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south-asian-militant-groups-and-global-jihad-in-2015

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NEW AG EN T S OF GLOB AL JIHAD<br />

Afghanistan<br />

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We advise the state to focus on decreas<strong>in</strong>g corruption, <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g social assistance to families <strong>in</strong> need. Economic<br />

disenfranchisement <strong>in</strong>creases the appeal of extremism. Although<br />

poverty is common throughout the Afghan population, it is most<br />

prevalent among rural Afghans. 44% say that there were times <strong>in</strong><br />

the past year when they didn't have enough money to buy food for<br />

themselves or their families, whereas only 32% of urban residents<br />

found themselves <strong>in</strong> a similar position. 113<br />

Islamist violence rema<strong>in</strong>s a problem <strong>in</strong> Afghanistan, even though<br />

IMU <strong>and</strong> its spl<strong>in</strong>ter group, the Islamic Jihad Union, have weakened.<br />

With Islamists from the Haqqani Network, the Taliban, <strong>and</strong> Hizb-i-<br />

Islami (HIG) still active, we urge the government to cont<strong>in</strong>ue to<br />

devote more resources to <strong>in</strong>telligence <strong>and</strong> security efforts.<br />

We argue that the distrust between rural Afghans <strong>and</strong> the local <strong>and</strong><br />

central government bodies should be eased through <strong>in</strong>creased<br />

collaboration <strong>and</strong> grassroots reconciliation.<br />

We suggest that donors should be prepared to <strong>in</strong>vest <strong>in</strong> projects<br />

that diversify the rural economy, <strong>and</strong> that promote reconciliation<br />

beyond a ‘gr<strong>and</strong> peace plan’.<br />

We encourage short term, state-led security improvements,<br />

particularly <strong>in</strong> the form of grassroots reconciliation between<br />

factions, <strong>and</strong> especially those ethnic factions that have become<br />

politicized at the national level.<br />

While there are short term merits to be ga<strong>in</strong>ed from disarmament<br />

programs, <strong>in</strong> the absence of alternative livelihood options <strong>and</strong> a<br />

‘gr<strong>and</strong> plan’ peace process with clear political direction, they will<br />

not create long-term security. A disarmament, demobilization, <strong>and</strong><br />

re<strong>in</strong>tegration (DDR) program has been implemented <strong>in</strong><br />

Afghanistan before. The program yielded mixed results; 62,376<br />

AMF members were demobilized, <strong>and</strong> 57,629 weapons were<br />

collected. 114 We encourage repetition of a similar imitative, given a<br />

mean<strong>in</strong>gful measure of success will be determ<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> the longerterm.<br />

Permanent demobilization h<strong>in</strong>ges on the success of <strong>militant</strong><br />

transitions to civilian life, which, <strong>in</strong> turn, is cont<strong>in</strong>gent on the<br />

attraction of the alternative livelihoods that can be offered by the<br />

Afghan government. 115 Although vocational courses were offered<br />

to those tak<strong>in</strong>g part <strong>in</strong> the previous program, a subsequent upsurge<br />

<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>surgent activity, <strong>and</strong> a lack of economic stability, renders long-<br />

43

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