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206 Economic <strong>crisis</strong>, <strong>health</strong> <strong>systems</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>health</strong> in Europe: country experience<br />

At the same time, there was an increase in the incidence of mental <strong>health</strong><br />

disorders: after a decline from 417 per 100000 in 2008 to 364 in 2009, it<br />

increased to 422 in 2010. There was also an increase in the number of new<br />

invalidity/disability cases (from 570 in 2008 to 740 in 2010), almost matched<br />

by an increase in the number of people receiving social/disability benefits (from<br />

2929 to 3095) (WHO Regional Office for Europe, 2012).<br />

Moreover, there is some evidence on changes to risk factors. For example, the<br />

lifetime smoking prevalence among students aged 15–16 years seems to have<br />

declined to 54% between 2007 <strong>and</strong> 2011 (from 80% in 2007). However,<br />

the lifetime prevalence rate of cannabis consumption increased from 18% to<br />

24%. The self-perceived ease of obtaining alcoholic beverages, which may be a<br />

proxy for alcohol consumption, decreased slightly (in 2011, 84% of students<br />

deemed alcohol to be easily or very easily available, compared with 90% in<br />

2007) (Trapencieris et al., 2012). Consumption of sugar-sweetened beverages,<br />

including soft drinks, decreased among schoolchildren aged 11–15 years:<br />

in 2010, 9.7% of boys <strong>and</strong> 7% of girls drank sugar-sweetened beverages<br />

compared with 13.5% <strong>and</strong> 12%, respectively, in 2006. Also, 24.4% of boys<br />

<strong>and</strong> 16% of girls in the 11–15 age group reported weekly physical activity to<br />

control their weight in 2010 compared with 27.6% of boys <strong>and</strong> 18.6% of girls<br />

in 2006. Lastly, more children ate fruit more than once a day (22.7% of boys<br />

<strong>and</strong> 31.6% of girls in 2010 compared with 18.7% <strong>and</strong> 27.3%, respectively, in<br />

2006) (Pudule et al., 2012; Currie et al., 2012).<br />

The shift in <strong>health</strong> spending to favour more intensive use of preventive <strong>and</strong><br />

day-care procedures is likely to better address the <strong>health</strong> problems of Latvians<br />

in the future (World Bank, 2010a).<br />

5. Discussion<br />

5.1 Drivers of change<br />

While necessary reforms, such as restructuring of hospitals, were previously<br />

avoided despite recommendations from actors such as the World Bank <strong>and</strong><br />

WHO, as the country stood on the verge of bankruptcy, all stakeholders (the<br />

Ministry of Health, <strong>health</strong> care providers, patients, etc.) were in agreement<br />

that changes in the financing <strong>and</strong> organization of the <strong>health</strong> care system were<br />

inevitable. National policy-makers regarded the <strong>crisis</strong> as an opportunity to<br />

implement reforms that were difficult to implement previously.<br />

The presence of external agents (IMF, World Bank, European Commission)<br />

<strong>and</strong> Latvia's commitment to loan conditions provided a strong argument for<br />

the Ministry of Health to push through less popular reforms. Although the<br />

lenders were sometimes used as a scapegoat, it was the Ministry of Health

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