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Living Standards Measurements Study - Serbia 2002 - 2007

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Absolute and extreme poverty of Roma<br />

respondents is far more evident when contrasted to<br />

the overall population. The poverty of Roma people<br />

is several times more wide-spread, and also deeper<br />

and more severe compared to the general<br />

population. The poverty of IDP Roma households<br />

may be subject to a separate analysis based on the<br />

previously mentioned IDP LSMS Survey.<br />

1.2. Poverty sensitivity to change in<br />

poverty line<br />

In this part, the subject of analysis is the<br />

function of cumulative consumption distribution in<br />

<strong>2002</strong> and <strong>2007</strong> to show whether the poverty line<br />

choice affects the poverty index assessments. The<br />

standard methodology used for assessing the<br />

poverty index sensitivity is the analysis of the<br />

function of cumulative consumption distribution as<br />

shown in Graph 2. The consumption is expressed in<br />

real terms, in <strong>2002</strong> prices.<br />

The function of cumulative consumption<br />

distribution shows the share of population having<br />

the consumption lower than a level defined, i.e., the<br />

poverty index for different poverty lines. The<br />

vertical poverty line closer to y-axis would<br />

correspond to lower poverty index. Since the<br />

cumulative consumption curve in <strong>2007</strong> is shifted to<br />

the right and is always kept below the cumulative<br />

consumption in <strong>2002</strong>, it is evident that the<br />

percentage of the poor population in <strong>2007</strong> for the<br />

same poverty line was lower than it was in <strong>2002</strong>.<br />

The Graph shows that the change in poverty<br />

between <strong>2002</strong> and <strong>2007</strong> was not sensitive to the<br />

poverty line choice, regardless of the consumption<br />

level where the poverty line is defined. The same<br />

conclusion applies to the poverty assessments for<br />

urban and rural population, given that the function<br />

of cumulative consumption of the urban and rural<br />

population in <strong>2007</strong> is everywhere below the <strong>2002</strong><br />

cumulative consumption.<br />

Graph 1.2. Cumulative consumption distribution, <strong>2002</strong>-<strong>2007</strong><br />

1<br />

Total<br />

1<br />

Urban<br />

Cumulative distribution<br />

.8<br />

.6<br />

.4<br />

.2<br />

<strong>2002</strong><br />

<strong>2007</strong><br />

Cumulative distribution<br />

.8<br />

.6<br />

.4<br />

.2<br />

0<br />

0<br />

1<br />

0 8 16 24 32 40<br />

Welfare indicator, '000<br />

Rural<br />

0 8 16 24 32 40<br />

Welfare indicator, '000<br />

Cumulative distribution<br />

.8<br />

.6<br />

.4<br />

.2<br />

0<br />

0 8 16 24 32 40<br />

Welfare indicator, '000<br />

12 <strong>Living</strong> <strong>Standards</strong> <strong>Measurements</strong> <strong>Study</strong> - <strong>Serbia</strong> <strong>2002</strong> - <strong>2007</strong>

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