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Climate change, impacts and vulnerability in Europe ... - MemoFin.fr

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<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>impacts</strong> on socio-economic systems <strong>and</strong> health4.2 Forests <strong>and</strong> forestry4.2.1 OverviewRelevanceForests are def<strong>in</strong>ed as ecosystems dom<strong>in</strong>ated bytrees <strong>and</strong> other woody vegetation. They cover morethan 40 % of all l<strong>and</strong> area <strong>in</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> <strong>and</strong> are as suchone of the ma<strong>in</strong> terrestrial ecosystems. Forestrydescribes the management of forest l<strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>gcultivation, ma<strong>in</strong>tenance <strong>and</strong> development offorests.Forests provide a wide range of benefits <strong>and</strong>services to their owners, managers <strong>and</strong> beneficiaries(Forest <strong>Europe</strong>, UNECE <strong>and</strong> FAO, 2011). Forests<strong>in</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> provide societies with products such astimber, wood fibre <strong>and</strong> energy, with recreationalopportunities as well as multiple ecosystemservices, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g biodiversity, clean water<strong>and</strong> air (Bredemeier, 2011). Forests are the mostspecies-rich terrestrial ecosystem <strong>and</strong> they are ama<strong>in</strong> element of <strong>Europe</strong>an nature. Because of theirstructural complexity, they provide ideal habitatsfor a high number of plants, birds <strong>and</strong> animals. Inmounta<strong>in</strong> areas, forests protect settlements <strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong><strong>fr</strong>astructure <strong>fr</strong>om, for example, l<strong>and</strong>slides <strong>and</strong>avalanches. Forests regulate water flows <strong>and</strong> reducefloods, <strong>and</strong> protect <strong>fr</strong>om w<strong>in</strong>d, s<strong>and</strong> drift <strong>and</strong> noise.Forests offer good protection <strong>fr</strong>om soil erosion<strong>and</strong> degradation, which is important especially <strong>in</strong>mounta<strong>in</strong>ous, hilly <strong>and</strong> semi-arid areas. Forests playan important role for climate regulation <strong>and</strong> for theglobal C cycle as they store a considerable amountof terrestrial carbon. Forests <strong>and</strong> forestry play a keyrole <strong>in</strong> the long-term mitigation of <strong>and</strong> adaptationto climate <strong>change</strong>. Both forest management <strong>and</strong>l<strong>and</strong> use are central elements <strong>in</strong> the exist<strong>in</strong>g climateregime <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> negotiations of future climate policies.Furthermore, forest-related jobs <strong>and</strong> revenuescontribute to national economies, which may bethreatened by climate <strong>change</strong> (Hanew<strong>in</strong>kel et al.,2012).<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>and</strong> weather have a strong <strong>in</strong>fluence onthe processes that control forest structure <strong>and</strong>function, <strong>and</strong> thus on forest health. <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>change</strong>is projected to impact on forests by <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gthreats such as pest outbreaks, fires <strong>and</strong> drought.Increased temperatures, <strong>change</strong>s <strong>in</strong> precipitationamounts <strong>and</strong> patterns, <strong>and</strong> <strong>change</strong>d compositionof the atmosphere are all expected to have <strong>impacts</strong>on forests. Total seasonal precipitation as well as itspattern of variability are both of major importancefor forestry systems (Olesen <strong>and</strong> B<strong>in</strong>di, 2002;L<strong>in</strong>dner et al., 2010). Extreme events <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>gdroughts, flood<strong>in</strong>g, storms <strong>and</strong> heat waves areexpected to become more <strong>fr</strong>equent <strong>in</strong> parts of<strong>Europe</strong> (see Sections 2.2 <strong>and</strong> 3.4).Various extreme climatic events like the 2003drought <strong>in</strong> large parts of <strong>Europe</strong> <strong>and</strong> severew<strong>in</strong>dstorms already had strong negative <strong>impacts</strong> onforests (Ciais et al., 2005; Usbeck et al., 2010). Storms,droughts <strong>and</strong> heat waves can lead to higher rates oftree mortality, <strong>and</strong> make forests more susceptibleto secondary damages, such as <strong>in</strong>sect <strong>and</strong> fungal<strong>in</strong>festations. Forests are strongly affected by a rangeof <strong>in</strong>sects <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>vasive species. Insect <strong>and</strong> pathogenoutbreaks are generally facilitated by a warm<strong>in</strong>gclimate. As forest ecosystems <strong>change</strong> <strong>and</strong> move<strong>in</strong> response to climate <strong>change</strong>s, they are expectedto become more vulnerable to disturbances. S<strong>in</strong>cethe latitud<strong>in</strong>al (<strong>and</strong> altitud<strong>in</strong>al) distribution offorest species is strongly determ<strong>in</strong>ed by climaticconditions, a chang<strong>in</strong>g climate will have an impacton which tree species can survive, <strong>and</strong> where.Key messages: 4.2 Forests <strong>and</strong> forestry• Forests provide multiple goods <strong>and</strong> services, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g wood supply, carbon accumulation, ecosystemsservices, water purification, protection aga<strong>in</strong>st natural hazards <strong>and</strong> recreational services.• Forests <strong>in</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> have been accumulat<strong>in</strong>g carbon (C) at a rate of more than 100 million tonnes (Mt C)per year <strong>fr</strong>om 1990 to 2010.• <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> is expected to have major <strong>impacts</strong> on forest ecosystems. Ris<strong>in</strong>g atmospheric CO 2concentration, higher temperatures <strong>and</strong> <strong>change</strong>s <strong>in</strong> precipitation are likely to have significant effects onthe vegetation period, growth, health <strong>and</strong> distribution of trees as well as on forest ecosystems, <strong>and</strong> thuson the goods <strong>and</strong> services provided by forests.• <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>change</strong> may also enhance the <strong>fr</strong>equency of favourable conditions for forest fires extend<strong>in</strong>g thefire season <strong>in</strong> both time <strong>and</strong> space.• An <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> storms, droughts <strong>and</strong> heat waves can lead to higher rates of tree mortality, <strong>and</strong> makeforests more susceptible to secondary damages, such as <strong>in</strong>sect <strong>and</strong> fungal <strong>in</strong>festations.172 <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>change</strong>, <strong>impacts</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>vulnerability</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Europe</strong> 2012

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