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Chapter 2 | The impact of the crisis on the health system and health in Estonia 49 Table 2.1 Demographic and economic indicators in Estonia, 2000–2012 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Total population 1,379.3 1,373.5 1,367.6 1,361.6 1,356.2 1,351.2 1,346.0 1,342.0 1,342.3 1,340.3 1,338.5 1,336.9 1,335.0 (in thousands) a People aged 65 and over 15.0 15.2 15.6 16.0 16.4 16.7 17.0 17.3 17.4 17.4 17.4 17.5 17.8 (% total population) a GDP per capita 5,800 6,200 6,600 7,100 7,600 8,300 9,200 9,900 9,500 8,100 8,400 9,100 9,400 (e) a Real GDP growth – – – 7.8 6.3 8.9 10.1 7.5 –4.2 –14.1 3.3 8.3 3.2 (%) a Government deficit – – 0.3 1.7 1.6 1.6 2.5 2.4 –3.0 –2.0 0.2 1.1 –0.2 (% GDP) b Government consolidated 5.1 4.8 5.7 5.6 5.0 4.6 4.4 3.7 4.5 7.1 6.7 6.1 9.8 (% GDP) b gross debt Total unemployment 13.6 12.6 10.3 10.0 9.7 7.9 5.9 4.8 5.5 13.8 16.9 12.5 10.2 (% total labour force) a Long-term unemployment 6.2 6.1 5.4 4.6 5.1 4.2 2.8 2.3 1.7 3.8 7.7 7.1 – (% active population) a Note: Population figures may differ slightly from national sources. Sources: a OECD, 2014; b Eurostat, 2013.

50 Economic crisis, health systems and health in Europe: country experience 1.3 Broader consequences As a result of these measures, Estonia was able to keep public sector debt at around 7% of GDP in 2009, which was one of the lowest rates in Europe. The overall public sector budget deficit was 2% of GDP in 2009 followed by a surplus of 0.2% in 2010 and 1.1% in 2011. The government reserves were 11.6% of GDP in 2009 and 12% of GDP in 2010. 2. Health system pressures prior to the crisis The health system was relatively well prepared for an economic shock of this magnitude, which was a significant contraction but of short duration. The EHIF accumulated sufficient reserves during the previous years of rapid growth – in fact far more than was legally required – signalling its careful expansion policy. Because significant restructuring in service delivery and payment reforms took place long before the crisis, major inefficiencies in the health system had already been dealt with. Although EHIF spending increased during the years of growth, these increases were not as great as increases in other parts of the public sector and, in any case, were less than increases in revenue. The EHIF focused on enhancing cost–effectiveness in pricing, contracting and the benefits package. Financial protection has also improved since 2009 through policies to encourage rational prescribing, generic substitution and limitation of the financial burden of user charges on patients (see section 3.2). In addition, in the years immediately preceding the crisis, the health system had invested in analysing a range of key issues, including financial sustainability. As a result of all these measures, the health system was relatively well placed to manage a short-term crisis. 3. Health system responses to the crisis The main change affecting the health sector was the restructuring of health expenditure in line with reduced health budgets while simultaneously trying to have the least possible effect on the financing of core health care services. At the beginning of the economic crisis, the health sector, and the national health insurance system in particular, was in a better position compared with other parts of the public sector as the EHIF had accumulated substantial reserves through rapid revenue growth during the early 2000s. In addition, the health sector had more leeway in responding to the crisis as most of the high-impact changes introduced during the crisis (mainly measures to control expenditure growth) were already in the pipeline before the crisis. 3.1 Changes to public funding for the health system One of the major fiscal responses to the economic crisis was to cut public expenditure to ensure a stable, medium-term fiscal position and to support

50 Economic <strong>crisis</strong>, <strong>health</strong> <strong>systems</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>health</strong> in Europe: country experience<br />

1.3 Broader consequences<br />

As a result of these measures, Estonia was able to keep public sector debt at<br />

around 7% of GDP in 2009, which was one of the lowest rates in Europe.<br />

The overall public sector budget deficit was 2% of GDP in 2009 followed by<br />

a surplus of 0.2% in 2010 <strong>and</strong> 1.1% in 2011. The government reserves were<br />

11.6% of GDP in 2009 <strong>and</strong> 12% of GDP in 2010.<br />

2. Health system pressures prior to the <strong>crisis</strong><br />

The <strong>health</strong> system was relatively well prepared for an <strong>economic</strong> shock of this<br />

magnitude, which was a significant contraction but of short duration. The EHIF<br />

accumulated sufficient reserves during the previous years of rapid growth –<br />

in fact far more than was legally required – signalling its careful expansion<br />

policy. Because significant restructuring in service delivery <strong>and</strong> payment<br />

reforms took place long before the <strong>crisis</strong>, major inefficiencies in the <strong>health</strong><br />

system had already been dealt with. Although EHIF spending increased during<br />

the years of growth, these increases were not as great as increases in other parts<br />

of the public sector <strong>and</strong>, in any case, were less than increases in revenue. The<br />

EHIF focused on enhancing cost–effectiveness in pricing, contracting <strong>and</strong> the<br />

benefits package. Financial protection has also improved since 2009 through<br />

policies to encourage rational prescribing, generic substitution <strong>and</strong> limitation<br />

of the financial burden of user charges on patients (see section 3.2). In addition,<br />

in the years immediately preceding the <strong>crisis</strong>, the <strong>health</strong> system had invested<br />

in analysing a range of key issues, including financial sustainability. As a result<br />

of all these measures, the <strong>health</strong> system was relatively well placed to manage<br />

a short-term <strong>crisis</strong>.<br />

3. Health system responses to the <strong>crisis</strong><br />

The main change affecting the <strong>health</strong> sector was the restructuring of <strong>health</strong><br />

expenditure in line with reduced <strong>health</strong> budgets while simultaneously trying<br />

to have the least possible effect on the financing of core <strong>health</strong> care services. At<br />

the beginning of the <strong>economic</strong> <strong>crisis</strong>, the <strong>health</strong> sector, <strong>and</strong> the national <strong>health</strong><br />

insurance system in particular, was in a better position compared with other<br />

parts of the public sector as the EHIF had accumulated substantial reserves<br />

through rapid revenue growth during the early 2000s. In addition, the <strong>health</strong><br />

sector had more leeway in responding to the <strong>crisis</strong> as most of the high-impact<br />

changes introduced during the <strong>crisis</strong> (mainly measures to control expenditure<br />

growth) were already in the pipeline before the <strong>crisis</strong>.<br />

3.1 Changes to public funding for the <strong>health</strong> system<br />

One of the major fiscal responses to the <strong>economic</strong> <strong>crisis</strong> was to cut public<br />

expenditure to ensure a stable, medium-term fiscal position <strong>and</strong> to support

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