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Strategic Plan - FCC

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Context and Sector Performance<br />

This <strong>Plan</strong> has been prepared considering a restrictive economic scenario, conditioned by a<br />

slow economic recovery and credit scarcity<br />

Slow economic recovery in the EU, especially<br />

in Spain<br />

Environment marked by lack of funding and<br />

restricted access to capital markets<br />

• Moderate recovery of economic activity in the European<br />

Union ...<br />

• European banking sector is currently cleaning up balance<br />

sheets, which causes more credit restrictions and<br />

increases funding spreads<br />

1.5%<br />

0.7%<br />

0.1%<br />

GDP Growth (%)<br />

0.2%<br />

1.3%<br />

0.5%<br />

1.5%<br />

1.1%<br />

• Public deficit target in Spain, implying a risk premium ><br />

300 bps<br />

Spain's Public Deficit<br />

2011 2012 2013e 2014e 2015e<br />

8.5%<br />

-1.7%<br />

-1.5%<br />

EU<br />

Spain<br />

6.7%<br />

5.7%<br />

4.6%<br />

3.9%<br />

• ... With some delay in Spain, where growth below 1.5% is<br />

expected<br />

2011 2012 2013e 2014e 2015e<br />

Sources: Bloomberg Consensus, IMF and <strong>FCC</strong> estimates<br />

4

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