Guidance for Use of CSM Recommendation - ERA - Europa
Guidance for Use of CSM Recommendation - ERA - Europa
Guidance for Use of CSM Recommendation - ERA - Europa
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European Railway Agency<br />
Collection <strong>of</strong> examples <strong>of</strong> risk assessments and <strong>of</strong> some possible tools<br />
supporting the <strong>CSM</strong> Regulation<br />
<br />
C.4.1.3. The examples below illustrate that principle. They are taken from the paper: "Die<br />
Gefaehrdungseinstufung im <strong>ERA</strong>-Risikomanagementprozess", Kurz, Milius, Signal +Draht<br />
(100) 9/2008.<br />
C.4.2.<br />
C.4.2.1.<br />
C.4.2.2.<br />
C.4.3.<br />
C.4.3.1.<br />
C.4.3.2.<br />
Derivation <strong>of</strong> quantitative criterion<br />
One could define broadly acceptable risks as risks that are much smaller than the acceptable<br />
risk <strong>for</strong> a given class <strong>of</strong> hazards. Using statistical data it might be possible to calculate what<br />
is the current level <strong>of</strong> risk <strong>for</strong> railway systems, and thus to declare that calculated level as<br />
acceptable. Dividing that level <strong>of</strong> risk by the number (N) <strong>of</strong> hazards (<strong>for</strong> example arbitrarily<br />
one can assume that there are about N = 100 main categories <strong>of</strong> hazards in the railway<br />
system), gives an acceptable level <strong>of</strong> risk per category <strong>of</strong> hazard. One could then state that<br />
a hazard with a risk which is two orders <strong>of</strong> magnitude lower than the acceptable level <strong>of</strong> risk<br />
per hazard (this is the parameter x % in point [G 1] <strong>of</strong> section 2.2.3) would be considered as<br />
a broadly acceptable risk.<br />
It shall be checked however that the contribution <strong>of</strong> all hazards associated with broadly<br />
acceptable risk(s) does exceed a given proportion (e.g. y%) <strong>of</strong> the overall risk at the system<br />
level: refer to section 2.2.3 and the explanation in point [G 2] <strong>of</strong> section 2.2.3.<br />
Evaluation <strong>of</strong> broadly acceptable risks<br />
The limit values <strong>for</strong> broadly acceptable risks, as derived in the examples above, can then be<br />
used to calibrate qualitative tools, like a risk matrix, a risk graph, or risk priority numbers, in<br />
order to help the expert to make its decision to classify risk as broadly acceptable. It is<br />
important to stress that having quantitative values as criteria <strong>for</strong> broadly acceptable risks,<br />
does not imply that it is necessary to make a precise risk estimation or analysis in order to<br />
decide about the broad acceptability <strong>of</strong> the risk. Here this is where the judgment <strong>of</strong> the<br />
expert applies <strong>for</strong> making this rough estimation in the hazard identification phase<br />
It is also important to checked that the contribution <strong>of</strong> all hazards associated with broadly<br />
acceptable risk(s) does exceed a given proportion (e.g. y%) <strong>of</strong> the overall risk at the system<br />
level: refer to section 2.2.3 and the explanation in point [G 2] <strong>of</strong> section 2.2.3.<br />
C.5.<br />
C.5.1.<br />
C.5.2.<br />
Risk assessment example <strong>of</strong> an organisational significant change<br />
Remark: this example <strong>of</strong> risk assessment was not produced as a result <strong>of</strong> the application <strong>of</strong><br />
the <strong>CSM</strong> process; it was carried out be<strong>for</strong>e the existence <strong>of</strong> <strong>CSM</strong>. The purpose <strong>of</strong> the<br />
example is:<br />
(a) to identify the similarities between the existing risk assessment methods and the <strong>CSM</strong><br />
process;<br />
(b) to give traceability between the existing process and the one requested by the <strong>CSM</strong>;<br />
(c) to provide justification <strong>of</strong> the added value <strong>of</strong> per<strong>for</strong>ming the additional steps (if any)<br />
required by the <strong>CSM</strong>.<br />
It must be stressed that this example is given <strong>for</strong> in<strong>for</strong>mation only. Its purpose is to help the<br />
reader understanding the <strong>CSM</strong> process. But the example itself shall not be transposed to or<br />
used as a reference system <strong>for</strong> another significant change. The risk assessment shall be<br />
carried out <strong>for</strong> each significant change in compliance with the <strong>CSM</strong> Regulation.<br />
The example is related to an organisational change. It was considered significant by the<br />
related proposer. A risk assessment based approach was applied to evaluate the change.<br />
<br />
Reference: <strong>ERA</strong>/GUI/02-2008/SAF Version: 1.1 Page 75 <strong>of</strong> 105<br />
File Name: Collection_<strong>of</strong>_RA_Ex_and_some_tools_<strong>for</strong>_<strong>CSM</strong>_V1.1.doc<br />
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