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Climate change, impacts and vulnerability in Europe ... - MemoFin.fr

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Vulnerability to climate <strong>change</strong>regions around Barcelona, Venice <strong>and</strong> Ljubljana. Inaddition, southern <strong>Europe</strong> would be more affectedbecause of the more compact urban form of itscities <strong>and</strong> greater <strong>in</strong>creases <strong>in</strong> hot summer days. Incontrast, the population of most non‐coastal areas of<strong>Europe</strong> is potentially not or only marg<strong>in</strong>ally affectedby climate <strong>change</strong> <strong>and</strong> some regions are evenprojected to have positive <strong>impacts</strong> due to decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>gflood hazards, for example <strong>in</strong> Pol<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> Portugal.The potential cultural <strong>impacts</strong> of climate <strong>change</strong>focused on tangible cultural assets, because<strong>in</strong>tangibles like norms <strong>and</strong> attitudes wereconsidered part of the adaptive capacity of a region.More precisely, ESPON <strong>Climate</strong> analysed whatimpact the projected climatic <strong>change</strong>s may haveon the 350 UNESCO World Heritage Sites <strong>and</strong>approximately 20 000 museums <strong>in</strong> <strong>Europe</strong>. Notsurpris<strong>in</strong>gly the impact patterns for these culturalMap 5.4Potential environmental <strong>and</strong> economic impact of climate <strong>change</strong>CanariasCanariasMart<strong>in</strong>iqueMart<strong>in</strong>iqueGuadeloupeRèunionGuadeloupeRèunionGuyaneGuyaneMadeiraMadeiraAcoresAcores© IRPUD, ESPON <strong>Climate</strong> Project, 20110 250 500km© NU & IRPUD, ESPON <strong>Climate</strong> Project, 20110 250 500kmPotential environmental impact of climate <strong>change</strong>Highest negative impactMedium negative impactLow negative impactNo/marg<strong>in</strong>al impactNo dataReduced dataPotential economic impact of climate <strong>change</strong>Highest negative impactMedium negative impactLow negative impactNo/marg<strong>in</strong>al impactLow positive impactMedium positive impactHigh positive impactNo dataReduced dataNote:Normalised potential <strong>impacts</strong> aggregated <strong>fr</strong>om <strong>in</strong>dividual impact <strong>in</strong>dicators on protected natural areas, forest fire‐proneforests, soil organic carbon <strong>and</strong> soil erosion (environmental), <strong>and</strong> agriculture <strong>and</strong> forestry, energy production <strong>and</strong>consumption as well as summer <strong>and</strong> w<strong>in</strong>ter tourism (economic).Source: ESPON <strong>Climate</strong>, 2011.<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>change</strong>, <strong>impacts</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>vulnerability</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> 2012219

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