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Chapter 1 | The impact of the crisis on the health system and health in Belgium 7 The net borrowing of the Belgian Government quadrupled in absolute values between 2008 and 2009. As a percentage of GDP, Belgium's net borrowing level was better than the average for the EU27 (27 Member States at January 2007) in the period 2005–2011. However, it could not maintain this position in 2012 (Eurostat, 2013c). In view of these economic conditions, the federal government introduced an economic stimulus plan in the middle of 2012 (Federal Planning Bureau, 2013). In 2013, a social agreement was established for the non-profitmaking sector in Belgium. This agreement foresaw €40 million earmarked towards financing the costs of 800 additional full-time equivalent positions in the health care sector; other actions related to the health care sector are described in section 3. At the household level, price index data show that inflation has not been as high in health care (i.e. cost of health care services) as in many other sectors in Belgium. Only communication services have had a lower inflation in the period from 2003 to 2013 (Eurostat, 2013d). 2. Health system pressures prior to the crisis 2.1 Demand-side pressures An underlying source of pressure for the health care sector not directly linked to the financial crisis has been the increasing population (Table 1.1). Belgium's population has increased by 6% over 10 years (2003–2012). The composition of the population in terms of age has not changed markedly throughout the years. Since 2003, approximately 20% of the population is under 18 years of age, 62% is between 19 and 64 years and approximately 18% is 65 years and older (Statbel, 2013). Within the group of people aged 65 years and older, however, the proportion of people older than 80 increased from 23.7% in 2003 to 29.8% in 2012, demonstrating the rapidly growing segment of the oldest part of the population (Statbel, 2013). An ageing population puts pressure on the health system. The same applies to the share of people at risk of poverty, which is currently almost 25% in Belgium after social transfers. Compared with similar European countries, this is a relatively high rate of poverty risk. The crisis has had a visible impact on the proportion of people at risk of poverty, which started to increase in 2009 after a period of decrease before the economic crisis. 2.2 Supply-side pressures Health system financing Another pressure on the health system is sustainable financing. On the one hand, Belgium has always attached high importance to health care; on the other hand, the health care system relies heavily on social security contributions for financing. In 2013, government spending on health care amounted to 16% of

8 Economic crisis, health systems and health in Europe: country experience total public expenditure (National Bank of Belgium, 2013). Another indication of the importance attached to health care is the establishment (in 1995) of the real growth cap for setting the federal health budget and its gradual increase until 2012, when a cap of 4.5% was no longer considered acceptable given the pressure on public spending induced by the financial crisis. 2 Given its generosity, rather than acting as an excessive restraint on health care spending, the cap actually guaranteed annual increases to the financial resources devoted to health care. Moreover, given the application of the real growth cap in the years well before those of the financial crisis, the health care sector was better prepared to absorb the full effects of the crisis, which occurred in 2012. Lower growth caps for the federal health budget were set at 2% in 2013 and 3% in 2014. A related problem for health system financing is the heavy reliance on social security contributions for financing. 3 The low participation rate of people aged 55–64 in the workforce and the growing proportion of inactive (non-working) people are a potential threat to financing (Eurostat, 2013a). In addition, the level of private expenditure for health care is relatively high, ranging from 20% of total health care expenditure for patients' out-of-pocket (OOP) costs to 24% for expenditure on private health insurance (PHI) plus patients' OOP costs in 2011 (Assuralia, 2013). This level has remained more or less stable since the early 2000s. From the citizen's point of view, the supplements that can be asked by non-contracted physicians over and above the reimbursement tariff are a potential threat for the affordability of health care. As supplements are not included in social protection mechanisms (such as maximum billing), they risk reducing the effectiveness of these protection measures. The economic crisis may not have created a sudden increase in such supplements as yet, but this is unclear as data on (ambulatory) supplements are not systematically recorded. Health care delivery A weakness in health care delivery is the shortages in certain categories of health care personnel. In terms of supply, there is no problem with the number of physicians supplying services in the country. While the total number of physicians registered at the Belgium National Institute for Health and Disability Insurance (Dutch, Rijksinstituut voor ziekte- en invaliditeitsverzekering (RIZIV); French L'institut national d'assurance maladie invalidité) per 1000 population is among the highest in the world (Vlayen et al., 2010), these data overstate the 2 In 1995, the real growth cap was fixed at 1.5% per year, then raised to 2.5% in the period 2000–2004 and to 4.5% in the period 2005–2011. In 2012, the real growth cap of 4.5% was not applied at all. 3 Belgium has a system of compulsory health insurance covering 99% of the population. Altogether there are seven health insurance entities: five national associations of health insurers are the main players and are nongovernmental, non-profitmaking organizations known as sickness funds. There is also one public fund that acts as the insurer of last resort (for those not wishing to join any of the other five sickness funds) and a separate fund only for railway employees. The five national associations are made up of around 60 local sickness funds. The RIZIV manages and supervises the compulsory health insurance system.

8 Economic <strong>crisis</strong>, <strong>health</strong> <strong>systems</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>health</strong> in Europe: country experience<br />

total public expenditure (National Bank of Belgium, 2013). Another indication<br />

of the importance attached to <strong>health</strong> care is the establishment (in 1995) of the<br />

real growth cap for setting the federal <strong>health</strong> budget <strong>and</strong> its gradual increase<br />

until 2012, when a cap of 4.5% was no longer considered acceptable given the<br />

pressure on public spending induced by the financial <strong>crisis</strong>. 2 Given its generosity,<br />

rather than acting as an excessive restraint on <strong>health</strong> care spending, the cap<br />

actually guaranteed annual increases to the financial resources devoted to <strong>health</strong><br />

care. Moreover, given the application of the real growth cap in the years well<br />

before those of the financial <strong>crisis</strong>, the <strong>health</strong> care sector was better prepared to<br />

absorb the full effects of the <strong>crisis</strong>, which occurred in 2012. Lower growth caps<br />

for the federal <strong>health</strong> budget were set at 2% in 2013 <strong>and</strong> 3% in 2014.<br />

A related problem for <strong>health</strong> system financing is the heavy reliance on social<br />

security contributions for financing. 3 The low participation rate of people aged<br />

55–64 in the workforce <strong>and</strong> the growing proportion of inactive (non-working)<br />

people are a potential threat to financing (Eurostat, 2013a).<br />

In addition, the level of private expenditure for <strong>health</strong> care is relatively high,<br />

ranging from 20% of total <strong>health</strong> care expenditure for patients' out-of-pocket<br />

(OOP) costs to 24% for expenditure on private <strong>health</strong> insurance (PHI) plus<br />

patients' OOP costs in 2011 (Assuralia, 2013). This level has remained more<br />

or less stable since the early 2000s. From the citizen's point of view, the<br />

supplements that can be asked by non-contracted physicians over <strong>and</strong> above<br />

the reimbursement tariff are a potential threat for the affordability of <strong>health</strong><br />

care. As supplements are not included in social protection mechanisms (such<br />

as maximum billing), they risk reducing the effectiveness of these protection<br />

measures. The <strong>economic</strong> <strong>crisis</strong> may not have created a sudden increase in such<br />

supplements as yet, but this is unclear as data on (ambulatory) supplements are<br />

not systematically recorded.<br />

Health care delivery<br />

A weakness in <strong>health</strong> care delivery is the shortages in certain categories of <strong>health</strong><br />

care personnel. In terms of supply, there is no problem with the number of<br />

physicians supplying services in the country. While the total number of physicians<br />

registered at the Belgium National Institute for Health <strong>and</strong> Disability Insurance<br />

(Dutch, Rijksinstituut voor ziekte- en invaliditeitsverzekering (RIZIV); French<br />

L'institut national d'assurance maladie invalidité) per 1000 population is<br />

among the highest in the world (Vlayen et al., 2010), these data overstate the<br />

2 In 1995, the real growth cap was fixed at 1.5% per year, then raised to 2.5% in the period 2000–2004 <strong>and</strong> to 4.5% in<br />

the period 2005–2011. In 2012, the real growth cap of 4.5% was not applied at all.<br />

3 Belgium has a system of compulsory <strong>health</strong> insurance covering 99% of the population. Altogether there are seven <strong>health</strong><br />

insurance entities: five national associations of <strong>health</strong> insurers are the main players <strong>and</strong> are nongovernmental, non-profitmaking<br />

organizations known as sickness funds. There is also one public fund that acts as the insurer of last resort (for<br />

those not wishing to join any of the other five sickness funds) <strong>and</strong> a separate fund only for railway employees. The five<br />

national associations are made up of around 60 local sickness funds. The RIZIV manages <strong>and</strong> supervises the compulsory<br />

<strong>health</strong> insurance system.

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