Better Sooner More Convenient Primary Care - New Zealand Doctor

Better Sooner More Convenient Primary Care - New Zealand Doctor Better Sooner More Convenient Primary Care - New Zealand Doctor

nzdoctor.co.nz
from nzdoctor.co.nz More from this publisher
19.06.2015 Views

9 Financial sustainability 9.1 Status quo financial situation As noted in section 1, the WCDHB is projecting a sizeable deficit. The table below shows the DHB and PHO forecast annual profit and loss for 2009/10 based on the six months actuals to December 2009, using the proposed new service groupings 18 . Overhead & Annual forecast Revenue Expenditure Profit / loss revenue allocation Profit / loss after Oheads Buller IFHC - 6,916,966 10,971,593 -4,054,627 311,079 -4,365,706 Grey IFHC - 4,786,998 5,501,697 -714,698 - 377,934 -336,764 Westland IFHC - 2,251,108 2,644,070 -392,962 125,677 -518,639 IFHC distict wide - 2,623,900 2,957,122 -333,222 207,653 -540,875 WCPHO - 5,186,089 4,666,855 519,234 - 519,234 Total primary & community - 21,765,061 26,741,337 -4,976,276 266,474 -5,242,750 Mental Health - 12,503,600 10,665,960 1,837,640 1,644,881 192,759 DHB secondary - 36,143,984 43,823,541 -7,679,557 640,689 -8,320,246 DHB corporate - 7,911,042 11,246,868 -3,335,826 - 3,335,826 0 DHB Funder - 51,726,777 46,304,029 5,422,748 783,782 4,638,966 Total DHB services - 108,285,403 112,040,398 -3,754,995 - 266,474 -3,488,521 Total West Coast - 130,050,464 138,781,735 -8,731,271 0 -8,731,271 Based on status quo revenue and expenditure, each of the IFHCs, plus the district wide service would make a sizeable deficit. Overall, the estimated deficit for primary and community services is $5.25 million, approximately 20% of current revenue. The PHO is forecasting a surplus of around $0.5 million for the year, resulting from lower than anticipated uptake of some of the LTC and other fee for service programmes – hence the status quo DHB loss on these services is in the order of $5.75 million for 2009/10. At the same time, the DHB secondary care services core deficit is about $8 million, partially offset by a DHB funder surplus. The reader should note that this projection is based on a 6 month snapshot, updated to incorporate WCDHB finance team forecast as at end January 2010. Year end actuals for 2010 may vary from those projected. This table also does not incorporate any adjustments for the expected DAP budget 2010/11 changes. Overheads and internal revenue have been allocated using the 08/09 national pricing project West Coast submission with minor adjustments. If the business case is approved, the DHB and PHO will undertake a more detailed allocation of direct and indirect revenue and expenditure to fully validate the new service groupings and refine the P&L forecast. 18 Note that known duplicates in the DHB funder arm and PHO have been eliminated, but some may persist resulting in double counting of both revenue and expenditure – this does not affect the profit/loss calculation. Business case EoI V38 AC 25Feb10 Page 58

Of note, a large proportion of the current loss in community and primary care services is driven from service provision in the Buller/Reefton Territorial Local Authority (TLA). This reflects losses at both the medical centres and from the provision of hospital and residential care services. 9.2 Addressing affordability Clearly the projected losses are unsustainable. The DHB has indicated a target reduction in the deficit of 50% at the end of three years, and 100% within 5 years. We have adopted a target reduction of 65% of the primary/community deficit within 3 years, with full deficit eradication within 5 years. This will require tough decisions to be taken, and will inevitably involve reductions in services in some areas, as well as efficiency and effectiveness gains. The options for achieving these savings are still under discussion, and will be subject to consultation, but the table below outlines the size of the possible gains that can be made over three years based on a preliminary assessment. The financial sustainability initiatives include: $0.5m estimated to be able to be saved by reducing administration and management FTEs through primary and community co-location and service integration. $1.5m estimated to be able to be saved by service reconfigurations, relocations and reductions. $1.1m savings through adopting a team based model of general practice care and moving to a 1:2000 GP ratio, partly offset by costs of $0.6m associated with moving to a 1:900 practice nurse ratio. $0.23m estimated to be saved through reduced use of secondary care follow ups. $0.1m from reductions in ASH admissions. $0.25m from referred services management initiatives. $0.5m gain to the community provider from a realistic price for rural inpatient bed services. Each of the possible initiatives has been scoped at a conceptual level, but will require further work and some will require consultation and clinical validation before they can be confirmed. Some savings could be made quite quickly, while others savings will not be realised until new facilities are in place. Transitional arrangements The intention is that the DHB will provide transitional funding on an abating basis to cover the deficit over the first five years of operation – at the end of which the operations will be breakeven or better. The transitional funding reduces from $4.6m in year 1 to $1.3m in year 3. Business case EoI V38 AC 25Feb10 Page 59

Of note, a large proportion of the current loss in community and primary care services is driven<br />

from service provision in the Buller/Reefton Territorial Local Authority (TLA). This reflects<br />

losses at both the medical centres and from the provision of hospital and residential care<br />

services.<br />

9.2 Addressing affordability<br />

Clearly the projected losses are unsustainable. The DHB has indicated a target reduction in the<br />

deficit of 50% at the end of three years, and 100% within 5 years. We have adopted a target<br />

reduction of 65% of the primary/community deficit within 3 years, with full deficit eradication<br />

within 5 years.<br />

This will require tough decisions to be taken, and will inevitably involve reductions in services in<br />

some areas, as well as efficiency and effectiveness gains.<br />

The options for achieving these savings are still under discussion, and will be subject to<br />

consultation, but the table below outlines the size of the possible gains that can be made over<br />

three years based on a preliminary assessment.<br />

The financial sustainability initiatives include:<br />

$0.5m estimated to be able to be saved by reducing administration and management<br />

FTEs through primary and community co-location and service integration.<br />

$1.5m estimated to be able to be saved by service reconfigurations, relocations and<br />

reductions.<br />

$1.1m savings through adopting a team based model of general practice care and moving<br />

to a 1:2000 GP ratio, partly offset by costs of $0.6m associated with moving to a 1:900<br />

practice nurse ratio.<br />

$0.23m estimated to be saved through reduced use of secondary care follow ups.<br />

$0.1m from reductions in ASH admissions.<br />

$0.25m from referred services management initiatives.<br />

$0.5m gain to the community provider from a realistic price for rural inpatient bed<br />

services.<br />

Each of the possible initiatives has been scoped at a conceptual level, but will require further<br />

work and some will require consultation and clinical validation before they can be confirmed.<br />

Some savings could be made quite quickly, while others savings will not be realised until new<br />

facilities are in place.<br />

Transitional arrangements<br />

The intention is that the DHB will provide transitional funding on an abating basis to cover the<br />

deficit over the first five years of operation – at the end of which the operations will be<br />

breakeven or better. The transitional funding reduces from $4.6m in year 1 to $1.3m in year 3.<br />

Business case EoI V38 AC 25Feb10 Page 59

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!