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PCM-2 Manual.pdf - Voss Associates

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can only assume a single value, determined by the first (n - 1) points -- hence zero degrees of<br />

freedom exist for the n the data point.<br />

QUALITATIVE MEASUREMENTS<br />

A typical qualitative measurement in a radiation monitoring system is a "go/no-go" determination.<br />

For such a measurement an instrument is set up to alarm when a pre-determined count rate is<br />

exceededo Two primary constraints control the appropriate count rate on which to alarm. The first<br />

of these is the background count rate and what is deemed an associated false alarm rate, or probability<br />

that background alone will randomly exceed the alarm set point. This determines the lower limit for<br />

an alarm set point. The second constraint is the upper limit on the alarm set point which ultimately,<br />

determines the minimum activity (above background) that will cause an alarm with an associated<br />

probability or confidence level. Each constraint will be considered individually and then in<br />

combination with each other.<br />

Controlling False Alarm Rates<br />

What will be called a TYPE I false alarm herein is an alarm caused by background alone. Because<br />

the background count rate is random, during anyone counting interval the background count rate<br />

could assume any non-negative value. Thus, even with a high alarm set point, there will exist a finite<br />

probability that a TYPE I false alarm will occur. Accepting that false alarms will not be entirely<br />

eliminated, the first step is to establish an acceptable probability of false alarm. For a single<br />

measurement, that small probability will be labelled "p." For multiple measurements, be they<br />

sequential or simultaneous by way of multiple detector channels operating simultaneously, the overall<br />

false alarm probability of false alarm for "N" measurements (P N ) is defined by Eq. 33.<br />

Eq. 33<br />

Once an overall false alarm rate is established, the false alarm rate per individual channel or<br />

measurement is derived from Eq. 33 as illustrated by Eq. 34.<br />

Nr----<br />

p=I--V I - PN<br />

Eq. 34<br />

1. Low Count Rates and/or Short Counting Intervals<br />

Counting exercises whose product of count rate and count time result in 20 or less counts per interval<br />

(average), as stated earlier, are appropriately modelled by the Poisson Distribution Function. By<br />

using the numbers from the example on page 7, Table 1 can be invoked for an example of false alarm<br />

rate control. In that example, 2.5 counts was the average expected number of counts per count<br />

interval. If a false alarm rate of 0.001 or less is desired, it is noted from Table 1 that, based on A =<br />

2.5, P(lO) = 0.000277 satisfies the requirement whereas P(9) = 0.00114 exceeds the maximum<br />

acceptable false alarm rate Thus, an alarm setpoint of 10 counts per count time interval. including<br />

<strong>PCM</strong>2.MAN

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