09.07.2015 Views

Subjectivism and Economic Analysis: Essays in memory of Ludwig ...

Subjectivism and Economic Analysis: Essays in memory of Ludwig ...

Subjectivism and Economic Analysis: Essays in memory of Ludwig ...

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

ENDOGENOUS CHANGEenterta<strong>in</strong> theories <strong>and</strong> follow policies such that equilibrium results.But there is no reason why they should not do it with reservations,which means that a process <strong>of</strong> learn<strong>in</strong>g may be tak<strong>in</strong>g place. Hahn’sclaim that: ‘it will be a condition <strong>of</strong> the agent be<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> equilibriumthat he is not learn<strong>in</strong>g’ is therefore put <strong>in</strong>to question by thisargument. Agents may fail to have a fully comprehensive theory <strong>of</strong>the world, but may content themselves with a less comprehensiveone that leaves out a subset <strong>of</strong> the messages from the economy <strong>and</strong>nature. 9 The benefit from this partition<strong>in</strong>g is that a coherent set <strong>of</strong>propositions can be put together <strong>and</strong> a policy can be def<strong>in</strong>ed. Butjust like economists, agents will select a l<strong>in</strong>e <strong>of</strong> research <strong>and</strong> pursue ituntil some new theory is ready to be used. The new theory may bemore comprehensive than the previous one or consist <strong>of</strong> analtogether different set <strong>of</strong> propositions.It is the perception <strong>of</strong> complexity, on the part <strong>of</strong> economicanalysts <strong>and</strong> economic agents alike, that this argument is based on.Any theory enterta<strong>in</strong>ed by both groups is enterta<strong>in</strong>ed withreservations. Such reservations, however, do not prevent them fromus<strong>in</strong>g that theory. This is especially true for economic agents whoneed theories to act. What these reservations imply is that atendency is cont<strong>in</strong>uously at work to try new l<strong>in</strong>es <strong>of</strong> research whosepossible developments <strong>and</strong> f<strong>in</strong>al outcome are as yet unknown.We have reached a po<strong>in</strong>t when Loasby’s remarks can bereconsidered to see whether they can be substantiated by thearguments put forward so far. As quoted above, Loasby questionsthe adequacy <strong>of</strong> the dist<strong>in</strong>ction between discont<strong>in</strong>uous <strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>cremental change, argu<strong>in</strong>g that it is an imposed dist<strong>in</strong>ction. Thequestion we have to ask, then, is whether this dist<strong>in</strong>ction breaksdown when learn<strong>in</strong>g is shown to be compatible with equilibrium,which is precisely the conclusion reached above. The answer is thatit does break down. When learn<strong>in</strong>g is compatible with equilibrium<strong>in</strong> the way that was described earlier, change is no longerdiscont<strong>in</strong>uous or <strong>in</strong>cremental or, alternatively, is both discont<strong>in</strong>uous<strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>cremental. This is the case because the change that resultsfrom the process <strong>of</strong> learn<strong>in</strong>g has an element <strong>of</strong> discont<strong>in</strong>uity <strong>and</strong> anelement <strong>of</strong> cont<strong>in</strong>uity. The element <strong>of</strong> discont<strong>in</strong>uity orig<strong>in</strong>ates fromthe fact that the unknown outcome <strong>of</strong> the process <strong>of</strong> learn<strong>in</strong>g mightdisrupt the established equilibrium relations. The element <strong>of</strong>cont<strong>in</strong>uity comes from the simple fact that a process <strong>of</strong> learn<strong>in</strong>g isassumed, with the result that a l<strong>in</strong>e <strong>of</strong> development is identified. 10This is just another way <strong>of</strong> say<strong>in</strong>g that novelty <strong>and</strong> explanation areboth preserved. For this k<strong>in</strong>d <strong>of</strong> change the most appropriate111

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!