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Guidance for Use of CSM Recommendation - ERA - Europa

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European Railway Agency<br />

Collection <strong>of</strong> examples <strong>of</strong> risk assessments and <strong>of</strong> some possible tools<br />

supporting the <strong>CSM</strong> Regulation<br />

<br />

C.4.1.3. The examples below illustrate that principle. They are taken from the paper: "Die<br />

Gefaehrdungseinstufung im <strong>ERA</strong>-Risikomanagementprozess", Kurz, Milius, Signal +Draht<br />

(100) 9/2008.<br />

C.4.2.<br />

C.4.2.1.<br />

C.4.2.2.<br />

C.4.3.<br />

C.4.3.1.<br />

C.4.3.2.<br />

Derivation <strong>of</strong> quantitative criterion<br />

One could define broadly acceptable risks as risks that are much smaller than the acceptable<br />

risk <strong>for</strong> a given class <strong>of</strong> hazards. Using statistical data it might be possible to calculate what<br />

is the current level <strong>of</strong> risk <strong>for</strong> railway systems, and thus to declare that calculated level as<br />

acceptable. Dividing that level <strong>of</strong> risk by the number (N) <strong>of</strong> hazards (<strong>for</strong> example arbitrarily<br />

one can assume that there are about N = 100 main categories <strong>of</strong> hazards in the railway<br />

system), gives an acceptable level <strong>of</strong> risk per category <strong>of</strong> hazard. One could then state that<br />

a hazard with a risk which is two orders <strong>of</strong> magnitude lower than the acceptable level <strong>of</strong> risk<br />

per hazard (this is the parameter x % in point [G 1] <strong>of</strong> section 2.2.3) would be considered as<br />

a broadly acceptable risk.<br />

It shall be checked however that the contribution <strong>of</strong> all hazards associated with broadly<br />

acceptable risk(s) does exceed a given proportion (e.g. y%) <strong>of</strong> the overall risk at the system<br />

level: refer to section 2.2.3 and the explanation in point [G 2] <strong>of</strong> section 2.2.3.<br />

Evaluation <strong>of</strong> broadly acceptable risks<br />

The limit values <strong>for</strong> broadly acceptable risks, as derived in the examples above, can then be<br />

used to calibrate qualitative tools, like a risk matrix, a risk graph, or risk priority numbers, in<br />

order to help the expert to make its decision to classify risk as broadly acceptable. It is<br />

important to stress that having quantitative values as criteria <strong>for</strong> broadly acceptable risks,<br />

does not imply that it is necessary to make a precise risk estimation or analysis in order to<br />

decide about the broad acceptability <strong>of</strong> the risk. Here this is where the judgment <strong>of</strong> the<br />

expert applies <strong>for</strong> making this rough estimation in the hazard identification phase<br />

It is also important to checked that the contribution <strong>of</strong> all hazards associated with broadly<br />

acceptable risk(s) does exceed a given proportion (e.g. y%) <strong>of</strong> the overall risk at the system<br />

level: refer to section 2.2.3 and the explanation in point [G 2] <strong>of</strong> section 2.2.3.<br />

C.5.<br />

C.5.1.<br />

C.5.2.<br />

Risk assessment example <strong>of</strong> an organisational significant change<br />

Remark: this example <strong>of</strong> risk assessment was not produced as a result <strong>of</strong> the application <strong>of</strong><br />

the <strong>CSM</strong> process; it was carried out be<strong>for</strong>e the existence <strong>of</strong> <strong>CSM</strong>. The purpose <strong>of</strong> the<br />

example is:<br />

(a) to identify the similarities between the existing risk assessment methods and the <strong>CSM</strong><br />

process;<br />

(b) to give traceability between the existing process and the one requested by the <strong>CSM</strong>;<br />

(c) to provide justification <strong>of</strong> the added value <strong>of</strong> per<strong>for</strong>ming the additional steps (if any)<br />

required by the <strong>CSM</strong>.<br />

It must be stressed that this example is given <strong>for</strong> in<strong>for</strong>mation only. Its purpose is to help the<br />

reader understanding the <strong>CSM</strong> process. But the example itself shall not be transposed to or<br />

used as a reference system <strong>for</strong> another significant change. The risk assessment shall be<br />

carried out <strong>for</strong> each significant change in compliance with the <strong>CSM</strong> Regulation.<br />

The example is related to an organisational change. It was considered significant by the<br />

related proposer. A risk assessment based approach was applied to evaluate the change.<br />

<br />

Reference: <strong>ERA</strong>/GUI/02-2008/SAF Version: 1.1 Page 75 <strong>of</strong> 105<br />

File Name: Collection_<strong>of</strong>_RA_Ex_and_some_tools_<strong>for</strong>_<strong>CSM</strong>_V1.1.doc<br />

European Railway Agency ● Boulevard Harpignies, 160 ● BP 20392 ● F-59307 Valenciennes Cedex ● France ● Tel. +33 (0)3 27 09 65 00 ● Fax +33 (0)3 27 33 40 65 ● http://www.era.europa.eu

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