Better Sooner More Convenient Primary Care - New Zealand Doctor
Better Sooner More Convenient Primary Care - New Zealand Doctor Better Sooner More Convenient Primary Care - New Zealand Doctor
9 Financial sustainability 9.1 Status quo financial situation As noted in section 1, the WCDHB is projecting a sizeable deficit. The table below shows the DHB and PHO forecast annual profit and loss for 2009/10 based on the six months actuals to December 2009, using the proposed new service groupings 18 . Overhead & Annual forecast Revenue Expenditure Profit / loss revenue allocation Profit / loss after Oheads Buller IFHC - 6,916,966 10,971,593 -4,054,627 311,079 -4,365,706 Grey IFHC - 4,786,998 5,501,697 -714,698 - 377,934 -336,764 Westland IFHC - 2,251,108 2,644,070 -392,962 125,677 -518,639 IFHC distict wide - 2,623,900 2,957,122 -333,222 207,653 -540,875 WCPHO - 5,186,089 4,666,855 519,234 - 519,234 Total primary & community - 21,765,061 26,741,337 -4,976,276 266,474 -5,242,750 Mental Health - 12,503,600 10,665,960 1,837,640 1,644,881 192,759 DHB secondary - 36,143,984 43,823,541 -7,679,557 640,689 -8,320,246 DHB corporate - 7,911,042 11,246,868 -3,335,826 - 3,335,826 0 DHB Funder - 51,726,777 46,304,029 5,422,748 783,782 4,638,966 Total DHB services - 108,285,403 112,040,398 -3,754,995 - 266,474 -3,488,521 Total West Coast - 130,050,464 138,781,735 -8,731,271 0 -8,731,271 Based on status quo revenue and expenditure, each of the IFHCs, plus the district wide service would make a sizeable deficit. Overall, the estimated deficit for primary and community services is $5.25 million, approximately 20% of current revenue. The PHO is forecasting a surplus of around $0.5 million for the year, resulting from lower than anticipated uptake of some of the LTC and other fee for service programmes – hence the status quo DHB loss on these services is in the order of $5.75 million for 2009/10. At the same time, the DHB secondary care services core deficit is about $8 million, partially offset by a DHB funder surplus. The reader should note that this projection is based on a 6 month snapshot, updated to incorporate WCDHB finance team forecast as at end January 2010. Year end actuals for 2010 may vary from those projected. This table also does not incorporate any adjustments for the expected DAP budget 2010/11 changes. Overheads and internal revenue have been allocated using the 08/09 national pricing project West Coast submission with minor adjustments. If the business case is approved, the DHB and PHO will undertake a more detailed allocation of direct and indirect revenue and expenditure to fully validate the new service groupings and refine the P&L forecast. 18 Note that known duplicates in the DHB funder arm and PHO have been eliminated, but some may persist resulting in double counting of both revenue and expenditure – this does not affect the profit/loss calculation. Business case EoI V38 AC 25Feb10 Page 58
Of note, a large proportion of the current loss in community and primary care services is driven from service provision in the Buller/Reefton Territorial Local Authority (TLA). This reflects losses at both the medical centres and from the provision of hospital and residential care services. 9.2 Addressing affordability Clearly the projected losses are unsustainable. The DHB has indicated a target reduction in the deficit of 50% at the end of three years, and 100% within 5 years. We have adopted a target reduction of 65% of the primary/community deficit within 3 years, with full deficit eradication within 5 years. This will require tough decisions to be taken, and will inevitably involve reductions in services in some areas, as well as efficiency and effectiveness gains. The options for achieving these savings are still under discussion, and will be subject to consultation, but the table below outlines the size of the possible gains that can be made over three years based on a preliminary assessment. The financial sustainability initiatives include: $0.5m estimated to be able to be saved by reducing administration and management FTEs through primary and community co-location and service integration. $1.5m estimated to be able to be saved by service reconfigurations, relocations and reductions. $1.1m savings through adopting a team based model of general practice care and moving to a 1:2000 GP ratio, partly offset by costs of $0.6m associated with moving to a 1:900 practice nurse ratio. $0.23m estimated to be saved through reduced use of secondary care follow ups. $0.1m from reductions in ASH admissions. $0.25m from referred services management initiatives. $0.5m gain to the community provider from a realistic price for rural inpatient bed services. Each of the possible initiatives has been scoped at a conceptual level, but will require further work and some will require consultation and clinical validation before they can be confirmed. Some savings could be made quite quickly, while others savings will not be realised until new facilities are in place. Transitional arrangements The intention is that the DHB will provide transitional funding on an abating basis to cover the deficit over the first five years of operation – at the end of which the operations will be breakeven or better. The transitional funding reduces from $4.6m in year 1 to $1.3m in year 3. Business case EoI V38 AC 25Feb10 Page 59
- Page 7 and 8: staffed on a capacity model - in wh
- Page 9 and 10: support from DHBs, specialist clini
- Page 11 and 12: 10.4 Key milestones................
- Page 13 and 14: Annual government health funding pe
- Page 15 and 16: Ambulatory Sensitive Hospitalisatio
- Page 17 and 18: The base populations of the three d
- Page 19 and 20: Māori/Pacific Not Māori/Pacific D
- Page 21 and 22: 4.7 West Coast region service deliv
- Page 23 and 24: 5 Future model of care 5.1 The desi
- Page 25 and 26: support them. Help with understandi
- Page 27 and 28: LEVERS VISION Better, sooner, more
- Page 29 and 30: providing the majority of care). Th
- Page 31 and 32: The Community Health System Deliver
- Page 33 and 34: To better integrate the support pro
- Page 35 and 36: 5.5 Enablers A key aspect of this b
- Page 37 and 38: Two rounds of meetings with front l
- Page 39 and 40: While doctor-nurse substitution has
- Page 41 and 42: Nick Goodwin, Kings Fund 14 , in hi
- Page 43 and 44: Quality domains Each new initiative
- Page 45 and 46: Preventative Acute LTC management R
- Page 47 and 48: Preventative Acute LTC management R
- Page 49 and 50: The core services are provided or p
- Page 51 and 52: Total required FTEs for the Grey IF
- Page 53 and 54: 7 Governance, Ownership & Managemen
- Page 55 and 56: Option D: PHO/DHB jointly owned Pri
- Page 57: The IFHS will need the ability to b
- Page 61 and 62: The DHB delegates decision making o
- Page 63 and 64: Limited integration of community se
- Page 65 and 66: 10.4 Key milestones The table below
- Page 67 and 68: Expanded pharmacy roles Improving a
- Page 69 and 70: Devolved community based services w
- Page 71 and 72: Appendices Appendix One: Health Equ
- Page 73 and 74: ongoing GP shortage creating an env
- Page 75 and 76: 10. What are the unintended consequ
- Page 77 and 78: It is common for people with an acu
- Page 79 and 80: Outcome measures Indicator Baseline
- Page 81 and 82: determine ratio of nurses and GPs t
- Page 83 and 84: C. Extended role for pharmacists:
- Page 85 and 86: 11 Engagement Working group who dev
- Page 87 and 88: Appendix B: Acutely unwell adult pa
- Page 89 and 90: 4 Objectives to implement nur
- Page 91 and 92: Review Buller after hours arrangeme
- Page 93 and 94: Year three Community education camp
- Page 95 and 96: 13 Costs Budget considerations:
- Page 97 and 98: established. This group now oversee
- Page 99 and 100: Output measures Tobacco control / s
- Page 101 and 102: Improving immunisation coverage - h
- Page 103 and 104: Year three Continued joint plan
- Page 105 and 106: extending health promotion activiti
- Page 107 and 108: Immunisation Coverage Funder Provid
Of note, a large proportion of the current loss in community and primary care services is driven<br />
from service provision in the Buller/Reefton Territorial Local Authority (TLA). This reflects<br />
losses at both the medical centres and from the provision of hospital and residential care<br />
services.<br />
9.2 Addressing affordability<br />
Clearly the projected losses are unsustainable. The DHB has indicated a target reduction in the<br />
deficit of 50% at the end of three years, and 100% within 5 years. We have adopted a target<br />
reduction of 65% of the primary/community deficit within 3 years, with full deficit eradication<br />
within 5 years.<br />
This will require tough decisions to be taken, and will inevitably involve reductions in services in<br />
some areas, as well as efficiency and effectiveness gains.<br />
The options for achieving these savings are still under discussion, and will be subject to<br />
consultation, but the table below outlines the size of the possible gains that can be made over<br />
three years based on a preliminary assessment.<br />
The financial sustainability initiatives include:<br />
$0.5m estimated to be able to be saved by reducing administration and management<br />
FTEs through primary and community co-location and service integration.<br />
$1.5m estimated to be able to be saved by service reconfigurations, relocations and<br />
reductions.<br />
$1.1m savings through adopting a team based model of general practice care and moving<br />
to a 1:2000 GP ratio, partly offset by costs of $0.6m associated with moving to a 1:900<br />
practice nurse ratio.<br />
$0.23m estimated to be saved through reduced use of secondary care follow ups.<br />
$0.1m from reductions in ASH admissions.<br />
$0.25m from referred services management initiatives.<br />
$0.5m gain to the community provider from a realistic price for rural inpatient bed<br />
services.<br />
Each of the possible initiatives has been scoped at a conceptual level, but will require further<br />
work and some will require consultation and clinical validation before they can be confirmed.<br />
Some savings could be made quite quickly, while others savings will not be realised until new<br />
facilities are in place.<br />
Transitional arrangements<br />
The intention is that the DHB will provide transitional funding on an abating basis to cover the<br />
deficit over the first five years of operation – at the end of which the operations will be<br />
breakeven or better. The transitional funding reduces from $4.6m in year 1 to $1.3m in year 3.<br />
Business case EoI V38 AC 25Feb10 Page 59