SOUVENIR - Environment Protection & Disaster Management in India
SOUVENIR - Environment Protection & Disaster Management in India
SOUVENIR - Environment Protection & Disaster Management in India
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<strong>SOUVENIR</strong><br />
<strong>Environment</strong> <strong>Protection</strong> &<br />
<strong>Disaster</strong> <strong>Management</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>India</strong><br />
MATURE INDIA<br />
53,Ist Floor,R<strong>in</strong>g Road,K<strong>in</strong>gsway Camp,New Delhi<br />
Ph.: 011-43572961,45118243,Mob. +91-9911156018<br />
Email :- rks.mature<strong>in</strong>dia@gmail.com,<strong>in</strong>fo@mature<strong>in</strong>dia.<strong>in</strong><br />
Website :- www.mature<strong>in</strong>dia.<strong>in</strong>
-110044<br />
RAJ NIWAS<br />
DELHI-110044<br />
KALRAJ MISHRA<br />
DELHI<br />
M E S S A G E<br />
This website offers a curriculum that will <strong>in</strong>troduce<br />
you to the computer and its many uses.<br />
You will be able to develop the necessary skills to<br />
feel confident <strong>in</strong> us<strong>in</strong>g a computer for job search<br />
and/or work purposes Microsoft Digital Literacy<br />
offers assessments to evaluate the level of<br />
understand<strong>in</strong>g on the concepts and skills<br />
<strong>in</strong>troduced<br />
You will be able to develop the necessary.<br />
(ABCD JEE)
-110044<br />
RAJ NIWAS<br />
DELHI-110044<br />
KALRAJ MISHRA<br />
DELHI<br />
M E S S A G E<br />
This website offers a curriculum that will <strong>in</strong>troduce<br />
you to the computer and its many uses.<br />
You will be able to develop the necessary skills to<br />
feel confident <strong>in</strong> us<strong>in</strong>g a computer for job search<br />
and/or work purposes Microsoft Digital Literacy<br />
offers assessments to evaluate the level of<br />
understand<strong>in</strong>g on the concepts and skills<br />
<strong>in</strong>troduced<br />
You will be able to develop the necessary.<br />
(ABCD JEE)
-110044<br />
RAJ NIWAS<br />
DELHI-110044<br />
KALRAJ MISHRA<br />
DELHI<br />
M E S S A G E<br />
This website offers a curriculum that will <strong>in</strong>troduce<br />
you to the computer and its many uses.<br />
You will be able to develop the necessary skills to<br />
feel confident <strong>in</strong> us<strong>in</strong>g a computer for job search<br />
and/or work purposes Microsoft Digital Literacy<br />
offers assessments to evaluate the level of<br />
understand<strong>in</strong>g on the concepts and skills<br />
<strong>in</strong>troduced<br />
You will be able to develop the necessary.<br />
(ABCD JEE)
-110044<br />
RAJ NIWAS<br />
DELHI-110044<br />
KALRAJ MISHRA<br />
DELHI<br />
M E S S A G E<br />
This website offers a curriculum that will <strong>in</strong>troduce<br />
you to the computer and its many uses.<br />
You will be able to develop the necessary skills to<br />
feel confident <strong>in</strong> us<strong>in</strong>g a computer for job search<br />
and/or work purposes Microsoft Digital Literacy<br />
offers assessments to evaluate the level of<br />
understand<strong>in</strong>g on the concepts and skills<br />
<strong>in</strong>troduced<br />
You will be able to develop the necessary.<br />
(ABCD JEE)
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Bridg<strong>in</strong>g the Gap between <strong>Disaster</strong> risk reduction and climate<br />
change adaptation 1<br />
Climate Change, Extreme Events and <strong>Disaster</strong>s<br />
Extreme weather events are one of the major risks faced by<br />
human communities and natural ecosystems. Events such<br />
as heavy ra<strong>in</strong>fall or meteorological drought <strong>in</strong> comb<strong>in</strong>ation<br />
with human <strong>in</strong>duced factors <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g development <strong>in</strong> fragile<br />
ecosystems, <strong>in</strong>efficient <strong>in</strong>frastructure development and lack <strong>in</strong> implementation<br />
of efficient disaster management measures at the local level result <strong>in</strong> disasters<br />
caus<strong>in</strong>g substantial damage to people, natural resources and <strong>in</strong>frastructure.<br />
Climate change is likely to aggravate these exist<strong>in</strong>g risks by <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g<br />
the frequency and <strong>in</strong>tensity of current extreme weather events. This<br />
will lead to new vulnerabilities with differential spatial and socio-economic<br />
impacts across the country. Accord<strong>in</strong>g to the IPCC's special report on<br />
extreme events and disasters (2012), extreme and non-extreme weather<br />
or climate events affect vulnerability to future extreme events by modify<strong>in</strong>g<br />
resilience, cop<strong>in</strong>g capacity, and adaptive capacity. The collective effects<br />
of disasters at local or sub-national levels can considerably affect<br />
livelihood options and resources and the capacity of societies and<br />
communities to prepare for and respond to future disasters.<br />
Additionally, a chang<strong>in</strong>g climate leads to changes <strong>in</strong> the frequency,<br />
<strong>in</strong>tensity, spatial extent, duration, and tim<strong>in</strong>g of extreme weather<br />
and climate events, and can result <strong>in</strong> unprecedented extreme weather<br />
and climate events (Figure 1). The report clearly says that climate<br />
model projections <strong>in</strong>dicate more heavy ra<strong>in</strong>fall events and more frequent<br />
hot days throughout the 21st century <strong>in</strong> many regions of the world.<br />
This is likely to have implications for <strong>India</strong> as well s<strong>in</strong>ce the probability<br />
o f c a s u a l t i e s i s m o r e i n d e v e l o p i n g c o u n t r i e s .<br />
1.The article is based on a background paper that had been written for another<br />
event written by colleagues from TERI – The Energy and Resources Instituite<br />
2. IPCC, 2012: Summary for Policymakers. In: Manag<strong>in</strong>g the Risks of Extreme<br />
Events and <strong>Disaster</strong>s to Advance Climate Change Adaptation [Field, C.B.,<br />
V. Barros, T.F. Stocker, D. Q<strong>in</strong>, D.J. Dokken, K.L. Ebi, M.D. Mastrandrea,<br />
K.J. Mach, G.-K. Plattner, S.K. Allen, M. Tignor, and P.M. Midgley (eds.)].<br />
A Special Report of Work<strong>in</strong>g Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental<br />
Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK,<br />
a n d N e w Y o r k , N Y , U S A , p p . 1 - 1 9 .<br />
{1}
Figure 1: Likely effect of changes <strong>in</strong> temperature<br />
distribution on extremes. The possible changes<br />
are (a) effects of a simple shift of the entire<br />
distribution toward a warmer climate; (b) effects<br />
of an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> temperature variability with no<br />
shift <strong>in</strong> the mean; (c) effects of an altered shape<br />
of the distribution, <strong>in</strong> this example a change <strong>in</strong><br />
asymmetry toward the hotter part of the distribution<br />
Source: IPCC., 2012<br />
Climate <strong>in</strong>duced factors although act as drivers for<br />
disasters but when comb<strong>in</strong>ed with other physical<br />
and socio-economic factors can cause substantial<br />
damage. Climate change is l<strong>in</strong>ked to disasters both<br />
<strong>in</strong> terms of caus<strong>in</strong>g an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> weather and<br />
climate hazards as well as <strong>in</strong>duc<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>creases <strong>in</strong><br />
vulnerabilities of the communities to these hazards<br />
through ecosystem degradation and impacts on<br />
natural resources. Ow<strong>in</strong>g to factors such as unsusta<strong>in</strong>able resource extraction,<br />
<strong>in</strong>adequate policies, and grow<strong>in</strong>g climate and environmental change have<br />
<strong>in</strong>tensified the impacts of these disasters. More extreme weather events <strong>in</strong><br />
future are likely to <strong>in</strong>crease the number and scale of disasters.<br />
Climate Change And Vulnerability To <strong>Disaster</strong>s: illustrations from the region<br />
South Asia is rich <strong>in</strong> its natural resources and has a grow<strong>in</strong>g population which<br />
is largely dependent on natural resources for their livelihood. Economies <strong>in</strong><br />
the region however are exert<strong>in</strong>g immense pressure on the natural resources<br />
to an extent of irreversible changes. Climate change, extreme events and<br />
natural disasters coupled with such socio-economic pressure only exacerbate<br />
the risks further by <strong>in</strong>fluenc<strong>in</strong>g the stock of the resources per se. So much<br />
so that the glacier and snow-pack dependent river bas<strong>in</strong>s situated <strong>in</strong> the<br />
Himalayan region is one of the identified climate change “hotspot” accord<strong>in</strong>g<br />
to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC, 2007).<br />
However, climate change will not just <strong>in</strong>crease risk of future disasters by<br />
impact<strong>in</strong>g the frequency and <strong>in</strong>tensity of natural hazards. It is important to<br />
note that risk is a function of both hazards and social vulnerability. The IPCC<br />
offers the summary of vulnerabilities of key sectors <strong>in</strong> the South Asian region<br />
which <strong>in</strong>dicates both the degree of vulnerability and the level of confidence<br />
(Table 1). South Asia is highly vulnerable <strong>in</strong> all seven sub-sectors, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g<br />
food security, land degradation and human health which translate <strong>in</strong>to<br />
reduced human well-be<strong>in</strong>g and poverty traps. Climate changes will <strong>in</strong>crease<br />
risks of disasters by alter<strong>in</strong>g patterns, frequency and <strong>in</strong>tensity of hazards and<br />
will also impact on the conditions of vulnerability by affect<strong>in</strong>g health, food<br />
security, <strong>in</strong>frastructure and land (Dissanaike, 2008).<br />
{2}
Therefore, apart from scientific knowledge on patterns of climate determ<strong>in</strong>ants<br />
of natural hazards, assessments of impacts <strong>in</strong> different hazard scenarios<br />
of future, there is also a need to identify governance drivers that can facilitate<br />
reduction of social vulnerabilities.<br />
Table 1. Summary of vulnerabilities of key sectors <strong>in</strong> the South Asian region<br />
Food<br />
Biodiversity<br />
Water<br />
Coastal<br />
Human<br />
Settlements<br />
Land<br />
and<br />
Resources<br />
Ecosystem<br />
Health<br />
Degradation<br />
fibre<br />
-2/H -2/H -2/H -2/H -2/M -1/M -2/H<br />
Vulnerability<br />
Level of Confidence<br />
-2 High vulnerable VH Very High<br />
-1 Moderately vulnerable H High<br />
0 Slightly/ not vulnerable M Medium<br />
+1 Moderately resilient L Low<br />
+2 Most resilient VL Very Low<br />
Source: Dissanaike, 2008<br />
The region has been witness<strong>in</strong>g natural calamities. Figure 1 illustrates the<br />
recent disasters which have occurred <strong>in</strong> the region. Climate change is likely<br />
to <strong>in</strong>fluence the type, magnitude and frequency of the hazards.<br />
The follow<strong>in</strong>g past events demonstrate that the region is already vulnerable<br />
to risks of disasters from natural hazards.<br />
1. Flash floods across Afghanistan<br />
Eastern Afghanistan frequently experiences grievous flood<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> Monsoon<br />
season. Eastern and south eastern mounta<strong>in</strong>ous range of Afghanistan is the<br />
ma<strong>in</strong> areas affected by the flood<strong>in</strong>g. Heavy ra<strong>in</strong>fall has caused a series of<br />
flash floods across these regions. Kish<strong>in</strong>dih, Sholgara and NahriShai districts<br />
of Balkh prov<strong>in</strong>ce were seriously affected by the flash flood on 16 April 2013,<br />
which led to vanish<strong>in</strong>g of almost 1200 homes and claimed 17 lives <strong>in</strong> an<br />
<strong>in</strong>itial assessment. In the rural Surobi District 61 people were killed, and<br />
around 500 mudbrick homes were washed away across more than a dozen<br />
villages. In the prov<strong>in</strong>ces of Khost and Nangarhar, flood<strong>in</strong>g destroyed 50<br />
houses, thousands of acres of farm land and<br />
{3}
Tclaimed 24 deaths were reported. In the prov<strong>in</strong>ce of Nuristan at least 60<br />
homes were destroyed across three districts. On 10 August, at least 22 more<br />
people killed <strong>in</strong> the flash flood near Kabul.<br />
2.<strong>Disaster</strong>s <strong>in</strong> <strong>India</strong><br />
Natural disasters <strong>in</strong> <strong>India</strong> have caused immense damage to life and property.<br />
Droughts, flash floods, cyclones, avalanches, landslides, and snowstorms<br />
pose the greatest threats. Flood are the most common natural disaster <strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>India</strong> dur<strong>in</strong>g monsoon season and almost every year claims thousands of life,<br />
economic losses and post flood epidemics and creates issues of relief and<br />
rehabilitation. It has become a yearly ritual that rivers like the Brahmaputra<br />
and its tributaries <strong>in</strong> Assam and Kosi <strong>in</strong> Bihar often change their course and<br />
distend their banks dur<strong>in</strong>g the heavy southwest monsoon and lead to<br />
<strong>in</strong>undation of villages and towns.<br />
From 14th to 17th June 2013 the <strong>India</strong>n state of Uttarakhand and adjo<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />
areas received very heavy ra<strong>in</strong>fall which was about 375% above normal<br />
average ra<strong>in</strong>fall dur<strong>in</strong>g this period. This led to high volume of ice melt <strong>in</strong><br />
Chorabari Glacier and comb<strong>in</strong>ed with the outburst of snow fed lake<br />
contributed to high discharge <strong>in</strong> the Mandak<strong>in</strong>i River and ultimately heavy<br />
floods <strong>in</strong> Kedar Shr<strong>in</strong>e, Gob<strong>in</strong>dghat, Rudraprayag district till Haridwar.<br />
Other parts of Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh, and western Nepal and<br />
nearby regions received heavy ra<strong>in</strong>fall at the same time.<br />
The heavy ra<strong>in</strong>fall resulted <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>tensive flash flood and massive landslides.<br />
Entire villages and settlements had been wiped out. The month of June is<br />
favorable for the Char dhamYatra which <strong>in</strong>cludes Gangotri, Yamunotri,<br />
Kedarnath and Badr<strong>in</strong>ath. At the time of this heavy ra<strong>in</strong>fall event more than<br />
70000 estimated devotees were stuck en-route <strong>in</strong> various regions because of<br />
damaged roads and massive traffic jam. <strong>India</strong>n Army was called for a rescue<br />
operation but the bad weather and narrow valley made the rescue operation<br />
tough. About 556 bodies were found out of which 166 were <strong>in</strong> highly<br />
decomposed state dur<strong>in</strong>g 4th round of search operation. Even the bodies of<br />
people washed away <strong>in</strong> this flood were recovered from distant places<br />
downstream <strong>in</strong> Bijnor, Allahabad and Bulandshaher<br />
3.Flood <strong>in</strong> Pakistan<br />
The National <strong>Disaster</strong> <strong>Management</strong> Authority <strong>in</strong> Pakistan declared flood of<br />
2010 as the worst natural disaster <strong>in</strong> the country's history. About one-fifth of<br />
Pakistan's total land area was <strong>in</strong>undated; over 20 million were affected mostly<br />
by destruction of property, agriculture, livelihood and other <strong>in</strong>frastructures and<br />
the death toll was close to 2000. The reason of flood was unprecedented<br />
monsoon ra<strong>in</strong> lead<strong>in</strong>g to flood<strong>in</strong>g of the Indus River, start<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> Khyber<br />
Pakhtunkhwa, spread<strong>in</strong>g South through Punjab, Baluchistan and S<strong>in</strong>dh.<br />
{4}
4.Bangladesh Flash Floods<br />
Flash flood and associated landslide are major disasters <strong>in</strong> the hilly regions of<br />
Bangladesh, occurr<strong>in</strong>g almost every year. Devastat<strong>in</strong>g and extended flash<br />
flood is a recurrent phenomenon for the north-east region of Bangladesh.<br />
The extreme flashy character of the rivers and sudden excessive ra<strong>in</strong>fall <strong>in</strong><br />
the region causes frequent flash floods <strong>in</strong> the north eastern Haor areas. In this<br />
area, flash flood comes from the very steep uplands adjacent to the region <strong>in</strong><br />
Assam and Meghalaya hill range <strong>in</strong> <strong>India</strong> caus<strong>in</strong>g immense damage to the<br />
stand<strong>in</strong>g crops, human lives and properties every year. The annual ra<strong>in</strong>fall<br />
ranges from 2,200 mm along the western boundary to 5,800 mm <strong>in</strong> the<br />
north-east corner and even higher <strong>in</strong> different catchments due to monsoon<br />
depression.<br />
Discharge of 3 major bas<strong>in</strong>s- Brahmaputra, Ganges and Meghna passes<br />
through the country. Due to the <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>tensity of ra<strong>in</strong>fall with<strong>in</strong> shorter<br />
periodsof time the river channels cannot manage the flow of this deluge<br />
amount of water to Bay of Bengal result<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> sudden flood and associated<br />
landslide. This floodwater also carries huge amount of sediment orig<strong>in</strong>ated<br />
ma<strong>in</strong>ly from hill and <strong>in</strong> due course has deposited on the rivers and canals bed<br />
and has reduced the discharge capacity of more or less all of the water<br />
resources system with<strong>in</strong> the Haor area. Apart from physiology, hydrology and<br />
climatology, the changes <strong>in</strong> the geomorphology <strong>in</strong> relation to land use changes<br />
as well as deforestation, hill cutt<strong>in</strong>g and unplanned <strong>in</strong>frastructural development<br />
have been <strong>in</strong>fluenc<strong>in</strong>g flash flood and landslide disaster.<br />
Vulnerability To <strong>Disaster</strong>s: The <strong>India</strong>n context<br />
<strong>India</strong> has witnessed huge disasters <strong>in</strong> the recent past such as flash floods <strong>in</strong><br />
Leh (2010), heavy ra<strong>in</strong>fall <strong>in</strong> Uttarakhand (2013), drought <strong>in</strong> Maharashtra<br />
(2012) and cyclone Aila (2009). The magnitude the impact of the disasters<br />
can be reflected by the extent of loss and damage which can be <strong>in</strong>duced by<br />
weather extremes. Moreover, the topography and socio-economic conditions<br />
of <strong>India</strong> makes it more vulnerable to various disasters <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g floods and<br />
droughts. The vulnerability of <strong>India</strong> to disasters is evident by the fact that over<br />
40 million hectares of land area of the country (12% of total land area) is<br />
prone to floods and river erosion, 68% of the cultivable area is vulnerable to<br />
drought and about 75% of the coastl<strong>in</strong>e is prone to cyclones and tsunamis<br />
(GoI, 2011) .<br />
Extreme weather events already appear to affect the Ganges bas<strong>in</strong> more<br />
frequently and create flood<strong>in</strong>g (Goswami et al., 2006) though <strong>in</strong>dications of<br />
change <strong>in</strong> the frequency of droughts are ambiguous (Burke and Brown, 2008).<br />
It is still uncerta<strong>in</strong> how more local and seasonal shifts will impact livelihoods<br />
<strong>in</strong> the mounta<strong>in</strong>s and flood pla<strong>in</strong>s e.g. water shortage dur<strong>in</strong>g sow<strong>in</strong>g time.<br />
Particularly over <strong>India</strong>, significant warm<strong>in</strong>g trend have been observed <strong>in</strong> the<br />
past 100 years (H<strong>in</strong>gane et al., 1985, Kothawale et al. 2010). Various research<br />
papers and government reports (MoEF, 2010) have <strong>in</strong>dicated an accelerated<br />
{5}
warm<strong>in</strong>g trend <strong>in</strong> the recent 30 years over most parts of <strong>India</strong> and although<br />
theprofile of ra<strong>in</strong>fall have been trendless on <strong>India</strong> wide scale, several regional<br />
trends have been reported (Parthasarthy, 1994). Along with an overall <strong>in</strong>crease<br />
<strong>in</strong> extreme ra<strong>in</strong>fall events and their <strong>in</strong>tensities <strong>in</strong> the past 100 year period<br />
(Sen Roy and Ball<strong>in</strong>g, 2004), recent years have also seen an <strong>in</strong>crease of<br />
frequency and <strong>in</strong>tensity of heavy ra<strong>in</strong>fall events and a decl<strong>in</strong>e of low ra<strong>in</strong>fall<br />
events (Goswami et al., 2006). Hence, there is ample scientific evidence of<br />
climate change and grow<strong>in</strong>g extremes particularly over <strong>India</strong>.<br />
<strong>India</strong> has been experienc<strong>in</strong>g climate variability as evident from the changes<br />
<strong>in</strong> climate parameters. The mean annual temperature of <strong>India</strong> has <strong>in</strong>creased<br />
at the rate of 0.5°C per 100 year <strong>in</strong> the last century (1901-2007) with <strong>in</strong>tense<br />
warm<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the last decade (1998-2007). An <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g trend has also been<br />
observed <strong>in</strong> the occurrence of extreme events. Data for highest 1-day ra<strong>in</strong>fall<br />
from the stations across the country for the past 50 years (1951-2007) shows<br />
that extreme ra<strong>in</strong>fall amounts are <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g at many places. The <strong>in</strong>tensity of<br />
such events seems to be <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g 1980 onwards. These figures <strong>in</strong>dicate the<br />
past trends <strong>in</strong> climate parameters which have implications for natural<br />
resources and livelihoods3.<br />
Such trends are likely to cont<strong>in</strong>ue <strong>in</strong> the future as well. Although the<br />
projections for 2030s <strong>in</strong>dicate an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> overall precipitation by 3 to 7%<br />
as compared to 1970s but it is the seasonal reduction <strong>in</strong> ra<strong>in</strong>fall <strong>in</strong> w<strong>in</strong>ter and<br />
pre-monsoon ra<strong>in</strong>fall which might lead to impacts on some sectors such as<br />
crop production. Moreover, a reduction <strong>in</strong> monsoon ra<strong>in</strong>fall is likely <strong>in</strong> many<br />
parts of the country which will have major impacts on food security.<br />
The annual mean air surface temperature is also projected to rise by 1.7 to<br />
2°C by 2030s. In terms of extreme ra<strong>in</strong>fall events, simulations <strong>in</strong>dicate a<br />
reduction <strong>in</strong> the frequency of ra<strong>in</strong>y days for 2030s <strong>in</strong> many parts of the country<br />
On the other hand, some of the simulations show an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> the <strong>in</strong>tensity<br />
of ra<strong>in</strong>fall events. The model simulations also <strong>in</strong>dicate an <strong>in</strong>tensification of daily<br />
temperature extremes of the 2030s3.<br />
3.INCCA: <strong>India</strong>n Network for Climate Change Assessment, November 2010,<br />
MoEF, GOI<br />
Climate <strong>in</strong>duced factors although act as drivers for disasters but when<br />
comb<strong>in</strong>ed with other physical and socio-economic factors can cause substantial<br />
damage. Climate change is l<strong>in</strong>ked to disasters both <strong>in</strong> terms of caus<strong>in</strong>g an<br />
<strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> weather and climate hazards as well as <strong>in</strong>duc<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>creases <strong>in</strong><br />
vulnerabilities of the communities to these hazards. As seen from above,<br />
there has been a long history of natural disasters which have occurred <strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>India</strong>. In the past few years, there has been an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> losses due to<br />
disasters from 54 thousand crore rupees (1996-2000) to 86 thousand crore<br />
rupees (2001-2005)1. More extreme weather events <strong>in</strong> future are likely to<br />
ncrease the scale of disasters.<br />
{6}
Prepar<strong>in</strong>g for <strong>Disaster</strong>s: The emerg<strong>in</strong>g challenge<br />
A chang<strong>in</strong>g climate not only leads to changes <strong>in</strong> type, magnitude and frequency<br />
of extreme climate events (IPCC, 2012) but also makes it challeng<strong>in</strong>g to predict<br />
such events ow<strong>in</strong>g to <strong>in</strong>herent complexity and uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty of the climatic system.<br />
Furthermore, the degrees of impacts of such events also depend on unique<br />
vulnerabilities and adaptive capacities of vary<strong>in</strong>g localities, communities and<br />
sectors. In the midst of on-go<strong>in</strong>g ecosystem changes due to human pressures<br />
on the services provided by varied ecosystems and future uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty, there<br />
are always scope of surprises-i.e. events outside human expectations and also<br />
situations where well-<strong>in</strong>tentioned strategies may become maladaptive.<br />
Thus there is a need for iteration between research, policy mak<strong>in</strong>g and<br />
implementation so that there is a cont<strong>in</strong>uous learn<strong>in</strong>g process to manage<br />
uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty.<br />
There is an urgent need for <strong>in</strong>tegrat<strong>in</strong>g plann<strong>in</strong>g for climate change adaptation<br />
(CCA) with disaster risk reduction (DRR) so that there is no duplication of<br />
efforts, better management of funds and lessons for long term strategies.<br />
Though there are commitments for f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g convergence <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternational and<br />
regional policy processes, there are challenges for convergence <strong>in</strong> practice <strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>India</strong>. The climate change response plann<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the country does not show<br />
much <strong>in</strong>dication towards such convergence while the de novo <strong>in</strong>stitutions of<br />
disaster management are <strong>in</strong> a process of f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g their fit among exist<strong>in</strong>g<br />
framework for relief and rehabilitation (Varma et al., forthcom<strong>in</strong>g).<br />
The ongo<strong>in</strong>g process of climate policy and disaster management plann<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>India</strong> takes cognizance of the risk of alterations <strong>in</strong> magnitude and frequency<br />
of natural hazards <strong>in</strong> the future and creates scope for capacity build<strong>in</strong>g through<br />
generation and dissem<strong>in</strong>ation of scientific <strong>in</strong>formation. But this at best,<br />
addresses the design part of adaptation plann<strong>in</strong>g, uncerta<strong>in</strong>ties for<br />
implementation and ensur<strong>in</strong>g desired outcomes rema<strong>in</strong>. Although, processes<br />
for consultations dur<strong>in</strong>g policy design or tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g programs for <strong>in</strong>formed<br />
decision mak<strong>in</strong>g exists, they have paid little focus on the dimension of<br />
communication. Current practices of science-policy communication are<br />
more expert driven and fail to create space for knowledge<br />
shar<strong>in</strong>g among communities, development practitioners and <strong>in</strong>stitutions of<br />
lower levels of governance and thus miss out on the root causes of<br />
vulnerability and elements of adaptive capacity <strong>in</strong> different contexts.<br />
There is a need to make long term adaptation plann<strong>in</strong>g more grounded<br />
<strong>in</strong> order to avoid unanticipated outcomes after implementation<br />
(APN-TERI, 2014). There is a need to look towards adaptive governance<br />
approach which seeks to learn from diverse knowledge systems and<br />
experience, facilitate network<strong>in</strong>g among stakeholders for learn<strong>in</strong>g and<br />
<strong>in</strong>novation, and leadership to navigate through change. It has the potential<br />
of guid<strong>in</strong>g plann<strong>in</strong>g processes which can produce strategies which are not<br />
only outcome oriented but also socially acceptable.<br />
{7}
However, the capacity to opertionalize such a governance approach seems to<br />
be questionable not only <strong>in</strong> <strong>India</strong> but the entire South Asia region<br />
(Sud et al., forthcom<strong>in</strong>g).<br />
Current Institutional Set-up <strong>in</strong> <strong>India</strong> related to Climate Change and<br />
<strong>Disaster</strong> <strong>Management</strong><br />
S<strong>in</strong>ce there are substantial risks be<strong>in</strong>g posed by climate change, so there is a<br />
need to address climate change adaptation and disaster risk reduction<br />
efficiently <strong>in</strong> our policy and plann<strong>in</strong>g process. In order to manage and cope<br />
with the impacts of disasters <strong>in</strong> <strong>India</strong>, there is the <strong>Disaster</strong> <strong>Management</strong><br />
Act of 2005. The Act provides mechanisms for effective management of<br />
disasters as well as <strong>in</strong>stitutional mechanisms for monitor<strong>in</strong>g the implementation<br />
of disaster management at National, state and district level. It provides for<br />
the sett<strong>in</strong>g up of <strong>in</strong>stitutions such as National <strong>Disaster</strong> <strong>Management</strong> authority<br />
NDMA), State <strong>Disaster</strong> <strong>Management</strong> authority (SDMA) at state level and<br />
District <strong>Disaster</strong> <strong>Management</strong> authority (DDMA) at district level for better<br />
management of disasters. It also provides mechanisms for formation of<br />
National Institute of <strong>Disaster</strong> <strong>Management</strong> (NIDM) for capacity build<strong>in</strong>g and<br />
the National <strong>Disaster</strong> Response Force (NDRF) to respond to natural disasters<br />
which function under the M<strong>in</strong>istry of Home Affairs. In addition to this, there is<br />
also the National Crisis <strong>Management</strong> Committee which functions at the Centre.<br />
The National Policy on <strong>Disaster</strong> <strong>Management</strong> (NPDM) has also been<br />
formulated and approved by the central government <strong>in</strong> 2009.<br />
The policy covers different aspects of disaster management <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g<br />
<strong>in</strong>stitutional and f<strong>in</strong>ancial arrangements and mitigation and preparedness.<br />
It focuses on the areas where action is needed and the <strong>in</strong>stitutional<br />
mechanism to channelize the actions1. In recent years the government's<br />
framework to address disasters has changed from be<strong>in</strong>g relief- centered<br />
to a more holistic approach <strong>in</strong>volv<strong>in</strong>g several aspects of disaster management<br />
<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g prevention, mitigation, preparedness, response, relief and rehabilitation.<br />
Additionally, multilateral agencies also contribute <strong>in</strong> efforts towards disaster<br />
management which also <strong>in</strong>clude community based disaster risk management<br />
<strong>in</strong>itiatives<br />
{8}
Figure 2: Legal Institutional Framework of <strong>Disaster</strong> management <strong>in</strong> <strong>India</strong> under<br />
the <strong>Disaster</strong> <strong>Management</strong> Act of 2005. Source: M<strong>in</strong>istry of Home Affairs, GoI<br />
Apart from the <strong>in</strong>stitutional mechanisms <strong>in</strong> place to address disasters, <strong>India</strong><br />
has taken a number of <strong>in</strong>itiatives to respond to the challenges of climate<br />
change. In 2008, a committee chaired by the Prime M<strong>in</strong>ister called Prime<br />
M<strong>in</strong>ister's Council on Climate Change was formulated to coord<strong>in</strong>ate national<br />
action for assessment, adaptation and mitigation of climate change. In the<br />
same year, <strong>India</strong> released its National Action Plan on Climate Change<br />
(NAPCC). Under the NAPCC, there are eight missions to address focal<br />
areas such as water, agriculture and susta<strong>in</strong>able habitat. As part of this plan,<br />
each of the states are mandated to develop their respective State Action<br />
Plan on Climate Change (SAPCCs) to deal with specific challenges at the<br />
local level <strong>in</strong> each of the states. At the state level, the Government of <strong>India</strong><br />
has also allocated funds for strengthen<strong>in</strong>g disaster management <strong>in</strong>stitutions,<br />
capacity build<strong>in</strong>g and response mechanisms5.<br />
State Level Programmes for strengthen<strong>in</strong>g disaster management <strong>in</strong> <strong>India</strong>,<br />
M<strong>in</strong>istry of Home Affairs, Government of <strong>India</strong><br />
Although there are policies and <strong>in</strong>stitutional mechanisms exist<strong>in</strong>g to deal with<br />
the impacts of extreme weather events and disasters still there are gaps which<br />
exist <strong>in</strong> the current regime and there is a need for enhanced efforts of private<br />
sector.<br />
References<br />
1. Goswami, B. N., Venugopal, V., Sengupta, D., Madhusoodanan, M. S. and<br />
Xavier Pr<strong>in</strong>ce, K., (2006), Increas<strong>in</strong>g trend of extreme ra<strong>in</strong>events over <strong>India</strong> <strong>in</strong><br />
a warm<strong>in</strong>g environment. Science, 314, 1442–1445.<br />
2. H<strong>in</strong>gane, L. S., Rupa Kumar, K. and Ramana Murthy, Bh. V., (1985) Long-term<br />
trends of surface air temperature <strong>in</strong> <strong>India</strong>. J. Climatol., 5, 521–528.<br />
3. INCCA: <strong>India</strong>n Network for Climate Change Assessment, November 2010,<br />
MoEF, GOI<br />
4. IPCC, 2007. Climate Change, 2007: The Physical Science Basis.<br />
Inter-governmental Panel for Climate Change, Cambridge University Press,<br />
Cambridge CB2 2RU, UK.<br />
5.IPCC, 2012: Summary for Policymakers. In: Manag<strong>in</strong>g the Risks of Extreme<br />
Events and <strong>Disaster</strong>s to Advance Climate Change Adaptation [Field, C.B., V.<br />
Barros, T.F. Stocker, D. Q<strong>in</strong>, D.J. Dokken, K.L. Ebi, M.D. Mastrandrea, K.J. Mach,<br />
G.-K. Plattner, S.K. Allen, M. Tignor, and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. A Special Report<br />
of Work<strong>in</strong>g Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.<br />
Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, and New York, NY, USA, pp. 1-19<br />
6.Kothawale, D.R., Munot, A.A., Krishna Kumar, K. (2010). Surface Air<br />
Temperature Variability over <strong>India</strong> dur<strong>in</strong>g 1901-2007, and its Association with<br />
ENSO. Climate Research, No. 42, June 2010, 89- 104, doi: 10.3354/cr00857<br />
{9}
7. MoEF (2010). Climate Change and <strong>India</strong>: A 4x4 Assessment. <strong>India</strong>n Network<br />
for Climate Change Assessment Report 2. M<strong>in</strong>istry of <strong>Environment</strong> & Forests,<br />
Government of <strong>India</strong>.<br />
8. Parthasarathy, B., Munot, A. A. and Kothawale, D. R., (1994), All <strong>India</strong> monthly<br />
and seasonal ra<strong>in</strong>fall series 1871–1993.Theor. Appl. Climatol., 49, 217–224<br />
9.State Level Programmes for strengthen<strong>in</strong>g disaster management <strong>in</strong> <strong>India</strong>,<br />
M<strong>in</strong>istry of Home Affairs, Government of <strong>India</strong><br />
10. Sud, R., Mishra, A, A., Varma, N and Bhadwal, S. Adaptation policy and<br />
practice <strong>in</strong> densely populated glacier-fed river bas<strong>in</strong>s of South Asia: a systematic<br />
review. Journal of Regional <strong>Environment</strong>al Change (forthcom<strong>in</strong>g)<br />
11. Varma, N., Kelkar, U., Bhardwaj, S., S<strong>in</strong>gh, P. and Mishra, A.2014. Climate,<br />
<strong>Disaster</strong>s and Development-Test<strong>in</strong>g the waters for adaptive governance <strong>in</strong> <strong>India</strong>.<br />
Vision-Journal of Bus<strong>in</strong>ess Perspective. Special issue on governance and public<br />
policy (forthcom<strong>in</strong>g)<br />
12. Private Sector Activities <strong>in</strong> <strong>Disaster</strong> Risk Reduction<br />
(UNISDR), http://www.unisdr.org/2006/ppew/PPP-bestpractices.pdf<br />
13. ONGC HSE Initiatives, Fpr more details see:<br />
http://www.ongc<strong>in</strong>dia.com/wps/wcm/connect/ongc<strong>in</strong>dia/Home/Initiatives/HSE/<br />
14. World Bank. For details see:<br />
(http://web.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXTERNAL/TOPICS/<br />
EXTURBANDEVELOPMENT/EXTDISMGMT/0,,contentMDK:20296273~<br />
menuPK:1242068~pagePK:148956~piPK:216618~theSitePK:341015,00.html)<br />
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Climate change, Extreme Events and Infrastructure Safety <strong>in</strong> South Asia<br />
Abstract<br />
Dr. Anil Kumar Gupta<br />
Head, Division of Policy Plann<strong>in</strong>g,<br />
Coord<strong>in</strong>ator of Technical Advisory,<br />
National Institute of <strong>Disaster</strong> <strong>Management</strong>, New Delhi 110002 <strong>India</strong><br />
Email: envirosafe2007@gmail.com<br />
South Asia is undergo<strong>in</strong>g a transform <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>frastructure advances, <strong>in</strong> public,<br />
private or <strong>in</strong>dustrial sett<strong>in</strong>gs. However, impact of climate change on disasters<br />
and extreme events as witnessed by the events <strong>in</strong> recent past, affected severely<br />
a range of <strong>in</strong>frastructure result<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to economic losses and social challenges.<br />
Large portions compris<strong>in</strong>g mounta<strong>in</strong>s, coastal and other fragile or sensitive<br />
ecologies <strong>in</strong> the region <strong>in</strong>tensify damage risks. Trend <strong>in</strong> urbanization, city<br />
development and <strong>in</strong>dustrial-commercial advances and their <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g<br />
vulnerability to extreme events call for special attention. Water and climate<br />
related disasters, like floods, cyclones, droughts, other extremes like hailstorm,<br />
heat wave, cold wave, etc. and their impacts on <strong>in</strong>frastructure safety and<br />
function<strong>in</strong>g have devastat<strong>in</strong>g implication for economic, social and environmental<br />
susta<strong>in</strong>ability. The <strong>in</strong>tegrated risk management approach for climate resilient<br />
and disaster safer <strong>in</strong>frastructure <strong>in</strong>volves structural and non-structural<br />
<strong>in</strong>terventions. This will <strong>in</strong>clude improv<strong>in</strong>g EIA and natural hazard risk<br />
assessment process, landscape and land-use concerns, understand<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>terrelated<br />
vulnerability of <strong>in</strong>frastructure systems, sett<strong>in</strong>g and ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g structural<br />
and design standards, shar<strong>in</strong>g of data and knowledge for capacity build<strong>in</strong>g and<br />
plann<strong>in</strong>g decisions.<br />
1. CLIMATE CHANGE AND EXTREME EVENT DISASTERS IN SOUTH ASIA<br />
South Asia occupies about 5 per cent of the world's land mass, but is home to<br />
about 20 per cent of the world's population. Population is expected to rise to<br />
about 25 per cent by 2025 (UNEP, 2009). By 2050, region's population is likely to<br />
exceed from the current level of 1.5 billion to 2.2 billion. South Asia is the most<br />
densely populated, and also the most disaster prone geographical region <strong>in</strong> the<br />
world.<br />
The Asia/Pacific region accounted for 91% of the world's total death and 49% of<br />
the world's total damage due to natural disasters <strong>in</strong> the last century. The<br />
frequency of weather-related disasters and the damage they cause are both on<br />
the rise. S<strong>in</strong>ce 1980, available data <strong>in</strong>dicates weather-related disasters have<br />
<strong>in</strong>creased by 233 per cent (CRED, 2012). Extreme weather events like heavy<br />
ra<strong>in</strong>fall result<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to floods, w<strong>in</strong>d – cyclone and storms, drought, and events of<br />
heat wave, cold wave, thunders, etc. damage <strong>in</strong>frastructure depend<strong>in</strong>g upon<br />
extent and <strong>in</strong>tensity. S<strong>in</strong>ce the decades of the 1950's, the annual direct losses<br />
from natural catastrophes have <strong>in</strong>creased from $3.9 billion to $40 billion a year<br />
by the 1990's (IPCC 2001). Of this annual total of $40 billion, approximately $9.6<br />
{11}
illion of direct damage occurred to <strong>in</strong>frastructure. It is, therefore, important to<br />
<strong>in</strong>corporate plann<strong>in</strong>g for the uncerta<strong>in</strong>ties of weather-related events <strong>in</strong>to<br />
<strong>in</strong>frastructure management, at the country and the local level. Ris<strong>in</strong>g<br />
temperature of globe is caus<strong>in</strong>g extreme weather events result<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> various<br />
disasters. Climate change is expected to act as a 'risk multiplier', <strong>in</strong>teract<strong>in</strong>g with<br />
other trends.<br />
South Asia recorded 128 natural disaster events between 2006 and 2008, 93%<br />
of which were of hydro-meteorological orig<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g 86 <strong>in</strong>cidences of flood<strong>in</strong>g<br />
were reported. <strong>India</strong> had by far the highest number of disaster events, but<br />
flood<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> Bangladesh claimed most lives. In fact, South Asia is the most<br />
exposed region <strong>in</strong> the world to flood<strong>in</strong>g and highly exposed to cyclones. Of the<br />
world's total population exposed to floods each year, 64 percent of them are <strong>in</strong><br />
this region. Furthermore, with<strong>in</strong> the develop<strong>in</strong>g world, it is the second most<br />
exposed region to cyclones (The World Bank, 2012). These extreme event<br />
disasters pose grow<strong>in</strong>g risks to development.<br />
2. INFRASTRUCTURE GROWTH – NEED OF SAFETY AND RESILIENCE<br />
South Asia is fac<strong>in</strong>g serious brunt of climate change <strong>in</strong> form of hydrometeorological<br />
extreme event lead<strong>in</strong>g to disasters, along grow<strong>in</strong>g complexities<br />
of livelihood, food and health related challenges, migration and, thus, place<br />
major obstacles on the road to environmentally susta<strong>in</strong>able and <strong>in</strong>clusive<br />
growth. Infrastructure systems and resources, especially of critical amenities<br />
and supplies, seek special attention for their susta<strong>in</strong>ability and safety <strong>in</strong> the wake<br />
of disaster risk reduction. Thus, <strong>in</strong>frastructure resilience is expected to be a<br />
central agenda of climate change adaptation and disaster risk reduction <strong>in</strong><br />
develop<strong>in</strong>g countries, especially <strong>in</strong> South Asia.<br />
The term "<strong>in</strong>frastructure" usually refers to physical assets <strong>in</strong> a wider range,<br />
<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g hous<strong>in</strong>g, communications, emergency services, energy,<br />
manufactur<strong>in</strong>g, food, health, education, civil protection, transport, water, waste<br />
or sewage management. Build<strong>in</strong>gs, from private households to schools or<br />
<strong>in</strong>dustrial <strong>in</strong>stallations, are the most common type of <strong>in</strong>frastructure and the basis<br />
for human settlement. In addition, network <strong>in</strong>frastructure is crucial for the<br />
function<strong>in</strong>g of today's economy and society, notably <strong>in</strong>frastructure for energy<br />
(e.g. grids, power stations, pipel<strong>in</strong>es), transport (fixed assets such as roads,<br />
railways or airports), ICT (e.g. data cables) and water (e.g. water supply<br />
pipel<strong>in</strong>es, reservoirs, waste water treatment facilities). Accord<strong>in</strong>g to the report<br />
“Reduc<strong>in</strong>g Poverty by Clos<strong>in</strong>g South Asia's Infrastructure Gap” (Andres et al<br />
2013), South Asian countries will have to <strong>in</strong>vest as much as $2.5 trillion on<br />
transport, electricity, water supply and sanitation, solid waste management,<br />
telecommunications, and irrigation to bridge its <strong>in</strong>frastructure gap.<br />
Cities are especially prone to impacts of extreme weather events, due to the<br />
concentration of population, physical assets, and socio-economic activities.<br />
Cities play an essential role <strong>in</strong> provid<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>frastructure to citizens. Many climate<br />
impacts are accelerated or accentuated <strong>in</strong> built up areas which can create<br />
unique microclimates <strong>in</strong> terms of temperatures, w<strong>in</strong>d and precipitation (e.g.<br />
urban heat island effect). Urban sprawl and an unbroken trend to soil seal<strong>in</strong>g can<br />
{12}
have additional negative externalities, for <strong>in</strong>stance a lack of flood areas (EC<br />
2013). The function<strong>in</strong>g of <strong>in</strong>frastructure <strong>in</strong> mounta<strong>in</strong>ous areas can be<br />
<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly threatened by an <strong>in</strong>creased frequency and <strong>in</strong>tensity of natural<br />
hazards (such as landslides, rock falls or floods). Apart from the physical<br />
destruction of (or damage to) <strong>in</strong>frastructure <strong>in</strong> risk zones, <strong>in</strong> particular water<br />
cycles are expected to change significantly (e.g. <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g/decreas<strong>in</strong>g water<br />
availability for hydropower generators, depend<strong>in</strong>g on local and regional<br />
conditions).<br />
When <strong>in</strong>frastructure fails dur<strong>in</strong>g a natural disaster, it can <strong>in</strong>terrupt vital services,<br />
magnify<strong>in</strong>g the need for well-function<strong>in</strong>g systems beforehand (Chang, 2009).<br />
For example, power failures may disrupt water supply and transport dur<strong>in</strong>g<br />
cyclone. Damaged roads can hamper the swift transport of people to safer<br />
areas, provision of life-sav<strong>in</strong>g medic<strong>in</strong>es and supplies to hospitals, and timely<br />
distribution of emergency relief (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change,<br />
IPCC, 2012). Mak<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>frastructure resilient to natural disasters is a daunt<strong>in</strong>g<br />
challenge, not least because of the vast area of coverage that <strong>in</strong>cludes transport,<br />
electricity, water supply and sanitation, and build<strong>in</strong>gs and other structures.<br />
Resilience refers to a system's ability to anticipate, absorb, and recover from a<br />
hazardous event <strong>in</strong> a timely and efficient manner (IPCC, 2012).<br />
A series of urban flood<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>cidences like Mumbai flood of 2005 and follow<strong>in</strong>g<br />
episodes <strong>in</strong> Surat, Bhopal, Hyderabad, Islamabad, Dhaka, Bangalore,<br />
Ahmadabad, Delhi, and many more locations <strong>in</strong> South Asia, affected public and<br />
private <strong>in</strong>frastructure especially hous<strong>in</strong>g, transport, communication, health and<br />
bus<strong>in</strong>esses <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dustry and manufactur<strong>in</strong>g, to vary<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>tensity. Recent<br />
floods <strong>in</strong> Jammu and Kashmir <strong>in</strong> 2014 have caused an immediate loss between<br />
Rupees 54 to 57 billion, well exceed<strong>in</strong>g 10 % of the state's GDP with heavy<br />
damages to trade, hotels, restaurants, horticulture and handicraft besides<br />
throw<strong>in</strong>g completely out of gear basic <strong>in</strong>frastructure of power, railways and<br />
communication, <strong>in</strong>itial estimates (by ASSOCHAM). Super cyclone of 1999 is<br />
known to have dismantled all long ga<strong>in</strong>s of <strong>in</strong>frastructure development besides<br />
caus<strong>in</strong>g huge loss of lives. Though the loss of human lives have been greatly<br />
averted <strong>in</strong> the recent cyclones Phaill<strong>in</strong> and Hudhud, devastations to livelihood<br />
and other aspects of development has been enormous and difficult to document.<br />
Impact on all types and levels of <strong>in</strong>frastructure systems has been so diverse on<br />
size, extent and temporal scales to make their del<strong>in</strong>eation much complex. The<br />
cases of Uttarakhand flood of 2013 and Kashmir flood 2014 have witnessed<br />
diverse and severe disruption of critical <strong>in</strong>frastructure systems <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g<br />
transport, communication, hospitals, bridges, etc. and jeopardized the society<br />
and economy of the region.<br />
3. REDUCING INFRASTRUCTURE VULNERABILITY TO CLIMATIC HAZARDS<br />
The discourse on resilience is <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly fram<strong>in</strong>g th<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g about susta<strong>in</strong>able<br />
futures <strong>in</strong> the context of natural disasters and climate change. The issue has<br />
developed as a fusion of ideas from several bodies of literature - eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g,<br />
ecosystem stability, behavioral sciences, disaster risk reduction, vulnerabilities<br />
to hazards, and urban and regional development. Consequently, resilience<br />
{13}
spans a spectrum of discipl<strong>in</strong>es and goes beyond the emphasis of conventional<br />
eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g systems on the capacity to control and absorb external shocks.<br />
Across the region, over 70% of its 1.5 billion people live <strong>in</strong> poverty, the vast<br />
majority <strong>in</strong> rural, agricultural areas. South Asia also has the biggest urban<br />
slum population <strong>in</strong> the world, many of which are regularly exposed to natural<br />
disasters. Both urban and rural poor are exposed to a multitude of disasters.<br />
Development or mal-development has resulted <strong>in</strong> greater exposure of the<br />
populations to hazards <strong>in</strong>stead of improv<strong>in</strong>g community level resilience. South<br />
Asia's much celebrated economic growth rates have not prevented the<br />
accumulation of disaster risks. This multi-layer vulnerability calls for safer and<br />
resilient <strong>in</strong>frastructure growth <strong>in</strong> urban, rural and <strong>in</strong>dustrial sett<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>in</strong> the<br />
countries of South Asia and, therefore, shall require an <strong>in</strong>tegrated approach<br />
<strong>in</strong>corporat<strong>in</strong>g structural and technology centric measures and non-structural<br />
<strong>in</strong>terventions like risk sensitive land-use and landscape based plann<strong>in</strong>g,<br />
climate hazard knowledge <strong>in</strong>tegration <strong>in</strong>to <strong>in</strong>vestment decisions, ecosystem<br />
based and natural <strong>in</strong>frastructure susta<strong>in</strong>ability, risk communication and<br />
capacity build<strong>in</strong>g.<br />
Over the past 40 years, the total <strong>in</strong>frastructure spend<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the region has<br />
<strong>in</strong>creased exponentially, with gross fixed capital formation be<strong>in</strong>g approximately<br />
50 times greater <strong>in</strong> 2010 than it was <strong>in</strong> 1970. As a result, cities today have<br />
highly concentrated and highly valued productive assets exposed, along with<br />
significant amounts of public and private <strong>in</strong>frastructure that are not resilient to<br />
hazard events despite <strong>in</strong>creased levels of development (The World Bank,<br />
2012). Infrastructure encompasses an <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly <strong>in</strong>terconnected network of<br />
high-value assets with long operational lifetimes. Exist<strong>in</strong>g stock of bridges,<br />
roads and power stations is already vulnerable to today's extreme weather.<br />
Climate change impacts are known to further <strong>in</strong>crease these vulnerabilities, by<br />
affect<strong>in</strong>g supply, access to resources, operations, patterns of demand and<br />
socio-economic and ecological susta<strong>in</strong>ability. Key challenges <strong>in</strong> promot<strong>in</strong>g<br />
climate resilient and disaster safe <strong>in</strong>frastructure has been outl<strong>in</strong>es as follow<strong>in</strong>g<br />
(DEFRA, 2011).<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
Facilitation of adaptive <strong>in</strong>frastructure by the Governments<br />
Climate change adaptation and <strong>in</strong>frastructure resilience <strong>in</strong>tegration to (a)<br />
economic regulatory models and (b) plann<strong>in</strong>g system for nationally<br />
significant <strong>in</strong>frastructure.<br />
To reduce the risk that climate change impacts present to <strong>in</strong>frastructure<br />
<strong>in</strong>terdependencies, <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g the vulnerability of <strong>in</strong>frastructure sectors,<br />
To <strong>in</strong>crease the adaptive capacity <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>frastructure companies and others<br />
(e.g. <strong>in</strong>vestors) to enable robust and cost effective climate change<br />
adaptation decisions,<br />
Access by <strong>in</strong>dustry to specific climate <strong>in</strong>formation and research through<br />
better <strong>in</strong>formation shar<strong>in</strong>g, disclosure of risk and evidence,<br />
Monitor<strong>in</strong>g of progress <strong>in</strong> adapt<strong>in</strong>g national <strong>in</strong>frastructure to climate change,<br />
and<br />
To realise on potential economic opportunities that adapt<strong>in</strong>g national<br />
{14}
<strong>in</strong>frastructure to climate change presents.<br />
However, governments <strong>in</strong> isolation can neither aim nor achieve the complex<br />
and tedious objectives of achiev<strong>in</strong>g disaster safety and climate resilience <strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>in</strong>frastructure. Action by <strong>in</strong>vestors, owners and operators, and the eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g<br />
and construction sectors is essential <strong>in</strong> implement<strong>in</strong>g mitigation of climatic and<br />
disaster risk to <strong>in</strong>frastructure. Potential actions may <strong>in</strong>clude the follow<strong>in</strong>g:<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
Infrastructure owners to consider climate resilience of their exist<strong>in</strong>g<br />
<strong>in</strong>frastructure assets and adjust<strong>in</strong>g ma<strong>in</strong>tenance regimes.<br />
Investors to consider (i) impacts of climate change <strong>in</strong> the design, build<strong>in</strong>g<br />
and operation of all new <strong>in</strong>frastructure assets, and (ii) <strong>in</strong>clude climate<br />
change impacts as part of 'due diligence' as a way of reduc<strong>in</strong>g exposure to<br />
climate risk to new <strong>in</strong>frastructure assets, and<br />
Regulators to treat disaster safety and long-term climate resilience of<br />
<strong>in</strong>frastructures and systems consistently across the different economic<br />
regulatory frameworks, i.e. balanc<strong>in</strong>g risk exposure, structural safety,<br />
redundancy, disaster resilience and long-term susta<strong>in</strong>ability aga<strong>in</strong>st narrow<br />
concerns of efficiency.<br />
In the modern times aim<strong>in</strong>g at efficient and networked <strong>in</strong>frastructure, there are<br />
strong <strong>in</strong>terdependencies with<strong>in</strong> and between different <strong>in</strong>frastructures, for<br />
example, <strong>in</strong> the energy, ICT, transport and water sectors. Each sector depends<br />
on the other sectors' resilience and it is essential that these <strong>in</strong>terdependencies<br />
are both understood and managed to improve the resilience of <strong>in</strong>frastructure.<br />
The critical aspects of water <strong>in</strong>frastructure system resiliency plann<strong>in</strong>g need to<br />
take <strong>in</strong>to account the hazardous conditions by anticipat<strong>in</strong>g the impacts and<br />
subsequently tak<strong>in</strong>g necessary measures to m<strong>in</strong>imize consequences, and also<br />
prevent the disruption of other <strong>in</strong>frastructure systems (e.g., electrical<br />
<strong>in</strong>frastructure) by understand<strong>in</strong>g and deal<strong>in</strong>g with the critical <strong>in</strong>terdependencies.<br />
{15}
3.1 Structural safety <strong>in</strong> design and development<br />
Structural measures may <strong>in</strong>clude, for example, flood control systems, protective<br />
embankments, seawall rehabilitation, and retrofitt<strong>in</strong>g of build<strong>in</strong>gs. Public<br />
<strong>in</strong>frastructure, such as schools, roads, and hospitals, is often built accord<strong>in</strong>g to<br />
standard design templates (ADB, 2013). These can be adjusted to reflect sitespecific<br />
considerations, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g the local hazard environment, to <strong>in</strong>crease their<br />
resilience to disasters. Post-disaster construction can also consider upgrad<strong>in</strong>g<br />
the <strong>in</strong>frastructure rather than merely restor<strong>in</strong>g it to pre-disaster levels<br />
(Independent Evaluation Department, IED, 2006). Follow<strong>in</strong>g are some examples<br />
of structural <strong>in</strong>terventions <strong>in</strong> hous<strong>in</strong>g, roads, energy and water-sanitation sectors<br />
for their resilience aga<strong>in</strong>st risk of extreme event disasters <strong>in</strong> South Asia.<br />
Hous<strong>in</strong>g: Shelters built us<strong>in</strong>g disaster-resistant construction techniques are not<br />
only safer, but they also provide decision-makers with an option for future<br />
construction choices. Temporary shelters built to standards to withstand extreme<br />
events, could later be used as hous<strong>in</strong>g for the poor. In flood-prone areas, rais<strong>in</strong>g<br />
houses above flood levels—by putt<strong>in</strong>g a blend of modern technology and<br />
traditional knowhow at local level can save such structures.<br />
Roads: Measures to reduce the risk to roads of erosion from extreme waves may<br />
<strong>in</strong>clude construct<strong>in</strong>g earth levee banks with rip-rap protection and <strong>in</strong>stall<strong>in</strong>g<br />
larger dra<strong>in</strong>s and additional culverts to accommodate heavier runoff (ADB,<br />
2010).<br />
Energy: Eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g measures to improve resilience may <strong>in</strong>clude more robust<br />
designs, safe temperature and humidity limits for power generation plants and<br />
their components, higher w<strong>in</strong>d and seismic stresses, multiple transmission<br />
routes, and system improvements to improve supply-side efficiency. Retrofitt<strong>in</strong>g<br />
high-risk power <strong>in</strong>frastructure for protect<strong>in</strong>g aga<strong>in</strong>st storms, flood<strong>in</strong>g, and<br />
<strong>in</strong>creased temperature and sal<strong>in</strong>ity may be undertaken (ADB 2012).<br />
Water Supply and Sanitation: Access to hygienic water and sanitation facilities is<br />
vital for communities to cope with disasters. Provid<strong>in</strong>g elevated tube-wells and<br />
flood-proof latr<strong>in</strong>es has ensured year-round safe water and hygienic sanitation <strong>in</strong><br />
the flood-prone (Department for International Development, 2010). Where<br />
impound<strong>in</strong>g reservoirs exist, <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g the size of the impound<strong>in</strong>g reservoir or<br />
relocat<strong>in</strong>g the water <strong>in</strong>take po<strong>in</strong>t further upstream may be measures to boost the<br />
resilience of the water-supply system (ADB 2011).<br />
The challenge is to build new ones and rebuild stronger by retrofitt<strong>in</strong>g exist<strong>in</strong>g<br />
structures to better withstand natural hazards. Moreover, facilities that are<br />
essential for an effective disaster response need to be connected with failsafe<br />
networks. Hospitals, for example, must be sited and built for disaster-resilience,<br />
assured of un<strong>in</strong>terrupted power supply, have a network of secure access routes,<br />
and safe water and sanitation.<br />
For enabl<strong>in</strong>g an environment of structural safety, appropriate build<strong>in</strong>g and design<br />
codes, material safety guides and relevant technological knowhow are crucial.<br />
Industrial <strong>in</strong>frastructure resilience to climate change and safety aga<strong>in</strong>st extreme<br />
disasters need to beg<strong>in</strong> with multilayer assessment of risk composed with those<br />
of technological failures, human or operational errors, safety system reliability<br />
{15}
and the <strong>in</strong>terface with natural hazard risks.<br />
However, it is equally important to apply structural and eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g means to<br />
prevent or control hazard events from becom<strong>in</strong>g a disaster, for example, dams,<br />
embankments or levees to prevent to reduce flood<strong>in</strong>g downstream. Coastal sea<br />
walls and dykes are coastal protection examples. Other types of structural<br />
<strong>in</strong>terventions will <strong>in</strong>clude eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g and construction measures of stabiliz<strong>in</strong>g<br />
vulnerable land and slopes, riverbanks, and protect<strong>in</strong>g ecosystems and services<br />
of reduc<strong>in</strong>g disaster risks.<br />
3.2 Non-structural measures of <strong>in</strong>frastructure safety and resilience<br />
Investments <strong>in</strong> resilience will be far-reach<strong>in</strong>g if they are <strong>in</strong>tegrated <strong>in</strong>to<br />
development through policies, strategies, plans, and ground level<br />
implementation programs. Although certa<strong>in</strong> recurrent disasters are foreseeable<br />
for many countries, their risks are not always considered <strong>in</strong> mak<strong>in</strong>g operational<br />
strategies and action programs. <strong>Disaster</strong> risk assessment and hazard mapp<strong>in</strong>g<br />
provide an <strong>in</strong>itial step to <strong>in</strong>form<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>vestment decisions. Risk reduction, <strong>in</strong><br />
addition, must have a central role <strong>in</strong> the susta<strong>in</strong>able development strategy of<br />
disaster-prone countries (IEG, 2011). Invest<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> natural solutions to protect<br />
<strong>in</strong>frastructure has a large potential (EC, 2013). The location of an <strong>in</strong>frastructure,<br />
together with the adaptive capacity of local bus<strong>in</strong>esses, governments and<br />
communities, usually determ<strong>in</strong>es an asset's climate sensitivity and vulnerability<br />
(EC, 2013). Some key aspects of non-structural measures are follow<strong>in</strong>g:<br />
Enabl<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>stitutional frameworks and susta<strong>in</strong>ed commitment: Institutional<br />
frameworks - policy, legal, and regulatory and susta<strong>in</strong>ed commitment are<br />
essential to ensure direction, coord<strong>in</strong>ation, and accountability <strong>in</strong> resilience<br />
efforts, and must translate <strong>in</strong>to actual resource allocations. Governments <strong>in</strong> the<br />
region have revised disaster management related policies and adopted<br />
<strong>in</strong>stitutional and legal framework for disaster risk management. Effective action<br />
requires strong partnerships among governments, development partners, the<br />
private sector, civil society, and local communities. Demands for greater<br />
resilience are re<strong>in</strong>forced when coalitions of academic <strong>in</strong>stitutions, scientific<br />
bodies, the media, and advocacy organizations push strongly for it. The<br />
<strong>Environment</strong>al Impact Assessment (EIA) and the Strategic <strong>Environment</strong>al<br />
Assessment (SEA) can be appropriate <strong>in</strong>struments to ma<strong>in</strong>stream adaptation,<br />
help<strong>in</strong>g to improve the climate resilience of <strong>in</strong>frastructure.<br />
Ecosystem-based disaster risk management complements eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g<br />
measures: Healthy ecosystems provide natural barriers and buffers aga<strong>in</strong>st<br />
many hazards. Mangroves, for example, dissipate the energy and size of waves<br />
dur<strong>in</strong>g storms, reduc<strong>in</strong>g loss of life and property. It has been past experience with<br />
cyclone disasters that mangrove-buffered areas rema<strong>in</strong>ed relatively unharmed,<br />
while the <strong>in</strong>vestment to rehabilitate and protect mangroves has saved big<br />
expenses <strong>in</strong> sea-dyke ma<strong>in</strong>tenance (Reid, 2011). Re-vegetation and<br />
reforestation of unstable slopes has helped reduce soil erosion and contributed<br />
to road stability (ADB, 2010). Wetland restoration program are known to<br />
{16}
econnect lakes to the river and rehabilitated wetlands to store floodwaters,<br />
boost<strong>in</strong>g flood prevention (UNISDR, 2012).<br />
Ma<strong>in</strong>tenance: Governments <strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g countries tend to borrow to rebuild<br />
but, quite often, make <strong>in</strong>adequate provision for ma<strong>in</strong>tenance, which is essential<br />
for long-term susta<strong>in</strong>ability. Budget constra<strong>in</strong>ts and a lack of “ma<strong>in</strong>tenance<br />
culture” with<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>stitutions partly expla<strong>in</strong> this (IED, 1997). The adequate<br />
ma<strong>in</strong>tenance and sound asset management to reduce risks from subsequent<br />
disasters should complement facility restoration (IED, 1996). Levels of past<br />
ma<strong>in</strong>tenance, the state of repair of facilities, and vulnerability to disasters are all<br />
l<strong>in</strong>ked (IED, 2007). Adequate ma<strong>in</strong>tenance is also crucial for schools and other<br />
community facilities that double as evacuation centers dur<strong>in</strong>g disasters.<br />
Ma<strong>in</strong>tenance fund<strong>in</strong>g for <strong>in</strong>frastructure could be <strong>in</strong>creased by rais<strong>in</strong>g budget<br />
appropriations for this purpose, by sett<strong>in</strong>g aside a portion of development partner<br />
support for subsequent ma<strong>in</strong>tenance purposes or, where appropriate, by<br />
draw<strong>in</strong>g on user fees, tariffs, and other mechanisms (ADB, 2013).<br />
F<strong>in</strong>ancial measures of resilience and safety: F<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g the adaptation of<br />
exist<strong>in</strong>g and the climate-resilient construction of new <strong>in</strong>frastructure is a major<br />
challenge. The <strong>in</strong>frastructure <strong>in</strong>vestment gap can be bridged by <strong>in</strong>tegrat<strong>in</strong>g the<br />
efforts of both the public and the private sector, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>stitutional <strong>in</strong>vestors.<br />
Public-private partnership structures (PPP) are emerg<strong>in</strong>g as popular models for<br />
fund<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>frastructure <strong>in</strong>vestment. Companies are <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly expected to<br />
ensure the resilience of physical assets, and for plann<strong>in</strong>g the responses to<br />
ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> bus<strong>in</strong>ess as usual. Insurance plays a central role <strong>in</strong> handl<strong>in</strong>g climate<br />
risks related to <strong>in</strong>frastructure and physical assets. Countries <strong>in</strong> South Asia,<br />
however, have generally lagged beh<strong>in</strong>d other regions <strong>in</strong> disaster risk f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g<br />
and <strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g regulatory support to enable stable and solvent risk transfer<br />
markets to serve governments, bus<strong>in</strong>esses, and homeowners.<br />
Regional and International Cooperation: Many of the weather related<br />
disasters, for example, floods <strong>in</strong> Nepal, <strong>India</strong>, Pakistan or Bangladesh, have<br />
trans-boundary implications as such episodes <strong>in</strong> the past <strong>in</strong>volved more than one<br />
country <strong>in</strong> terms of extent of effect or causes, mitigation or preparedness.<br />
Lessons learned and case studies of successful <strong>in</strong>terventions and/or failures can<br />
serve as examples for other countries of the region due to shar<strong>in</strong>g common<br />
geography, ecological and atmospheric sett<strong>in</strong>gs besides shar<strong>in</strong>g common<br />
regional economy. In order to improve risk communication and vulnerability<br />
assessment of <strong>in</strong>frastructure and other assets to various disasters, shar<strong>in</strong>g of<br />
knowledge and <strong>in</strong>formation <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g expertise <strong>in</strong> the countries is a basic need of<br />
cooperation <strong>in</strong> area of disaster management and susta<strong>in</strong>able development.<br />
International cooperation with <strong>in</strong>ter-governmental, multi-lateral and bilateral<br />
agencies, can work with national <strong>in</strong>stitutions to help improve hazard-risk<br />
vulnerability assessment at regional level, besides evolv<strong>in</strong>g cooperation not only<br />
<strong>in</strong> response and relief but more <strong>in</strong>tensely and effectively <strong>in</strong> risk reduction and<br />
<strong>in</strong>stall<strong>in</strong>g safety aga<strong>in</strong>st disaster risks of extreme weather events. A regional<br />
catastrophe risk <strong>in</strong>surance facility can provide short-term liquidity to<br />
governments to better respond to emergency needs aris<strong>in</strong>g from extreme event<br />
{17}
4.EPILOGUE<br />
Mak<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>frastructure resilient calls for eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g and non-eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g<br />
measures that take <strong>in</strong>to account the l<strong>in</strong>ks between built and natural environments<br />
and among <strong>in</strong>stitutional frameworks. Careful consideration of development<br />
goals, prevail<strong>in</strong>g situations, resources, and opportunities is needed to push the<br />
resilience agenda forward. Given the multifaceted dimensions of resilience,<br />
coord<strong>in</strong>ated action from various sectors and stakeholders is imperative for<br />
achiev<strong>in</strong>g a safer future. Over the past 40 years, the total <strong>in</strong>frastructure spend<strong>in</strong>g<br />
<strong>in</strong> South Asia region has <strong>in</strong>creased exponentially, with gross fixed capital<br />
formation be<strong>in</strong>g approximately 50 times greater <strong>in</strong> 2010 than it was <strong>in</strong> 1970 (The<br />
World Bank, 2012). South Asia is a region where most countries have already<br />
spelt out their adaptation needs and their capacity to absorb technology to<br />
support these, besides <strong>in</strong>stall<strong>in</strong>g a legal and <strong>in</strong>stitutional setup for disaster<br />
management and risk reduction.<br />
Many countries <strong>in</strong> the region are also tak<strong>in</strong>g a serious view of reduc<strong>in</strong>g disaster<br />
risk and some countries <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g Bangladesh, <strong>India</strong> and the Maldives have<br />
assigned the subject to important frontl<strong>in</strong>e m<strong>in</strong>istries. Countries, for example<br />
<strong>India</strong>, have recently worked out a disaster mitigation fund, besides the national<br />
and state level disaster response funds. Careful consideration of development<br />
goals, prevail<strong>in</strong>g situations, resources, and opportunities is needed to push the<br />
resilience agenda forward. Given the multifaceted dimensions of resilience,<br />
coord<strong>in</strong>ated action from various sectors and stakeholders is imperative for<br />
achiev<strong>in</strong>g a safer future (ADB, 2013).<br />
Infrastructure safety has to be envisaged by triple protection, i.e., (i) reduc<strong>in</strong>g the<br />
risk of hazard events, (ii) reduc<strong>in</strong>g susceptibility of physical <strong>in</strong>frastructure, and (iii)<br />
avoid<strong>in</strong>g risk of damage by <strong>in</strong>herent safety <strong>in</strong> design, material and process with<br />
system's resilience, under the overall framework of <strong>in</strong>ter-dependencies. Thus,<br />
limit<strong>in</strong>g exposure and risk by effective land-use will also consider landscape<br />
ecology, structural measures of mitigation, safety systems and adequate<br />
implementation of suitable regulations, codes or guidel<strong>in</strong>es, audit<strong>in</strong>g, and<br />
enhanced capacity build<strong>in</strong>g to enable necessary and timely actions. Climate<br />
knowledge and awareness builds fundamental to stakeholder's and <strong>in</strong>vestor's<br />
will<strong>in</strong>gness to participate <strong>in</strong> the process, and therefore, cooperation with<br />
<strong>in</strong>ternational, national and local actors, agencies would be critically important.<br />
{18}
4.Rererences<br />
1. Andres. L., D. Biller and M.H. Dappe (2013). Reduc<strong>in</strong>g Poverty by Clos<strong>in</strong>g<br />
South Asia's Infrastructure Gap. The World Bank and Australian Aid.<br />
2. Asian Development Bank (2010). Climate-Proof<strong>in</strong>g Timor-Leste's Roads.<br />
The Knowledge Showcases. Manila: ADB.<br />
3. Asian Development Bank (2011). Adapt<strong>in</strong>g to Climate Change: Strengthen<strong>in</strong>g<br />
the Climate Resilience of the Water Sector Infrastructure <strong>in</strong> Khulna,<br />
Bangladesh. ADB, Manila.<br />
4. Asian Development Bank (2012). Climate Risk and Adaptation <strong>in</strong> the Power<br />
Sector. ADB, Manila.<br />
5. Asian Development Bank (2013). Invest<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> Resilience: Ensur<strong>in</strong>g a <strong>Disaster</strong>-<br />
Resistant Future. Manila: ADB.<br />
6. Chang, S. (2009). Infrastructure Resilience to <strong>Disaster</strong>s. The Bridge. Volume<br />
39 (4).<br />
7. CRED (2012). <strong>Disaster</strong> Database. Centre for Research on Epidemiology of<br />
<strong>Disaster</strong>s, Brussels, Belgium.<br />
8. Department for International Development (United K<strong>in</strong>gdom) and Practical<br />
Action Bangladesh (2010). Elements of <strong>Disaster</strong> Resilience – Lessons<br />
from Bangladesh. Dhaka.<br />
9. Department of Food and Rural Affairs (2011). Climate Resilient Infrastructure:<br />
Prepar<strong>in</strong>g for a Chang<strong>in</strong>g Climate. Cm 8065, ID: 2426381- 05/11.<br />
www.defra.gov.uk/environment/climate/sectors/<strong>in</strong>frastructure-companies<br />
/Government of United K<strong>in</strong>gdom.<br />
10. European Commission (2013). Adapt<strong>in</strong>g Infrastructure to Climate Change.<br />
Commission Staff Work<strong>in</strong>g Document. SWD 137 F<strong>in</strong>al, EU Strategy on<br />
Adaptation to Climate Change. 16.4.2013 Brussels, Communication from<br />
Commission to European Parliament, The Council, The Economic and<br />
Social Committee, and the Committee of the Regions.<br />
11. Independent Evaluation Department (1996). Project Performance Audit Report<br />
on the Flood Damage Restoration Project <strong>in</strong> Pakistan. ADB, Manila.<br />
12. Independent Evaluation Department (2007). Project Performance Evaluation<br />
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