Vegetation Dynamics in JULES: The TRIFFID model.
Vegetation Dynamics in JULES: The TRIFFID model. Vegetation Dynamics in JULES: The TRIFFID model.
Vegetation Dynamics in JULES v2.0: The TRIFFID model. Rosie Fisher Stephen Sitch David Galbraith Chris Huntingford
- Page 2 and 3: TRIFFID history TRIFFID is the glob
- Page 4 and 5: TRIFFID and PFT competition NL tree
- Page 6 and 7: Groups working with TRIFFID Hadley
- Page 8 and 9: .1. DGVM inter comparison Sitch et
- Page 10 and 11: Conclusions: TRIFFID is much more s
- Page 12 and 13: Interactions with other climate dri
- Page 14 and 15: Inclusion of temperature acclimatio
- Page 16: Conclusions Expectation is that acc
<strong>Vegetation</strong> <strong>Dynamics</strong> <strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>JULES</strong> v2.0:<br />
<strong>The</strong> <strong>TRIFFID</strong> <strong>model</strong>.<br />
Rosie Fisher<br />
Stephen Sitch<br />
David Galbraith<br />
Chris Hunt<strong>in</strong>gford
<strong>TRIFFID</strong> history<br />
<strong>TRIFFID</strong> is the global vegetation <strong>model</strong><br />
embedded <strong>in</strong> the Hadley Centre GCM & <strong>JULES</strong>.<br />
<strong>TRIFFID</strong> is similar (not identical) to the majority<br />
of DGVMs <strong>in</strong> terms of physiology & PFT<br />
composition.<br />
Conceptually different <strong>in</strong> terms of vegetation<br />
competition & half-hourly hourly gas exchange.
<strong>TRIFFID</strong> Structure <strong>in</strong> <strong>JULES</strong><br />
Soils<br />
Growth<br />
Phenology (daily)<br />
MOSES<br />
NPP<br />
PFT LAI +<br />
Coverage<br />
<strong>TRIFFID</strong><br />
Competition<br />
Climate<br />
Disturbance<br />
Decomposition<br />
Turnover<br />
30-180 m<strong>in</strong>utes 10-30 days
<strong>TRIFFID</strong> and PFT competition<br />
NL<br />
tree<br />
BL<br />
tree<br />
C3<br />
C4<br />
Change <strong>in</strong> vegetation carbon<br />
Area <strong>in</strong>crease NPP Litter<br />
Bare Gd<br />
Shrub<br />
Expansion of PFT area: Lotka Volterra
PFT competition<br />
Competition parameters C ij<br />
Def<strong>in</strong>e how PFT ‘i’ affects PFT ‘j’<br />
‘Tree – shrub – grass’ dom<strong>in</strong>ance<br />
hierarchy.<br />
<strong>The</strong>se parameters are difficult to def<strong>in</strong>e…
Groups work<strong>in</strong>g with <strong>TRIFFID</strong><br />
Hadley Centre JCHMR (HADGEM3)<br />
• First implementation of C-cycle C<br />
<strong>in</strong> standard<br />
Hadley Model<br />
Read<strong>in</strong>g – soil moisture parameters<br />
CLASSIC – snow <strong>model</strong>l<strong>in</strong>g, physiology<br />
DGVM <strong>in</strong>tercomparisons – Sitch,<br />
Friedl<strong>in</strong>gste<strong>in</strong>, Cramer.
Results from <strong>TRIFFID</strong><br />
Inter-comparison with other DGVMs <strong>in</strong><br />
IMOGEN: Stephen Sitch<br />
Disaggregation of water and temperature<br />
responses <strong>in</strong> Amazonia: David Galbraith<br />
Acclimation of respiration to <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g<br />
temperature: Owen Atk<strong>in</strong> & Rosie Fisher
.1. DGVM <strong>in</strong>ter comparison<br />
Sitch et al 2007<br />
Compared 5 DGVMs with the same climate<br />
drivers with<strong>in</strong> the IMOGEN framework.<br />
Previous <strong>in</strong>ter-comparisons (C 4 MIP) have used<br />
different GCM-DGVM pairs. This is a direct<br />
comparison<br />
Compare predicted change <strong>in</strong> land carbon over<br />
21 st century.<br />
Separate out the CO 2 and climate response.
Sitch et al. 2007
Conclusions:<br />
<strong>TRIFFID</strong> is much more sensitive to<br />
climate changes than the ‘mean’<br />
<strong>model</strong> response.<br />
Why is this?
2. Interactions between climate drivers us<strong>in</strong>g<br />
MOSES-<strong>TRIFFID</strong><br />
(40% Precip Reduction to 2100)<br />
Slides by David Galbraith<br />
160<br />
Change <strong>in</strong> Amazonian<br />
<strong>Vegetation</strong> Carbon (PgC)<br />
140<br />
120<br />
100<br />
80<br />
60<br />
40<br />
20<br />
2020 2040 2060 2080 2100<br />
Year<br />
Precipitation<br />
Precipitation + CO 2<br />
Precipitation + Temperature<br />
Precipitation + VPD<br />
Precipitation + CO2 + VPD + Temperature
Interactions with other climate drivers:<br />
Partition<strong>in</strong>g the ‘dieback’ response<br />
60<br />
40<br />
Which aspect of<br />
temperature is<br />
caus<strong>in</strong>g the dieback?<br />
Variance Expla<strong>in</strong>ed (%)<br />
20<br />
0<br />
-20<br />
-40<br />
-60<br />
Respiration <strong>in</strong>crease<br />
or photosynthetic<br />
decl<strong>in</strong>e?<br />
-80<br />
-100<br />
MOSES-<strong>TRIFFID</strong> HYLAND LPJ<br />
MODEL<br />
VPD<br />
Soil moisture<br />
CO2<br />
TEMP
3. Acclimation of respiration to temperature.<br />
Atk<strong>in</strong> O, Zaragoza-Castells<br />
J, Fisher R et al. <strong>in</strong> review<br />
100<br />
50<br />
a<br />
c<br />
7 o C<br />
14 o C<br />
21 o C<br />
28 o C<br />
Leaf R mass<br />
(nmol CO 2<br />
g -1 s -1 )<br />
10<br />
5<br />
100<br />
50<br />
b<br />
d<br />
10<br />
5<br />
10 50 100 150<br />
LMA (g m -2 )<br />
1 5 10<br />
Leaf N concentration (%)<br />
Acclimation adjusts the<br />
LMA:R <strong>in</strong>tercept, but not<br />
the slope, so is<br />
predictable from the<br />
exist<strong>in</strong>g rate of<br />
respiration and the<br />
temperature change<br />
from the reference value
Inclusion of temperature<br />
acclimation <strong>in</strong> <strong>JULES</strong><br />
We assume that the ‘reference temperature’ for respiration is 25 o C<br />
18<br />
Respiraton (arbitary units)<br />
16<br />
14<br />
12<br />
10<br />
8<br />
6<br />
4<br />
2<br />
0<br />
Low temperature<br />
ecosystems<br />
No acclimation<br />
+ acclimation<br />
R mT<br />
Tropics &<br />
hot-arid<br />
ecosystems<br />
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50<br />
Temperature ( o C)
1861 2100<br />
Acclimation of respiration<br />
Acclimation-dependent<br />
change <strong>in</strong> plant R<br />
(% control)<br />
Latitude<br />
Acclimation-dependent<br />
change <strong>in</strong> plant R<br />
(g C m -2 yr -1 )<br />
Control rates of<br />
plant R (no acclimation)<br />
(g C m -2 yr -1 )
Conclusions<br />
Expectation is that<br />
acclimation reduces<br />
respiration with<br />
<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g temperature.<br />
Our net result is no<br />
change <strong>in</strong> carbon balance<br />
as +ve+<br />
acclimation <strong>in</strong><br />
boreal zone cancels out -<br />
ve acclimation <strong>in</strong> tropical<br />
zone