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south-asian-militant-groups-and-global-jihad-in-2015

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NEW AG EN T S OF GLOB AL JIHAD<br />

Below, the key areas of concern for South Asia as IS exp<strong>and</strong>s its <strong>global</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong>fluence will be outl<strong>in</strong>ed. As noted above, particular attention will be paid<br />

to the relationship between Al-Qaeda <strong>and</strong> IS, <strong>and</strong> the implications of this<br />

shift<strong>in</strong>g balance of power for the greater South Asia region. This section will<br />

also <strong>in</strong>troduce Al-Qaeda’s affiliate group, Al-Qaeda <strong>in</strong> the Indian subcont<strong>in</strong>ent<br />

(AQIS).<br />

1. IS is challeng<strong>in</strong>g AQ’s presence as the architects of <strong>global</strong> <strong>jihad</strong>:<br />

AQ has a historical <strong>and</strong> territorial advantage <strong>in</strong> South Asia, but this<br />

has not discouraged IS’ efforts <strong>in</strong> the region.<br />

IS recruiters hail<strong>in</strong>g from the Middle East are focus<strong>in</strong>g more on<br />

recruit<strong>in</strong>g Pakistani fighters for the war <strong>in</strong> Syria <strong>and</strong> Iraq. Local<br />

sources <strong>in</strong> Peshawar say IS started recruitment <strong>in</strong> Pakistan <strong>in</strong> 2012<br />

even before they emerged as IS themselves, <strong>and</strong> more than 200<br />

fighters have left from Pakistan to jo<strong>in</strong> IS. Most of these fighters<br />

were from the Pakistani Taliban, LeJ, <strong>and</strong> other <strong>militant</strong> <strong>groups</strong>,<br />

who went to fight Bashar al Assad <strong>in</strong> Syria, <strong>and</strong> eventually jo<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

IS. 60<br />

A worry<strong>in</strong>g number of home-grown Afghan <strong>and</strong> Pakistani <strong>militant</strong>s<br />

are beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g to operate locally under the IS br<strong>and</strong>. The first to<br />

pledge allegiance to IS was former Guantanamo deta<strong>in</strong>ee Abdul<br />

Rahim Muslim Dost, <strong>and</strong> he cont<strong>in</strong>ues to work as a recruiter <strong>and</strong><br />

propag<strong>and</strong>ist. He is currently described as leader of IS affiliates <strong>in</strong><br />

Afghanistan.<br />

There is now a leadership council, or Shura, for IS Khorosan<br />

Prov<strong>in</strong>ce (ISKP) (Khorosan referr<strong>in</strong>g to both Afghanistan <strong>and</strong><br />

Pakistan) that was established <strong>in</strong> January <strong>2015</strong> by a group of<br />

former TTP comm<strong>and</strong>ers, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g their former spokesman<br />

Shahid Shahidullah. However, the Shura’s power over regional IS<br />

affiliates <strong>in</strong> questionable.<br />

Recently, Abdul Rahim Muslim Dost warned that the Taliban<br />

fought on behalf of ISI, <strong>and</strong> he issued a warn<strong>in</strong>g to those seek<strong>in</strong>g to<br />

fight IS 61 . However, he isn’t known to be a member of the ISKP<br />

Shura. An IS spokesman officially recognized the group <strong>and</strong> its new<br />

Emir, Hafiz Saeed Khan, another ex-TTP fighter. However, the<br />

Shura itself now conta<strong>in</strong>s a mix of ex-TTP <strong>and</strong> Afghan Taliban 62 .<br />

Shahidullah has announced that all IS’s regional affiliates, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Dost, had consented to the Shura’s leadership.<br />

ISKP has had setbacks; it lost its deputy emir to a UAV strike <strong>in</strong><br />

March, <strong>and</strong> a month later it lost that deputy’s replacement 63 . It is<br />

not known if the Shura has l<strong>in</strong>ks to other self-declared IS affiliates,<br />

such as TTP spl<strong>in</strong>ter Jundullah, which declared allegiance last<br />

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