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Prof. Barbara Adam, Cardiff Univ.: "Methodological Challenges"

Prof. Barbara Adam, Cardiff Univ.: "Methodological Challenges"

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<strong>Methodological</strong> Challenges<br />

for Futures Studies<br />

Knowledge Practices for Indeterminacy & Contingency<br />

<strong>Barbara</strong> <strong>Adam</strong><br />

<strong>Cardiff</strong> <strong>Univ</strong>ersity<br />

Background: Sociologist, Social Theorist, Time Theorist


Key Insights<br />

FOCUS<br />

STANDPOINT<br />

Traditional Futures Studies<br />

• Possible futures (imagined) - present (mind)<br />

• Preferable futures (desired) - present (mind)<br />

• Probable futures (calculated) - past (matter)<br />

Essential Extension<br />

• Produced futures (created)<br />

- future (matter)


Key Challenges for Social Sciences<br />

• Fact: beyond facta – futura dualism<br />

– past & present vs future, real vs. unreal/ideal, matter vs. mind/imaginary<br />

– Evidence-based science vs mind-based tools<br />

– natura naturata & natura naturans, Merkwelt & Wirkwelt, effect & affecting<br />

– from epistemology to include ontology<br />

• The not yet: imaginary & domain of action and process<br />

• Matter: latent/immanent process materiality<br />

– Time extended – encompassing past-present-future<br />

• The empty future: crowded territory<br />

• Causality (past-based) : past-and-future based, determining<br />

• Knowledge: beyond evidence-based science = values<br />

• Ethics: implication, timeprint responsibility<br />

• Impacts epistemology, ontology, methodology, ethics


Openings for Change<br />

Futures in a new key<br />

Action, knowledge, ethics<br />

• Present future and future present incl. past futures<br />

• Future as process/effecting materiality thus real<br />

• Action implication – constitutive knowledge practices<br />

• Shaping futures = material-political-ethical act<br />

• Ethics in contingency, indeterminacy, non-knowledge<br />

From: action knowledge ethics<br />

To: action ethics direct relation

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