fischer, E. and Schär, C. (2010) Consistentgeographical patterns of changes in high-impactEuropean heatwaves. Nature Geoscience 3, 398–403.doi:10.1038/ngeo866.Founda, D. and Giannakopoulos, C. (2009) Theexceptionally hot summer of 2007 in Athens,Greece — A typical summer in the future climate?Global Planetary Change 67, 227–236. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2009.03.013.Gastineau, G. and Soden, B. J. (2009) Modelprojected changes of extreme wind events inresponse to global warming. Geophysical ResearchLetters 36(L10810). doi:10.1029/2009GL037500.Hansen, J., Ruedy, R. and Sato, M. (2010) Globalsurface temperature change. Reviews of Geophysics48(RG4004), 1–29. doi:10.1029/2010RG000345.Haugen, J. E. and Iversen, T. (2008) Response inextremes of daily precipitation and wind from adownscaled multi-model ensemble of anthropogenicglobal climate change scenarios. Tellus Series A –Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography 60(3), 411–426.Haylock, M. R., Hofstra, N., Klein Tank, A. M.G., Klok, E. J., Jones, P. D. and New, M. (2008)A European daily high-resolution gridded dataset of surface temperature and precipitation for1950–2006. Journal of Geophysical Research 113(D20).doi:10.1029/2008JD010201.IPCC (2007a) Climate Change 2007: The PhysicalScience Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to theFourth Assessment Report of the IntergovernmentalPanel on Climate Change. (S. Solomon, D. Qin, M.Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K. B. Averyt, M.Tignor and H. L. Miller, eds.). Cambridge UniversityPress, Cambridge. http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg1/en/contents.html.IPCC (2007b) Climate Change 2007: Impacts,Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Contribution ofWorking Group II to the Fourth Assessment Reportof the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.(M. L. Parry, O. F. Canziani, J. P. Palutikof, P. J. vander Linden and C. E. Hanson, eds.). CambridgeUniversity Press, Cambridge. http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg2/en/contents.html.IPCC (2012) Managing the Risks of Extreme Eventsand Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation.Special Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on ClimateChange. (C. B. Field, V. Barros, T. F. Stocker and D.Qin, eds.). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.http://ipcc-wg2.gov/SREX/report/.Kendon, E. J., Rowell, D. P. and Jones, R. G. (2008)Robustness of Future Changes in Local PrecipitationExtremes. Journal of Climate 21, 4 280–4 297.doi:10.1175/2008JCLI2082.1.Klein Tank, A. and Wijngaard, J. (2002) Dailydataset of 20th-century surface air temperatureand precipitation series for the European ClimateAssessment. International Journal of Climatology22(12), 1 441–1 453. doi:10.1002/joc.773.Klok, E. J. and Klein Tank, A. M. G. (2009) Updatedand extended European dataset of daily climateobservations. International Journal of Climatology 29,1182–1191. doi:10.1002/joc.1779.Lloyd-Hughes, B. and Saunders, M. A. (2002) Adrought climatology for Europe. International Journalof Climatology 22, 1 571–1 592. doi:10.1002/joc.846.Luterbacher, J., Xoplaki, E., Dietrich, D., Jones, P.D., Davies, T. D., Portis, D., Gonzalez-Rouco, J. F.,von Storch, H., Gyalistras, D., Casty, C. and Wanner,H. (2001) Extending North Atlantic oscillationreconstructions back to 1500. Atmospheric ScienceLetters 2(1–4), 114–124. doi:10.1006/asle.2002.0047.Matulla, C., Schoener, W., Alexandersson, H.,von Storch, H. and Wang, X. L. (2007) Europeanstorminess: late nineteenth century to present.Climate Dynamics 31(2–3), 125–130. doi:10.1007/s00382-007-0333-y.McDonald, R. (2011) Understanding the impactof climate change on Northern Hemisphereextra‐tropical cyclones. Climate Dynamics 37,1 399–1 425. doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0916-x.Meehl, G. A., Stocker, T. F., Collins, W. D.,Friedlingstein, P., Gaye, A. T., Gregory, J.., Kitoh,A., Knutti, R., Murphy, J. M., Noda, A., Raper, S.C. B., Watterson, I. G., Weaver, A. J. and Zhao, Z.-C. (2007) Global Climate Projections. In: ClimateChange 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contributionof Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment258 Climate change, impacts and vulnerability in Europe 2012

ReferencesReport of the Intergovernmental Panel on ClimateChange. Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen,M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller(eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge,United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.Meehl, G. A., Washington, W. M., Arblaster, J. M.,Hu, A., Teng, H., Tebaldi, C., Sanderson, B. N.,Lamarque, J.-F., Conley, A., Strand, W. G. and White,J. B. (2012) Climate System Response to ExternalForcings and Climate Change Projections in CCSM4.Journal of Climate 25(11), 3 661–3 683. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00240.1.Meinshausen, M., Smith, S., Calvin, K., Daniel,J., Kainuma, M., Lamarque, J.-F., Matsumoto, K.,Montzka, S., Raper, S., Riahi, K., Thomson, A.,Velders, G. and van Vuuren, D. P. (2011) The RCPgreenhouse gas concentrations and their extensionsfrom 1765 to 2300. Climatic Change 109(1), 213–241.doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0156-z.Millán, M. M. (2008) Drought in the Mediterraneanand summer floods in the UK and central and easternEurope: What global climate models cannot see regardingthe hydrological cycles in Europe and why (Unpublishedinternal Gammeltoft-RACCM CIRCE reportproduced for the European Commission). EC,Brussels.Nakicenovic, N. and Swart, R. (eds.) (2000) SpecialReport on Emissions Scenarios. Cambridge UniversityPress, Cambridge, United Kingdom.Nikulin, G., Kjellstrom, E., Hansson, U., Stanberg,G. and Ullestrig, A. (2011) Evaluation and futureprojections of temperature, precipitation and windextremes over Europe in an ensemble of regionalclimate simulations. Tellus Series A 64, 41–55.doi:10.1111/j.1600-0870.2010.00466.x.Pinto, J. G., Ulbrich, U., Leckebusch, G. C., Spangehl,T., Reyers, T. and Zacharias, S. (2007) Changes instorm track and cyclone activity in three SRESensemble experiments with the ECHAM5/MPI-OM1GCM. Climate Dynamics 29, 195–210. doi:10.1007/s00382-007-0230-4.Pinto, J. G., Zacharias, S., Fink, A. H., Leckebusch,G. C. and Ulbrich, U. (2009) Factors contributingto the development of extreme North Atlanticcyclones and their relationship with the NAO.Climate Dynamics 32(5), 711–737. doi:10.1007/s00382-008-0396-4.Robine, J.-M., Cheung, S. L. K., Le Roy, S., Van Oyen,H., Griffiths, C., Michel, J.-P. and Herrmann, F. R.(2008) Death toll exceeded 70,000 in Europe duringthe summer of 2003. Comptes rendus biologies 331(2),171–178. doi:10.1016/j.crvi.2007.12.001.Robock, A., Mingquan, M., Vinnikov, K., Trofimova,I. V. and Adamenko, T. I. (2005) Forty-five years ofobserved soil moisture in the Ukraine: No summerdesiccation (yet). Geophysical Research Letters 32,L03401. doi:10.1029/2004GL021914.Scaife, A. A. (2011) Climate change projectionsand stratosphere–troposphere interaction. ClimateDynamics 1(9). doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1080-7.Seneviratne, S. I., Nicholls, N., Easterling, D.,Goodess, C. M., Kanae, S., Kossin, J., Luo, Y.,Marengo, J., McInnes, K., Rahimi, M., Reichstein,M., Sorteberg, A., Vera, C. and Zhang, X. (2012)Changes in Climate Extremes and their Impacts onthe Natural Physical Environment. In: Managingthe Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to AdvanceClimate Change Adaptation, A Special Report ofWorking Groups I and II of the IntergovernmentalPanel on Climate Change (IPCC), pp. 109–230.Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. http://ipccwg2.gov/SREX/contributors/chapter/chapter-3.Sillman, J. and Roeckner, E. (2008) Indices of extremeevents in projections of anthropogenic climatechange. Climatic Change 86(1), 83–104. doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9308-6.Smith, T. M., Reynolds, R. W., Peterson, T. C. andLawrimore, J. (2008) Improvements to NOAA'sHistorical Merged Land-Ocean Surface TemperatureAnalysis (1880-2006). Journal of Climate 21,2 283–2 293. doi:10.1175/2007JCLI2100.1.Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning, M., Marquis, M.,Averyt, K., Tignor, M. M. B., Miller, H. L. andChen, Z. (eds.) (2007) Climate Change 2007: Thephysical Science Basis. Cambridge University Press,Cambridge (United Kingdom).Tapiador, F. J. (2010) A Joint Estimate of thePrecipitation Climate Signal in Europe UsingEight Regional Models and Five ObservationalDatasets. Journal of Climate 23, 1 719–1 738.doi:10.1175/2009jcli2956.1.Ulbrich, U., Leckebusch, G. C. and Pinto, J. G. (2009)Extra-tropical cyclones in the present and futureclimate: a review. Theoretical and Applied Climatology96, 117–131. doi:10.1007/s00704-008-0083-8.UNFCCC (2009) Report of the Conference of the Partieson its fifteenth session, held in Copenhagen from 7 toClimate change, impacts and vulnerability in Europe 2012259

ReferencesEEA (2011a) Mapp<strong>in</strong>g the <strong>impacts</strong> of natural hazards<strong>and</strong> technological accidents <strong>in</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> (EEA Technicalreport No 13/2010). <strong>Europe</strong>an EnvironmentAgency, Copenhagen. http://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/mapp<strong>in</strong>g-the-<strong>impacts</strong>-of-natural.EEA (2011b) Mapp<strong>in</strong>g the <strong>impacts</strong> of natural hazards<strong>and</strong> technological accidents <strong>in</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> (EEA TechnicalReport No 13/2010). EEA. http://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/mapp<strong>in</strong>g-the-<strong>impacts</strong>-of-natural.Fischer, E. <strong>and</strong> Schär, C. (2010) Consistentgeographical patterns of <strong>change</strong>s <strong>in</strong> high-impact<strong>Europe</strong>an heatwaves. Nature Geoscience 3, 398–403.doi:10.1038/ngeo866.Founda, D. <strong>and</strong> Giannakopoulos, C. (2009) Theexceptionally hot summer of 2007 <strong>in</strong> Athens,Greece — A typical summer <strong>in</strong> the future climate?Global Planetary Change 67, 227–236. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2009.03.013.Gast<strong>in</strong>eau, G. <strong>and</strong> Soden, B. J. (2009) Modelprojected <strong>change</strong>s of extreme w<strong>in</strong>d events <strong>in</strong>response to global warm<strong>in</strong>g. Geophysical ResearchLetters 36(L10810). doi:10.1029/2009GL037500.Hansen, J., Ruedy, R. <strong>and</strong> Sato, M. (2010) Globalsurface temperature <strong>change</strong>. Reviews of Geophysics48(RG4004), 1–29. doi:10.1029/2010RG000345.Haugen, J. E. <strong>and</strong> Iversen, T. (2008) Response <strong>in</strong>extremes of daily precipitation <strong>and</strong> w<strong>in</strong>d <strong>fr</strong>om adownscaled multi-model ensemble of anthropogenicglobal climate <strong>change</strong> scenarios. Tellus Series A –Dynamic Meteorology <strong>and</strong> Oceanography 60(3), 411–426.Haylock, M. R., Hofstra, N., Kle<strong>in</strong> Tank, A. M.G., Klok, E. J., Jones, P. D. <strong>and</strong> New, M. (2008)A <strong>Europe</strong>an daily high-resolution gridded dataset of surface temperature <strong>and</strong> precipitation for1950–2006. Journal of Geophysical Research 113(D20).doi:10.1029/2008JD010201.IPCC (2007a) <strong>Climate</strong> Change 2007: The PhysicalScience Basis. Contribution of Work<strong>in</strong>g Group I to theFourth Assessment Report of the IntergovernmentalPanel on <strong>Climate</strong> Change. (S. Solomon, D. Q<strong>in</strong>, M.Mann<strong>in</strong>g, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K. B. Averyt, M.Tignor <strong>and</strong> H. L. Miller, eds.). Cambridge UniversityPress, Cambridge. http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_<strong>and</strong>_data/ar4/wg1/en/contents.html.IPCC (2007b) <strong>Climate</strong> Change 2007: Impacts,Adaptation, <strong>and</strong> Vulnerability. Contribution ofWork<strong>in</strong>g Group II to the Fourth Assessment Reportof the Intergovernmental Panel on <strong>Climate</strong> Change.(M. L. Parry, O. F. Canziani, J. P. Palutikof, P. J. v<strong>and</strong>er L<strong>in</strong>den <strong>and</strong> C. E. Hanson, eds.). CambridgeUniversity Press, Cambridge. http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_<strong>and</strong>_data/ar4/wg2/en/contents.html.IPCC (2012) Manag<strong>in</strong>g the Risks of Extreme Events<strong>and</strong> Disasters to Advance <strong>Climate</strong> Change Adaptation.Special Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on <strong>Climate</strong>Change. (C. B. Field, V. Barros, T. F. Stocker <strong>and</strong> D.Q<strong>in</strong>, eds.). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.http://ipcc-wg2.gov/SREX/report/.Kendon, E. J., Rowell, D. P. <strong>and</strong> Jones, R. G. (2008)Robustness of Future Changes <strong>in</strong> Local PrecipitationExtremes. Journal of <strong>Climate</strong> 21, 4 280–4 297.doi:10.1175/2008JCLI2082.1.Kle<strong>in</strong> Tank, A. <strong>and</strong> Wijngaard, J. (2002) Dailydataset of 20th-century surface air temperature<strong>and</strong> precipitation series for the <strong>Europe</strong>an <strong>Climate</strong>Assessment. International Journal of Climatology22(12), 1 441–1 453. doi:10.1002/joc.773.Klok, E. J. <strong>and</strong> Kle<strong>in</strong> Tank, A. M. G. (2009) Updated<strong>and</strong> extended <strong>Europe</strong>an dataset of daily climateobservations. International Journal of Climatology 29,1182–1191. doi:10.1002/joc.1779.Lloyd-Hughes, B. <strong>and</strong> Saunders, M. A. (2002) Adrought climatology for <strong>Europe</strong>. International Journalof Climatology 22, 1 571–1 592. doi:10.1002/joc.846.Luterbacher, J., Xoplaki, E., Dietrich, D., Jones, P.D., Davies, T. D., Portis, D., Gonzalez-Rouco, J. F.,von Storch, H., Gyalistras, D., Casty, C. <strong>and</strong> Wanner,H. (2001) Extend<strong>in</strong>g North Atlantic oscillationreconstructions back to 1500. Atmospheric ScienceLetters 2(1–4), 114–124. doi:10.1006/asle.2002.0047.Matulla, C., Schoener, W., Alex<strong>and</strong>ersson, H.,von Storch, H. <strong>and</strong> Wang, X. L. (2007) <strong>Europe</strong>anstorm<strong>in</strong>ess: late n<strong>in</strong>eteenth century to present.<strong>Climate</strong> Dynamics 31(2–3), 125–130. doi:10.1007/s00382-007-0333-y.McDonald, R. (2011) Underst<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>g the impactof climate <strong>change</strong> on Northern Hemisphereextra‐tropical cyclones. <strong>Climate</strong> Dynamics 37,1 399–1 425. doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0916-x.Meehl, G. A., Stocker, T. F., Coll<strong>in</strong>s, W. D.,Friedl<strong>in</strong>gste<strong>in</strong>, P., Gaye, A. T., Gregory, J.., Kitoh,A., Knutti, R., Murphy, J. M., Noda, A., Raper, S.C. B., Watterson, I. G., Weaver, A. J. <strong>and</strong> Zhao, Z.-C. (2007) Global <strong>Climate</strong> Projections. In: <strong>Climate</strong>Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contributionof Work<strong>in</strong>g Group I to the Fourth Assessment258 <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>change</strong>, <strong>impacts</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>vulnerability</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> 2012

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