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Living Standards Measurements Study - Serbia 2002 - 2007

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possible to examine hidden unemployment. In<br />

previous research respondents who actually did not<br />

work or receive salaries, but were officially<br />

employed in bankrupt companies, were classified as<br />

employed.<br />

The definition of employed and unemployed<br />

persons is the same in both LFS and LSMS <strong>2007</strong><br />

and the data can also be compared with that of other<br />

countries using the same ILO definition.<br />

Confusion sometimes arises in relation to the<br />

fact that there are two widely used sources of data<br />

on the number of unemployed people:<br />

1. Labour Force Survey<br />

2. National Employment Service (NES) records<br />

This is the case in <strong>Serbia</strong> because despite the<br />

availability of LFS a large number of users, by<br />

habit, continue to use the NES data as indicative and<br />

reliable enough to reflect an absolute and relative<br />

measure of unemployment. The unemployment rate<br />

calculated according to the NES is higher due to the<br />

following reasons:<br />

1. The active population has not been fully taken<br />

into account, i.e. not all the employees in the<br />

informal sector have been included (both in<br />

agricultural and non-agricultural activities),<br />

along with the unpaid family members assisting<br />

in the family business and those employed in the<br />

defence ministries,<br />

2. The unemployed include all people from the<br />

NES records, regardless of whether they have an<br />

informal job, or have even started working under<br />

a formal employment contract, but have not been<br />

erased from the records in the meantime.<br />

Until June 30, 2006, it was practically<br />

impossible to identify those from the NES records<br />

who really want employment, and those who got<br />

registered for the sake of some other benefits, e.g.<br />

the right to health insurance. From January 1, <strong>2007</strong>,<br />

health insurance could no longer be obtained<br />

through the NES. However, those who verified their<br />

health care cards in the NES before December 31,<br />

2006, had the right to get health care through the<br />

NES until June 30, <strong>2007</strong>.<br />

According to LSMS data, of the total number<br />

of persons registered with NES, 81 percent<br />

registered in order to seek employment while 19<br />

percent applied for a different reason.<br />

The difference between the definition of the<br />

employed and unemployed used by the NES and<br />

that used in the LFS and LSMS is best illustrated by<br />

examining the total number of respondents who<br />

reported in the LSMS that they registered with the<br />

NES in order to find work. By applying the ILO<br />

definition 35 percent are employed people, 43<br />

percent unemployed and 23 percent inactive. The<br />

estimated number of unemployed persons from LFS<br />

<strong>2007</strong> is over 900 000, while in May <strong>2007</strong> there were<br />

some 870 000 people registered as unemployed in<br />

the NES.<br />

A unique difficulty for the NES is establishing<br />

whether registered people are ready to start work,<br />

and identifying the real motives for their<br />

registration. This is why the unemployment rate<br />

published by NES is higher than the unemployment<br />

rate calculated by LFS and LSMS studies, and why<br />

it also cannot be compared with unemployment<br />

rates of other countries.<br />

Table 9.8. Population aged 15+ by NES and employment status, LSMS <strong>2007</strong><br />

Employment by ILO definitions<br />

Total Employed Unemployed Inactive<br />

Total 100.0 47.0 7.1 45.9<br />

Not registered in NES 100.0 49.6 1.0 49.3<br />

Registered in NES to find a job 100.0 34.6 42.3 23.1<br />

Registered in NES for other reasons 100.0 33.9 6.7 59.4<br />

124 <strong>Living</strong> <strong>Standards</strong> <strong>Measurements</strong> <strong>Study</strong> - <strong>Serbia</strong> <strong>2002</strong> - <strong>2007</strong>

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