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Living Standards Measurements Study - Serbia 2002 - 2007

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10.2. Rural poverty in <strong>Serbia</strong><br />

Interpretation of rural poverty in <strong>Serbia</strong> as well<br />

as poverty of agricultural households (especially<br />

those with income coming exclusively from<br />

agricultural activities), is rendered significantly<br />

difficult by lack of precise statistical definition and<br />

classifications. Namely, a statistically-based<br />

social and economic groups of households and<br />

agricultural households in rural areas in <strong>Serbia</strong>.<br />

The <strong>2007</strong> LSMS results, as well as those of<br />

<strong>2002</strong>, confirm that the rural poverty represents one<br />

of the crucial characteristics of poverty in <strong>Serbia</strong><br />

(Table 1):<br />

Box 1. Rural Vulnerability in <strong>Serbia</strong> 2003<br />

The most comprehensive assessment regarding poverty in <strong>Serbia</strong> was produced in 2003 according to the<br />

World Bank methodology. The conclusions are as follows:<br />

1. Poverty is the major contributor of rural vulnerability in <strong>Serbia</strong>; risks also contribute to rural<br />

households' perceived vulnerability. The fact that poverty accounts for such a high share of<br />

vulnerability suggests that the characteristics of those who are observed to be poor are strikingly<br />

similar to the characteristics of those who are estimated to be vulnerable, whether they are currently<br />

poor or not.<br />

2. Households and regions with a greater share of their livelihood sources depending on agricultural<br />

activities are more at risk of vulnerability and poverty than those with significantly higher share<br />

coming from non-agricultural sources.<br />

3. A high level of human capital such as educational level of household heads significantly decreases<br />

household vulnerability and poverty. Households with a member having higher than secondary face<br />

significantly lower vulnerability than those with lower educational attainment.<br />

4. Households with more and older members are more vulnerable and are more likely to be in poverty.<br />

An aging population, a reduced pool of active workers and the opportunity to generate income,<br />

compounded with low educational attainment, significantly worsen rural poverty in <strong>Serbia</strong> 1 .<br />

5. Employment in the informal sector leads to less vulnerability and poverty of the rural population.<br />

6. Rural poverty and vulnerability is strongly associated with asset ownership and access to markets.<br />

Families with higher value of durable assets are significantly less vulnerable.<br />

7. Geographic location and topography, natural conditions (such as drought) and access to<br />

communications services are significantly correlated with household vulnerability and poverty.<br />

Ersado L (2006): “Rural Vulnerability in <strong>Serbia</strong>”,<br />

Human Development Network Europe and Central Asia Region,<br />

The World Bank, Key Emerging and Conceptual Issues<br />

definition of the rural area in <strong>Serbia</strong> does not exist<br />

(Box 2), while the agricultural household (Box 3) is<br />

defined according to agricultural resources owned<br />

or used and it does not have to be a priori located in<br />

rural areas. Various types of agricultural households<br />

are defined according to income sources of the<br />

family members, as described in Box 3.<br />

There is a lack of other typologies of rural<br />

households and agricultural households that enable<br />

varied analysis of poverty parameters of different<br />

1. The percentage of the poor population living in<br />

rural areas increased from 55 percent in <strong>2002</strong> to<br />

61 percent in <strong>2007</strong>;<br />

2. Rural poverty in <strong>2007</strong> was almost halved<br />

compared to <strong>2002</strong> (9.8 percent compared to 17.7<br />

percent) but it still remains twice as high as in<br />

urban areas (9.8 percent compared to 4.3<br />

percent).<br />

3. The gap between rural and urban poverty has<br />

grown from 1.6 times to 2.3 times as a result of<br />

the slower reduction of rural poverty.<br />

Agriculture<br />

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