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Zmena klímy – možný dopad (nielen) na obyvateľstvo - Prohuman

Zmena klímy – možný dopad (nielen) na obyvateľstvo - Prohuman

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ods). In the other seasons general increase of precipitation totals is expected. This<br />

increase is more pronounced in the northern half of Central Europe and in the<br />

mountains. Winter precipitation increase can exceed in the northern Slovakian<br />

mountains also 30% compared to previous normal periods (1951–1990).<br />

Figure 6. Seaso<strong>na</strong>l precipitation<br />

totals (R) at the Hurbanovo<br />

Observatory (115 m a.s.l., SW<br />

Slovakia) in summer (solid line)<br />

and in winter (dashed line) in<br />

1901–2012 (by SHMI data).<br />

Snow cover depth and snow cover occurrence depend on air temperature and<br />

precipitation regime even more significantly than in case of air humidity and evapotranspiration.<br />

Mainly the regions with mean daily temperatures about 0°C during<br />

the winter months are the most vulnerable. Such winter temperature regime concerns<br />

the most of Slovak and Central European regions. It seems that the increase<br />

in winter temperature by 1°C results in about 10% winter precipitation totals rise<br />

and in 200 to 300 m snow line shift to higher elevation in the mountains. That is<br />

why some decrease in snow cover days and sums of daily snow cover depths was<br />

registered in altitudes below 800 m and some rise in altitudes above 1200 m in the<br />

last two decades. It is supposed that such development will continue also in the<br />

next decades, if increase in winter temperature and precipitation totals will remain.<br />

Figure 7. Seaso<strong>na</strong>l precipitation<br />

totals (R) at the Hurbanovo<br />

Observatory (115 m a.s.l., SW<br />

Slovakia) in spring (solid line)<br />

and in autumn (dashed line,<br />

prelimi<strong>na</strong>ry in 2012) in 1901–2012<br />

(by SHMI data).<br />

95

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