south-asian-militant-groups-and-global-jihad-in-2015
south-asian-militant-groups-and-global-jihad-in-2015
south-asian-militant-groups-and-global-jihad-in-2015
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NEW AG EN T S OF GLOB AL JIHAD<br />
<br />
<strong>jihad</strong>ist organizations. An attempt to present a group as a static,<br />
<strong>and</strong> easily quantifiable, security threat, would be mislead<strong>in</strong>g.<br />
Our aim is to give accurate portraits of the most significant<br />
militancy’s <strong>in</strong> these nations, <strong>and</strong> assess the regional significance of<br />
“<strong>global</strong> <strong>jihad</strong>”, rather than make a theoretical or a comparative<br />
argument. This report is pr<strong>in</strong>cipally a product of qualitative<br />
research: <strong>groups</strong> profiled are identified as most dangerous via a<br />
methodology of cross-checks, qualitative <strong>in</strong>dicators, <strong>and</strong><br />
assessments of <strong>groups</strong>.<br />
An overview of the size, structure, <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>fluence of the major Islamist<br />
terrorist organisations that are currently operat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> J&K, Pakistan,<br />
Afghanistan <strong>and</strong> India will be offered below. Prom<strong>in</strong>ent attacks <strong>and</strong> the<br />
relationships between the relevant terrorist <strong>groups</strong> will be commented<br />
upon.<br />
This section will provide the reader with a broad underst<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>g of the<br />
operations <strong>and</strong> nature of the various terrorist <strong>groups</strong> that operate with<strong>in</strong> this<br />
region, <strong>and</strong> it will provide a contextual base for the proceed<strong>in</strong>g discussions<br />
on both IS as a destabilis<strong>in</strong>g force <strong>in</strong> South Asia, <strong>and</strong> policy recommendations<br />
to combat Islamist extremism. This section is a brief summary of our longer<br />
report that can be referenced for further detail <strong>and</strong> analysis on each terrorist<br />
group mentioned forthwith.<br />
Given that the majority of South Asian countries have experienced some<br />
degree of <strong>jihad</strong>ist violence <strong>in</strong> recent years, our focus on Pakistan, Afghanistan<br />
<strong>and</strong> India should certa<strong>in</strong>ly not be read as an exhaustive survey of the<br />
cont<strong>in</strong>ent. Orig<strong>in</strong>ally, we <strong>in</strong>tended to focus on Pakistani <strong>groups</strong> alone, but we<br />
recognised that an attempt to expla<strong>in</strong> the encroachment of <strong>global</strong> <strong>jihad</strong>ist<br />
ideologies <strong>in</strong>to Pakistan without exam<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g India or Afghanistan would be<br />
futile. The <strong>in</strong>ter-connected borders of these nations form the political nervecentre<br />
of the region; arguably, this has been the case s<strong>in</strong>ce the partition of<br />
India <strong>in</strong> 1947, <strong>and</strong> it will cont<strong>in</strong>ue to be so long after the withdrawal of<br />
<strong>in</strong>ternational forces from Afghanistan. However, <strong>in</strong> spite of their<br />
overwhelm<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>fluence with<strong>in</strong> the region, exclud<strong>in</strong>g some of the<br />
surround<strong>in</strong>g countries from our analysis was somewhat problematic. For<br />
example, we predict that Bangladesh will be a potential “hotspot” for<br />
radicalization <strong>in</strong> the immediate future; <strong>and</strong> as is ev<strong>in</strong>ced by the fact that some<br />
<strong>militant</strong> Pakistani outfits target<strong>in</strong>g India prefer to enter India through the<br />
poorly guarded Bangladeshi border, its logistical significance to <strong>groups</strong> <strong>in</strong><br />
Pakistan <strong>and</strong> India should not be overlooked 5 . Furthermore, Al Qaeda has<br />
named Bangladesh as a country whose Muslims would be ideologically<br />
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