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south-asian-militant-groups-and-global-jihad-in-2015

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QUILL IAM<br />

Afghanistan<br />

Counter-terrorism policy: As far as the Taliban is concerned, the immediate<br />

future of Afghanistan’s counter-terrorism <strong>and</strong> counter-extremism strategy<br />

depends on whether or not Mullah Omar resurfaces, how hawkish he will be<br />

upon his return, <strong>and</strong> how much authority he has left over his Taliban.<br />

Judicial system: A recent study <strong>in</strong> the Anti-Terrorism Prosecutors’<br />

Department (ATPD) of Afghanistan found weaknesses <strong>in</strong> critical th<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g,<br />

<strong>in</strong>dictment draft<strong>in</strong>g, <strong>and</strong> case preparation. Because judges did not<br />

necessarily underst<strong>and</strong> changes that were made to the legal framework <strong>in</strong><br />

2013 <strong>and</strong> 2014, there were a high number of failed prosecutions, <strong>and</strong> cases<br />

vulnerable to appeal. Some of these changes <strong>in</strong>cluded the passage of a new<br />

Crim<strong>in</strong>al Procedure Code, as well as the implementation of anti-terrorism<br />

<strong>and</strong> anti-money launder<strong>in</strong>g legislation. Over 30% of the prosecutors<br />

surveyed reported that they did not have the tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g that was necessary <strong>in</strong><br />

order to do their job to a high st<strong>and</strong>ard. 77<br />

Education: Despite efforts to change the national school curriculum, <strong>and</strong><br />

replace textbooks conta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g extremist teach<strong>in</strong>gs with new ones, policy<br />

rema<strong>in</strong>s to be f<strong>in</strong>alized. There rema<strong>in</strong>s no st<strong>and</strong>ard curriculum for secondary<br />

school textbooks, <strong>and</strong> high school textbooks rema<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>adequate <strong>in</strong> both<br />

number <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong> content. For many years, the Taliban <strong>and</strong> other <strong>groups</strong> have<br />

attacked schools, teachers, <strong>and</strong> students. In May, 2012, the M<strong>in</strong>istry of<br />

Education reported that more than 590 schools were closed <strong>in</strong> areas at risk;<br />

most of these schools were <strong>in</strong> the Helm<strong>and</strong>, Kabul, <strong>and</strong> K<strong>and</strong>ahar prov<strong>in</strong>ces. 78<br />

Military: The Taliban will be the chief factor <strong>in</strong> the ISAF/NATO strategy for<br />

reduc<strong>in</strong>g troop levels <strong>in</strong> Afghanistan. Factions have emerged among the<br />

Taliban <strong>in</strong> recent years, largely due to Mullah Omar’s <strong>in</strong>visibility, <strong>and</strong> this<br />

appears to be lead<strong>in</strong>g to a stagnation of loyalty, particularly among younger<br />

fighters. 79 Although the Taliban “br<strong>and</strong>” risks be<strong>in</strong>g seen as tired, <strong>in</strong> contrast<br />

to the wave of fear <strong>and</strong> publicity that has greeted the rise of IS, the Taliban<br />

may be able to recover some of their former prestige if they make significant<br />

ga<strong>in</strong>s <strong>in</strong> the wake of the ISAF force withdrawal. 80 It is feared that this is a real<br />

possibility. 81 Levels of terrorist activity along the Afghanistan-Pakistan<br />

border are also cont<strong>in</strong>gent on the relationship between India <strong>and</strong> Pakistan.<br />

For example, an active effort to resolve the Kashmir issue could result <strong>in</strong> a<br />

reduction of Indian <strong>and</strong> Pakistani security forces along common borders, <strong>and</strong><br />

a bilateral agreement on nuclear <strong>and</strong> conventional forces. This would bolster<br />

Pakistan’s ability to act aga<strong>in</strong>st <strong>militant</strong>s <strong>in</strong> border areas between<br />

32

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