Living Standards Measurements Study - Serbia 2002 - 2007
Living Standards Measurements Study - Serbia 2002 - 2007
Living Standards Measurements Study - Serbia 2002 - 2007
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possible to examine hidden unemployment. In<br />
previous research respondents who actually did not<br />
work or receive salaries, but were officially<br />
employed in bankrupt companies, were classified as<br />
employed.<br />
The definition of employed and unemployed<br />
persons is the same in both LFS and LSMS <strong>2007</strong><br />
and the data can also be compared with that of other<br />
countries using the same ILO definition.<br />
Confusion sometimes arises in relation to the<br />
fact that there are two widely used sources of data<br />
on the number of unemployed people:<br />
1. Labour Force Survey<br />
2. National Employment Service (NES) records<br />
This is the case in <strong>Serbia</strong> because despite the<br />
availability of LFS a large number of users, by<br />
habit, continue to use the NES data as indicative and<br />
reliable enough to reflect an absolute and relative<br />
measure of unemployment. The unemployment rate<br />
calculated according to the NES is higher due to the<br />
following reasons:<br />
1. The active population has not been fully taken<br />
into account, i.e. not all the employees in the<br />
informal sector have been included (both in<br />
agricultural and non-agricultural activities),<br />
along with the unpaid family members assisting<br />
in the family business and those employed in the<br />
defence ministries,<br />
2. The unemployed include all people from the<br />
NES records, regardless of whether they have an<br />
informal job, or have even started working under<br />
a formal employment contract, but have not been<br />
erased from the records in the meantime.<br />
Until June 30, 2006, it was practically<br />
impossible to identify those from the NES records<br />
who really want employment, and those who got<br />
registered for the sake of some other benefits, e.g.<br />
the right to health insurance. From January 1, <strong>2007</strong>,<br />
health insurance could no longer be obtained<br />
through the NES. However, those who verified their<br />
health care cards in the NES before December 31,<br />
2006, had the right to get health care through the<br />
NES until June 30, <strong>2007</strong>.<br />
According to LSMS data, of the total number<br />
of persons registered with NES, 81 percent<br />
registered in order to seek employment while 19<br />
percent applied for a different reason.<br />
The difference between the definition of the<br />
employed and unemployed used by the NES and<br />
that used in the LFS and LSMS is best illustrated by<br />
examining the total number of respondents who<br />
reported in the LSMS that they registered with the<br />
NES in order to find work. By applying the ILO<br />
definition 35 percent are employed people, 43<br />
percent unemployed and 23 percent inactive. The<br />
estimated number of unemployed persons from LFS<br />
<strong>2007</strong> is over 900 000, while in May <strong>2007</strong> there were<br />
some 870 000 people registered as unemployed in<br />
the NES.<br />
A unique difficulty for the NES is establishing<br />
whether registered people are ready to start work,<br />
and identifying the real motives for their<br />
registration. This is why the unemployment rate<br />
published by NES is higher than the unemployment<br />
rate calculated by LFS and LSMS studies, and why<br />
it also cannot be compared with unemployment<br />
rates of other countries.<br />
Table 9.8. Population aged 15+ by NES and employment status, LSMS <strong>2007</strong><br />
Employment by ILO definitions<br />
Total Employed Unemployed Inactive<br />
Total 100.0 47.0 7.1 45.9<br />
Not registered in NES 100.0 49.6 1.0 49.3<br />
Registered in NES to find a job 100.0 34.6 42.3 23.1<br />
Registered in NES for other reasons 100.0 33.9 6.7 59.4<br />
124 <strong>Living</strong> <strong>Standards</strong> <strong>Measurements</strong> <strong>Study</strong> - <strong>Serbia</strong> <strong>2002</strong> - <strong>2007</strong>