1.1 MB pdf - Bolsa Chica Lowlands Restoration Project
1.1 MB pdf - Bolsa Chica Lowlands Restoration Project 1.1 MB pdf - Bolsa Chica Lowlands Restoration Project
SECTION 4 Risk Characterization The Risk Characterization is the final step in the ERA process whereby evidence linking COPECs to potential adverse ecological effects in the Lowlands is evaluated using both quantitative and qualitative methods. This evaluation is completed through the integration of information gathered in the Problem formulation with the results of the Analysis – the Exposure Characterization and the Ecological Effects Characterization – to establish a “weight-of-evidence” for potential risk. For this ERA, the evidence evaluated consisted of measured chemical concentrations in abiotic and biotic media, exposure estimates for birds and mammals, results of site-specific toxicity bioassays and bioaccumulation studies for aquatic organisms, and toxicity information obtained from the literature. In addition, the proposed restoration plan for the different evaluation areas in the Lowlands was considered in the overall assessment of risk potential to ecological receptors. The characterization of risk is accomplished through three interrelated steps: risk estimation, risk description, and uncertainty analysis. The final product is a listing of COECs for the Lowlands that will be recommended for further evaluation or remedial action. The identification of COECs through the Risk Characterization process is presented in Figure 4-1. All COPECs that exceeded any available RTV as well as chemicals that showed significant bioaccumulation in Nereis clam worms were retained as COECs. The overall risk posed by a COEC in a given medium and evaluation area was determined based on the types of RTVs that were exceeded (i.e., no-effect levels vs. low-effect levels and chronic effect levels vs. acute effect levels). The overall risk categories were defined as follows: • Unknown – RTVs were not available, so risk could not be quantified. • None – Exposure does not exceed any of the available RTVs. • Uncertain – Exposure exceeds a no-effect level, but risk could not be fully quantified because a low-effect level was not available (Category U). • Some Possible Risk – Exposure exceeds a no-effect level, but not a chronic low-effect level (Category C). • Possible Risk – Exposure exceeds a chronic low-effect level, but not an acute effect level (Category B). • Probable Risk – Exposure represents the highest level that could be quantified. Exposure exceeds an acute effect level or showed significant bioaccumulation in Nereis clam worms (Category A). 4.1 Risk Estimation The risk estimation focuses primarily on quantitative methods to evaluate the potential for risk. For this ERA, these included numerical estimates of risk, or hazard quotients (HQs), and evaluation of site-specific toxicity bioassays and bioaccumulation studies. SAC/143368(004.DOC) 4-1 ERA REPORT 7/31/02
SECTION 4: RISK CHARACTERIZATION Hazard quotients were developed for two types of comparisons using the indicated equation: 1. Direct comparisons of measured concentrations to media-based effect concentrations (RTVs) of COPECs in abiotic media. These comparisons were conducted for terrestrial plants and invertebrates, aquatic plants and benthic macroinvertebrates, and fish. ⎛ Exposure concentration ( mg / kg or mg / L) HQ = ⎜ ⎝ RTV ( mg / kg or mg / L) ⎞ ⎟ ⎠ 2. Comparisons of estimated exposure dosages via the food chain uptake model to effects dosages (RTVs). These comparisons were conducted for birds and mammals. ⎛ Exposure dosage ( mg / kgbw / d) HQ = ⎜ ⎝ scaled RTVw ( mg / kgbw / d) ⎞ ⎟ ⎠ The species scaled RTV (or RTV w ) was developed using allometric body weight scaling methods presented in Sample, et al. (1996) and Sample and Arenal (1999). The scaling factors applied were of 1.2 and 0.94 for birds and mammals, respectively (Sample and Arenal, 1999): where: RTV w ⎛ BWt ⎞ = RTVt ⎜ BW ⎟ ⎝ w ⎠ RTV t = the RTV for a test species (Tables 3-27 and 3-28) BW t and BW w = the body weights (in kg) for the test and wildlife species, respectively, and b = the class-specific allometric scaling factor. As depicted in Figure 4-1, the exposure point concentration for each COPEC was compared to chronic no-effect levels, chronic low-effect levels, and acute-effect levels (where available) as RTVs for all effects levels were not identified for all receptor groups. Typically, if chronic no-effect or low-effect levels were available, then acute-effect levels were not identified. One exception was the values obtained from the California Water Quality Standards (U.S. EPA, 2000), in which both acute and chronic low-effect levels were reported. In general, RTVs for terrestrial receptors were limited to chronic no-effect and low-effect levels. RTVs for aquatic receptors included both chronic and acute effect levels. As described in Section 3.1.4.2, the exposure point concentrations selected for each receptor group were either the maximum detected value or the 95 th UCL. For some chemicals, the maximum detected value was less than ½ the maximum non-detect value and the risks were calculated using the ½ non-detect value (these are flagged with an asterix in the risk tables 4-1 through 4-4). The risk estimates for each receptor group are presented in the following subsections for each evaluation area in the Lowlands. As noted earlier (Section 1), the evaluation areas were identified based on Cells that either currently have or will have similar habitats after the proposed restoration is completed. These evaluation areas were presented previously, but are listed below for reference: 1−b ERA REPORT 4-2 SAC/143368(004.DOC) 7/31/02
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SECTION 4: RISK CHARACTERIZATION<br />
Hazard quotients were developed for two types of comparisons using the indicated equation:<br />
1. Direct comparisons of measured concentrations to media-based effect concentrations<br />
(RTVs) of COPECs in abiotic media. These comparisons were conducted for terrestrial<br />
plants and invertebrates, aquatic plants and benthic macroinvertebrates, and fish.<br />
⎛ Exposure concentration ( mg / kg or mg / L)<br />
HQ =<br />
⎜<br />
⎝ RTV ( mg / kg or mg / L)<br />
⎞<br />
⎟<br />
⎠<br />
2. Comparisons of estimated exposure dosages via the food chain uptake model to effects<br />
dosages (RTVs). These comparisons were conducted for birds and mammals.<br />
⎛ Exposure dosage ( mg / kgbw / d)<br />
HQ =<br />
⎜<br />
⎝ scaled RTVw ( mg / kgbw / d)<br />
⎞<br />
⎟<br />
⎠<br />
The species scaled RTV (or RTV w ) was developed using allometric body weight scaling<br />
methods presented in Sample, et al. (1996) and Sample and Arenal (1999). The scaling<br />
factors applied were of 1.2 and 0.94 for birds and mammals, respectively (Sample and<br />
Arenal, 1999):<br />
where:<br />
RTV<br />
w<br />
⎛ BWt<br />
⎞<br />
= RTVt<br />
⎜<br />
BW<br />
⎟<br />
⎝ w ⎠<br />
RTV t = the RTV for a test species (Tables 3-27 and 3-28)<br />
BW t and BW w = the body weights (in kg) for the test and wildlife species,<br />
respectively, and<br />
b = the class-specific allometric scaling factor.<br />
As depicted in Figure 4-1, the exposure point concentration for each COPEC was compared<br />
to chronic no-effect levels, chronic low-effect levels, and acute-effect levels (where available)<br />
as RTVs for all effects levels were not identified for all receptor groups. Typically, if chronic<br />
no-effect or low-effect levels were available, then acute-effect levels were not identified. One<br />
exception was the values obtained from the California Water Quality Standards (U.S. EPA,<br />
2000), in which both acute and chronic low-effect levels were reported. In general, RTVs for<br />
terrestrial receptors were limited to chronic no-effect and low-effect levels. RTVs for aquatic<br />
receptors included both chronic and acute effect levels. As described in Section 3.1.4.2, the<br />
exposure point concentrations selected for each receptor group were either the maximum<br />
detected value or the 95 th UCL. For some chemicals, the maximum detected value was less<br />
than ½ the maximum non-detect value and the risks were calculated using the ½ non-detect<br />
value (these are flagged with an asterix in the risk tables 4-1 through 4-4). The risk estimates<br />
for each receptor group are presented in the following subsections for each evaluation area<br />
in the <strong>Lowlands</strong>. As noted earlier (Section 1), the evaluation areas were identified based on<br />
Cells that either currently have or will have similar habitats after the proposed restoration is<br />
completed. These evaluation areas were presented previously, but are listed below for<br />
reference:<br />
1−b<br />
ERA REPORT 4-2 SAC/143368(004.DOC)<br />
7/31/02