Cableways Impact Assessment Study - Final Report - saferail.nl

Cableways Impact Assessment Study - Final Report - saferail.nl Cableways Impact Assessment Study - Final Report - saferail.nl

04.07.2015 Views

IA Study Concerning the Revision of the Cableways Directive Figure 2.11: New Cableways for Skiing Purposes (2001-2010), reproduced from Vanat (2011) and Lift-World (nd) Figure 2.11 shows that global deliveries of cableways for skiing purposes underwent a substantial increase after 2001 which culminated in 2006 and have been followed by a sharp drop to a level that is only slightly above that at beginning of the period under review. The drop in new deliveries in 2007 coincides with a sharp decline in skier numbers which occurred in the winter of 2006/2007 due to unfavourable weather conditions. While skier numbers recovered somewhat since then (as shown by the World Overview of Ski Resorts), it is assumed that the recent economic crisis has negatively impacted on investment in new cableways, thus sustaining a trend which commenced prior to the economic crisis. In the Alpine region of Europe, ski tourism peaked in the 2007/2008 season at 1.2 million tourists having expanded on average by 5% per annum since 2000/2001 (Savills, 2011). The industry now remains at some 26% below this peak with 910,900 tourists in the 2010/2011 season (Savills, 2011). The impact of the economic recession was felt in the ski industry during the 2008/2009 winter season when the industry contracted more than 13% compared to the previous year (Savills, 2011). France was the worst hit with a 16% decrease in the number of skiers; Switzerland saw a decrease of 15% and Austria 8%. The decrease in visitor numbers since the 2007/2008 season is a result of recessionary conditions as well as other factors such as snow conditions and the timing of key holidays such as Easter. Looking at the situation more closely; France has seen its market share decrease from 38% in 2007/2008 to 33% in 2010/2011 while Austria has seen its market share increase from 19% in 2006/2007 to 27% in 2010/2011 (Savills, 2011). France, which is considered an expensive ski destination, is seeing reduced visitor numbers while Austria, which is considered better value for money, has increased its market share (Pistehors, 1992- 2011). Austria was significantly less affected by the economic recession and operators continue to invest more than 50% of revenues each year (Vanat, 2011). Page 46

Risk & Policy Analysts Other factors influencing demand for cableways include weather conditions year on year and whether enough income is generated during the winter season to purchase new cableways for the following season. The trend toward purchasing higher performance and higher capacity cableways means fewer cableways need to be installed. This does not necessarily affect cableways manufacturers as large, high performance cableways generate more income than small drag lifts. This may help to explain why the Doppelmayr-Garaventa turnover does not appear to be significantly affected by the decrease in the number of installations. Furthermore, as noted later in this Section, the number of installations in other regions such as Asia is increasing and demand appears to be moving away from the Alps to other areas of the world. This increase is not occurring currently at a rate fast enough to make up for the decreases experienced in the Alps. Another factor may be the price of new cableways. In France the average price of cableways increased 50% in the eight years to 2010 (58% for a detachable chairlift). This is double the increase in ski pass prices therefore it is more difficult for French resorts to find the funds to invest. Changes in Types of Cableways Figure 2.12 shows the types of cableway installations for skiing installed between 2001 and 2010. Fixed and detachable chairlifts continue to be the most popular type of cableways for skiing and together they continue to account for 50% or more of cableways installed in ski resorts each year. Overall, detachable chairlifts are more popular than fixed-grip chairlifts even though their proportion appears to vary widely from year to year and no particular pattern can be identified. Of particular note is the sustained increase in popularity of gondolas which contrasts with the more volatile demand for chair lifts and surface lifts (see Figure 2.13). Figure 2.12: New Cableways for Skiing by Type (2001-2010), reproduced from Vanat (2011) Page 47

Risk & Policy Analysts<br />

Other factors influencing demand for cableways include weather conditions year on<br />

year and whether enough income is generated during the winter season to purchase<br />

new cableways for the following season. The trend toward purchasing higher<br />

performance and higher capacity cableways means fewer cableways need to be<br />

installed. This does not necessarily affect cableways manufacturers as large, high<br />

performance cableways generate more income than small drag lifts. This may help to<br />

explain why the Doppelmayr-Garaventa turnover does not appear to be significantly<br />

affected by the decrease in the number of installations. Furthermore, as noted later in<br />

this Section, the number of installations in other regions such as Asia is increasing<br />

and demand appears to be moving away from the Alps to other areas of the world.<br />

This increase is not occurring currently at a rate fast enough to make up for the<br />

decreases experienced in the Alps. Another factor may be the price of new<br />

cableways. In France the average price of cableways increased 50% in the eight years<br />

to 2010 (58% for a detachable chairlift). This is double the increase in ski pass prices<br />

therefore it is more difficult for French resorts to find the funds to invest.<br />

Changes in Types of <strong>Cableways</strong><br />

Figure 2.12 shows the types of cableway installations for skiing installed between<br />

2001 and 2010. Fixed and detachable chairlifts continue to be the most popular type<br />

of cableways for skiing and together they continue to account for 50% or more of<br />

cableways installed in ski resorts each year. Overall, detachable chairlifts are more<br />

popular than fixed-grip chairlifts even though their proportion appears to vary widely<br />

from year to year and no particular pattern can be identified. Of particular note is the<br />

sustained increase in popularity of gondolas which contrasts with the more volatile<br />

demand for chair lifts and surface lifts (see Figure 2.13).<br />

Figure 2.12: New <strong>Cableways</strong> for Skiing by Type (2001-2010), reproduced from Vanat (2011)<br />

Page 47

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