2006 Parks, Trails and Open Space Plan - City of Lakeville

2006 Parks, Trails and Open Space Plan - City of Lakeville 2006 Parks, Trails and Open Space Plan - City of Lakeville

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Socioeconomic Profile Population According to the Census, Lakeville’s population was 43,128 persons in 2000. Lakeville was one of the fastest growing municipalities in the region during the 1980s and 1990s. Since most communities north of Lakeville are nearly fully developed, Lakeville will continue to experience growth as the Metro Area furthers its outward expansion. Young families will continue to migrate to Lakeville, creating an increased need for family recreational programs and facilities. The City also expects to retain many of its current residents. As current residents mature, the population will require recreational programs and facilities for all ages. As Lakeville also becomes fully developed, population and employment growth will begin to taper off around 2030. Table 4 shows historic and projected population, household and employment growth from 1980 to 2030. Table 5 displays the historic and projected percentage growth rates for population, household and employment in Lakeville from 1990 to 2030. TABLE 4 POPULATION, HOUSEHOLD & EMPLOYMENT GROWTH Year Population Employees Household Household Size 1980 14,790 2,700 4,337 3.41 1990 24,854 6,668 7,851 3.17 2000 43,128 9,885 13,609 3.17 2010 55,200 11,900 19,200 2.88 2020 76,500 13,200 28,000 2.73 2030 86,000 14,400 33,500 2.57 SOURCE: U.S. Census, Metropolitan Council Regional Development Framework. TABLE 5 POPULATION, HOUSEHOLD & EMPLOYMENT GROWTH RATES Year Population Employees Households 1990 to 2000 74% 48% 73% 2000 to 2010 28% 20% 41% 2010 to 2020 39% 11% 46% 2020 to 2030 12% 9% 20% SOURCE: Metropolitan Council Regional Development Framework. Age Distribution As illustrated in Table 6, The 1990 Census and the 2000 Census provide historical figures regarding Lakeville’s population distribution by age category. Lakeville’s residential growth continues to be largely generated by young families. As a result, the community’s age profiles are dominated by children and adolescents younger than 14 years and by adults age 25 to 44. The percentage of the total population in these categories exceeds those of Dakota County and the Seven-County Metro Region. In contrast, Lakeville has fewer young adults 15 to 24 and older adults over 45 compared City of Lakeville, Minnesota Chapter Two 2006 Comprehensive Parks, Trails, & Open Space Plan Page 25

to the Metro Area as a whole. Lakeville is significantly lower in senior population compared to Dakota County and the Metro Area. As the City matures, its age profile will likely become more consistent with the remainder of Dakota County and ultimately, the Metropolitan Area. Lakeville’s projected growth through the next decade will still be primarily comprised of young families. However, the City must be cognizant of the maturation of its existing population and address its changing demographics in its recreational planning. The 1990 Census showed a median age of 27.9 in the City, while the 2000 Census indicated a median age of 31.5. The change in median age illustrates the gradual maturation of the City’s population that will continue through 2010 and beyond. Age Group TABLE 6 POPULATION ACCORDING TO AGE GROUP 1990 & 2000 No. 1990 Lakeville Dakota County 7-County Metro % % No. % No. 1990 2000 2000 2000 2000 No. 2000 % 2000 School Age: 0-4 2,952 4,358 11.9 10.1 27,585 7.8 188,236 7.1 5-9 2,747 4,655 11.0 10.8 29,549 8.3 198,690 7.5 10-14 2,128 4,413 8.6 10.2 30,047 8.4 197,611 7.5 15-19 1,566 3,104 6.3 7.2 25,050 7.0 183,491 6.9 Sub-Total 9,939 16,530 37.7 38.3 112,231 31.5 768,028 29.1 Labor Force: 20-24 1,353 1,561 5.4 3.6 19,817 5.6 173,732 6.6 25-34 6,083 6,554 24.4 15.2 54,030 15.2 411,155 15.6 35-44 4,625 9,757 18.6 22.6 68,194 19.2 469,324 17.8 45-54 1,961 5,215 7.9 12.1 49,249 13.8 363,592 13.8 55-64 854 2,285 3.4 5.3 26,137 7.3 200,980 7.6 Sub-Total 14,876 25,372 60.0 59.0 217,427 61.1 1,618,783 61.3 Retired: 65+ 585 1,226 2.3 3.0 26,246 7.4 255,245 9.7 TOTAL 24,854 43,128 100.0 100.0 355,904 100.0 2,642,056 100.0 SOURCE: U.S. Census 1990, 2000 NOTE: Seven County Metropolitan Area includes Anoka, Carver, Dakota, Hennepin, Ramsey, Scott and Washington Counties. School Enrollment Lakeville is served by Lakeville School District 194, Rosemount School District 196, and Farmington School District 192, as shown on Map 7. Tables 7, 8 and 9 show enrollment figures for the three districts from the 2000-2001 school year through the 2004-2005 school year. Official school enrollment numbers are measured in October. Enrollments in the Farmington and Lakeville School Districts have experienced significant increases in student enrollment from 2000 to 2005. The most substantial increases were among the Pre-Kindergarten and 6 th -12 th grades. The Rosemount School District has been experiencing gradual declines in student enrollment due to a City of Lakeville, Minnesota Chapter Two 2006 Comprehensive Parks, Trails, & Open Space Plan Page 26

to the Metro Area as a whole. <strong>Lakeville</strong> is significantly lower in senior population<br />

compared to Dakota County <strong>and</strong> the Metro Area.<br />

As the <strong>City</strong> matures, its age pr<strong>of</strong>ile will likely become more consistent with the<br />

remainder <strong>of</strong> Dakota County <strong>and</strong> ultimately, the Metropolitan Area. <strong>Lakeville</strong>’s projected<br />

growth through the next decade will still be primarily comprised <strong>of</strong> young families.<br />

However, the <strong>City</strong> must be cognizant <strong>of</strong> the maturation <strong>of</strong> its existing population <strong>and</strong><br />

address its changing demographics in its recreational planning. The 1990 Census<br />

showed a median age <strong>of</strong> 27.9 in the <strong>City</strong>, while the 2000 Census indicated a median<br />

age <strong>of</strong> 31.5. The change in median age illustrates the gradual maturation <strong>of</strong> the <strong>City</strong>’s<br />

population that will continue through 2010 <strong>and</strong> beyond.<br />

Age Group<br />

TABLE 6<br />

POPULATION ACCORDING TO AGE GROUP<br />

1990 & 2000<br />

No.<br />

1990<br />

<strong>Lakeville</strong> Dakota County 7-County Metro<br />

% % No. % No.<br />

1990 2000 2000 2000 2000<br />

No.<br />

2000<br />

%<br />

2000<br />

School Age:<br />

0-4 2,952 4,358 11.9 10.1 27,585 7.8 188,236 7.1<br />

5-9 2,747 4,655 11.0 10.8 29,549 8.3 198,690 7.5<br />

10-14 2,128 4,413 8.6 10.2 30,047 8.4 197,611 7.5<br />

15-19 1,566 3,104 6.3 7.2 25,050 7.0 183,491 6.9<br />

Sub-Total 9,939 16,530 37.7 38.3 112,231 31.5 768,028 29.1<br />

Labor Force:<br />

20-24 1,353 1,561 5.4 3.6 19,817 5.6 173,732 6.6<br />

25-34 6,083 6,554 24.4 15.2 54,030 15.2 411,155 15.6<br />

35-44 4,625 9,757 18.6 22.6 68,194 19.2 469,324 17.8<br />

45-54 1,961 5,215 7.9 12.1 49,249 13.8 363,592 13.8<br />

55-64 854 2,285 3.4 5.3 26,137 7.3 200,980 7.6<br />

Sub-Total 14,876 25,372 60.0 59.0 217,427 61.1 1,618,783 61.3<br />

Retired:<br />

65+ 585 1,226 2.3 3.0 26,246 7.4 255,245 9.7<br />

TOTAL 24,854 43,128 100.0 100.0 355,904 100.0 2,642,056 100.0<br />

SOURCE: U.S. Census 1990, 2000<br />

NOTE: Seven County Metropolitan Area includes Anoka, Carver, Dakota, Hennepin,<br />

Ramsey, Scott <strong>and</strong> Washington Counties.<br />

School Enrollment<br />

<strong>Lakeville</strong> is served by <strong>Lakeville</strong> School District 194, Rosemount School District 196, <strong>and</strong><br />

Farmington School District 192, as shown on Map 7. Tables 7, 8 <strong>and</strong> 9 show<br />

enrollment figures for the three districts from the 2000-2001 school year through the<br />

2004-2005 school year. Official school enrollment numbers are measured in October.<br />

Enrollments in the Farmington <strong>and</strong> <strong>Lakeville</strong> School Districts have experienced<br />

significant increases in student enrollment from 2000 to 2005. The most substantial<br />

increases were among the Pre-Kindergarten <strong>and</strong> 6 th -12 th grades. The Rosemount<br />

School District has been experiencing gradual declines in student enrollment due to a<br />

<strong>City</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Lakeville</strong>, Minnesota<br />

Chapter Two<br />

<strong>2006</strong> Comprehensive <strong>Parks</strong>, <strong>Trails</strong>, & <strong>Open</strong> <strong>Space</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> Page 26

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