Climate change, impacts and vulnerability in Europe ... - MemoFin.fr

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ContentsList of boxesBox 1.1 The IPCC Fifth Assessment Report...................................................................33Box 1.2 The IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES)....................................38Box 2.1 General circulation models (GCMs) and regional climate models (RCMs)...............52Box 2.2 Climate reanalyses........................................................................................58Box 2.3 A decade of European temperature extremes....................................................64Box 2.4 Definition of precipitation extremes.................................................................68Box 2.5 Lowland permafrost in sub-arctic palsa mires....................................................85Box 3.1 Making the right observations ........................................................................94Box 3.2 Alien plant species and climate change — new ranges? ...................................137Box 3.3 Alien animal species and climate change — new establishments?.......................140Box 3.4 The impacts of climate change on soil biota and biodiversity.............................150Box 4.1 Projected changes in forest composition and their economic impacts..................176Box 4.2 Case study — UK Climate Change Risk Assessment for the energy sector...........205Box 5.1 The cloudburst in Copenhagen on 2 July 2011................................................223Box 5.2 Water scarcity in Ankara..............................................................................22410 Climate change, impacts and vulnerability in Europe 2012
AcknowledgementsAcknowledgementsReport coordinationHans-Martin Füssel (European Environment Agency(EEA)) under the guidance of André Jol (EEA) andwith the support of Mikael Hildén (European TopicCentre on Climate Change impacts, vulnerabilityand Adaptation (ETC/CCA)).Authors and contributors bychapter/sectionChapter 1: IntroductionAuthors:Hans-Martin Füssel, André Jol (EEA).Contributors:Stephane Isoard, John van Aardenne, Birgit Georgi(EEA); Mikael Hildén, Stefan Fronzek, SergioCastellari (ETC/CCA); Stefan Greiving (TechnicalUniversity of Dortmund (TU Dortmund), Germany).Chapter 2: Changes in the climate systemSection 2.1: Human influence on the climate systemAuthor:Hans-Martin Füssel (EEA).Contributors:Blaz Kurnik (EEA); Stefan Fronzek (ETC/CCA).Section 2.2: Key climate variablesAuthors:Blaz Kurnik (EEA); Deborah Hemming, AndrewHartley (ETC/CCA).Contributors:Hans-Martin Füssel (EEA); Robert Dunn, JohnKennedy (Met Office Hadley Centre (MOHC),United Kingdom); Gregor Leckebusch (University ofBirmingham, United Kingdom).Section 2.3: CryosphereAuthor:Mikael Hildén (ETC/CCA).Contributors:Hans-Martin Füssel (EEA); Stefan Fronzek, EskoKuusisto, Jeff Ridley, Riccardo Valentini (ETC/CCA);Giovanni Coppini (European Topic Centre on Inland,Coastal and Marine waters (ETC/ICM)); ThomasLavergne, Mari Anne Killie, Lars Anders Breivik(Norwegian Meteorological Institute (METNO),Norway); Stefan Kern (Centre for Marine andAtmospheric Sciences (ZMAW), Germany).Chapter 3: Climate impacts on environmentalsystemsSection 3.1: Oceans and marine environmentAuthor:Trine Christiansen (EEA).Contributors:Giovanni Coppini, David Johns (ETC/ICM);Marcello Vichi (ETC/CCA); Simona Masina,Pierluigi Di Pietro (Centro Euro-Mediterraneosui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC) and IstitutoNazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV),Italy); Pierre Yves Le Traon, Karina Von Schuckmann(Institut français de recherche pour l'exploitation dela mer (IFREMER), France); Peter Lowe (Bundesamtfür Seeschifffahrt und Hydrographie (BSH),Germany); Martin Edwards (Sir Alister HardyFoundation for Ocean Science (SAHFOS), UnitedKingdom).Section 3.2: Coastal zonesAuthors:Jason Lowe (ETC/CCA); Andrus Meiner (EEA).Contributors:Stéphane Isoard, Hans-Martin Füssel (EEA); AnnePardaens, Giovanni Coppini (ETC/ICM); MichaëlClimate change, impacts and vulnerability in Europe 201211
Page 3 and 4: EEA Report No 12/2012Climate change
Page 5: ContentsContentsAcknowledgements...
Page 10 and 11: ContentsMap 4.1 Change in the numbe
Page 14 and 15: AcknowledgementsAblain, Gilles Larn
Page 16: AcknowledgementsComments from the E
Page 20: Executive summaryThe causes of the
Page 23: Technical summaryTable TS.1 Observe
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Page 33 and 34: IntroductionIt should be noted that
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Page 39 and 40: Introduction1.4.3 Overview of main
Page 41 and 42: IntroductionThe next generation of
Page 44 and 45: Introductionimmigration will be low
Page 46 and 47: Introduction7. projection of a clim
Page 49 and 50: IntroductionThe term risk is also i
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Changes in the climate systemSevera
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Changes in the climate systemMap 2.
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Changes in the climate systemclosel
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Climate impacts on environmental sy
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Vulnerability to climate changein f
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Vulnerability to climate change5.3
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Vulnerability to climate changeMap
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Vulnerability to climate changeasse
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Vulnerability to climate change5.3.
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Vulnerability to climate changeBox
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Vulnerability to climate changeMap
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Vulnerability to climate change5.5
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Vulnerability to climate changeFigu
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Vulnerability to climate changeFina
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Vulnerability to climate changefact
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Indicator and data needsA key polic
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Indicator and data needsWEI and res
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Indicator and data needsDirectorate
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Indicator and data needs6.2.2 Globa
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Abbreviations and acronyms7 Abbrevi
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Abbreviations and acronymsAcronym o
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Abbreviations and acronymsAcronym o
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Abbreviations and acronymsProject a
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Referenceset al. (2010) DEMIFER: De
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ReferencesNovember to 11 December 2
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ReferencesEEA (2011a) Mapping the i
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References19 December 2009. UNFCCC,
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ReferencesIsaksen, K., Sollid, J. L
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Referencesfür Hydrologie und Limno
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Referencescirculation models. Journ
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Referencesin Geophysics 32(4-5), 58
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ReferencesVermeer, M. and Rahmstorf
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ReferencesDevelopment. http://ec.eu
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ReferencesMooij, W. M., Hulsmann, S
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ReferencesAraújo, M. B., Thuiller,
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ReferencesPeninsula (1952-2004). Ec
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ReferencesMenzel, A., Sparks, T. H.
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ReferencesUrban, M. C., Tewksbury,
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ReferencesM., Palosuo, T., Bellamy,
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ReferencesApplied Climatology 74, 4
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Referencesepidemiologic evidence. E
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ReferencesEnvironmental Health Pers
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Referencestemperature. Epidemiology
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ReferencesEEA (2012) Annual Europea
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ReferencesChapter 5:Vulnerability t
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ReferencesSchool. http://www.jbs.ca
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European Environment AgencyClimate
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