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Infinitesimal Calculus of Random Walk and Poisson Processes

Infinitesimal Calculus of Random Walk and Poisson Processes

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Gauge Institute Journal,<br />

H. Vic Dannon<br />

13.<br />

<strong>Poisson</strong> Process<br />

The arrival at rate<br />

λ , <strong>of</strong> radioactive particles at a counter is<br />

modeled by the <strong>Poisson</strong> Process. It models other processes,<br />

such as the arrival <strong>of</strong> phone calls at rate<br />

λ , to an operator.<br />

13.1 The Bernoulli <strong>R<strong>and</strong>om</strong> Variables <strong>of</strong> the Process<br />

We assume that<br />

an arrival probability in time<br />

dt<br />

is<br />

<strong>and</strong> no arrival probability in time<br />

p<br />

= λdt<br />

,<br />

dt<br />

is<br />

q<br />

= 1 −λdt.<br />

At fixed time t , after<br />

N infinitesimal t ime intervals dt ,<br />

N<br />

=<br />

t<br />

dt<br />

, is an infinite hyper-real,<br />

there are<br />

<strong>and</strong><br />

k<br />

k arrivals,<br />

is a finite hyper-real<br />

N<br />

− k no arrivals,<br />

50

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