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Subjectivism and Economic Analysis: Essays in memory of Ludwig ...

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RADICAL SUBJECTIVISMdecisions under uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty. It is from this prelim<strong>in</strong>ary question thatmy argument will start.Rational ignoranceIt is usual to f<strong>in</strong>d reconstructions <strong>of</strong> the Austrian tradition whichemphasise a Kirznerian <strong>and</strong> a Lachmannian ve<strong>in</strong> (for example, seeO’Driscoll <strong>and</strong> Rizzo 1985). But the way <strong>in</strong> which Vaughn presentsthe former as a ‘supplement to neoclassical economies’ <strong>and</strong> the latteras the only possible way to a mean<strong>in</strong>gful ‘alternative conception <strong>of</strong>order’ is uncommonly persuasive. The most prom<strong>in</strong>ent example canbe found <strong>in</strong> the consideration <strong>of</strong> the analytical tools needed to dealeffectively with uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty <strong>and</strong> the passage <strong>of</strong> time.Vaughn argues that Kirzner has been successful <strong>in</strong> provid<strong>in</strong>g ananalysis <strong>of</strong> the process through which competitive markets mayreach equilibrium. His notion <strong>of</strong> the alert entrepreneur is a def<strong>in</strong>itestep forward <strong>in</strong> the appreciation <strong>of</strong> the role <strong>of</strong> those economicagents who ‘notice opportunities that others miss <strong>and</strong> act upon thatknowledge to br<strong>in</strong>g markets closer to equilibrium’ (165). But whenreal time <strong>and</strong> genu<strong>in</strong>e uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty are taken <strong>in</strong>to account there is nolonger any reason to argue that each entrepreneur is ‘correct’ <strong>in</strong> hisor her action, <strong>and</strong> thus no reason for expect<strong>in</strong>g their jo<strong>in</strong>t actions tobe equilibrat<strong>in</strong>g, as Kirzner assumes. This is why any attempt t<strong>of</strong>ormalise entrepreneurial behaviour as a problem <strong>of</strong> constra<strong>in</strong>edmaximisation under uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty is bound to be unproductive.Genu<strong>in</strong>e uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty must imply that the entrepreneur cannotanticipate all possible future consequences <strong>of</strong> his action. Thereforeequilibrium cannot be considered an ex ante reference po<strong>in</strong>t foranalysis.Lachmann’s contribution, on the other h<strong>and</strong>, takes stock <strong>of</strong> thetraditional Austrian emphasis on heterogeneous <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>completeknowledge <strong>and</strong> comes to the conclusion that only those descriptions<strong>of</strong> economic activities that consider endogenous <strong>and</strong> unpredictablechange are apt to underst<strong>and</strong> agents’ behaviour. The market processdriven by <strong>in</strong>dividuals whose act<strong>in</strong>g is ‘undeterm<strong>in</strong>ed creative choice’(152) is necessarily an open-ended process. Not just the possibility<strong>of</strong> anticipat<strong>in</strong>g it ex ante, but the very notion <strong>of</strong> equilibrium is called<strong>in</strong>to question.The ma<strong>in</strong> po<strong>in</strong>t <strong>of</strong> disagreement between the two alternativeviews <strong>of</strong> Kirzner <strong>and</strong> Lachmann not only orig<strong>in</strong>ated <strong>in</strong> a differentattitude towards the modell<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>dividual behaviour, but also <strong>in</strong>the explanation <strong>of</strong> what the achievable aggregate outcomes are.127

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