sustainable development 20 years on from the ... - José Eli da Veiga

sustainable development 20 years on from the ... - José Eli da Veiga sustainable development 20 years on from the ... - José Eli da Veiga

25.04.2015 Views

117 A major factor underlying this trend is that investment decisions are based on traditional economic criteria that do not take into account the importance of protecting biodiversity. In addition, short-term benefits of economic activities that damage biodiversity are reaped by specific agents —often private ones— whereas the benefits of protection are less concrete and only materialize in the long term. The absence of effective mechanisms enabling civil society to participate in decision-making and the dissemination of information on the benefits of protecting biodiversity (and the costs of degradation) perpetuates the bias towards activities that yield short-term private profits to the detriment of the environment. This issue is addressed further in chapter III. With regard to biodiversity, the economic valuation of ecosystem services —which is not necessarily associated with payment systems— can be useful for translating the loss of benefits arising from the loss of ecosystems into a material language and can complement decision-making (TEEB, ong>20ong>10). Higher temperatures in some marine areas, rising sea levels and the greater frequency and intensity of weather phenomena as a result of climate change, also pose a threat to the region’s biodiversity. In its fourth assessment report, published in ong>20ong>07, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change predicts significant losses of biodiversity (IPCC, ong>20ong>07). In addition, the ecosystems that serve to support biodiversity provide other ecosystem services that are essential to mitigation (such as carbon absorption) or adaptation (such as protecting water sources or resilience to extreme weather events). Box II.4 illustrates the impact of climate change on Central America’s biodiversity. Latin American and Caribbean countries have played an active part in international conventions and protocols on biodiversity and protected species, from the Ramsar Convention in 1971 to the Nagoya Protocol in ong>20ong>10 (see box II.5). Since 1992, significant progress has been made in the establishment of conservation areas, the use of best practices in agriculture, ong>sustainableong> forest management, the ong>developmentong> of ong>sustainableong> fisheries and the implementation of payment schemes for environmental services. As regards the establishment of conservation areas, between 1990 and ong>20ong>10 the number of officially protected marine and terrestrial areas in Latin America and the Caribbean more than doubled, surpassing the global average, including the averages in developing and developed countries (see figure II.11). There are a total of 4 million square kilometres (km 2 ) of protected areas in the region, representing ong>20ong>% of the world total (ECLAC, ong>20ong>10a) (see map II.3). In many instances, the ong>sustainableong> forest management of protected areas has been combined with other techniques, such as reforestation and community forest management, payment for environmental services, land management, certification and ong>sustainableong>, community or certified forest management (UNEP, ong>20ong>10a). The fact that protected areas are extensive does not necessarily mean that all ecosystems are adequately represented within those areas (Armenteras, Gast and Villareal, ong>20ong>03; Urquiza, ong>20ong>09). For protected areas to serve as an effective mechanism for biodiversity conservation, they must be representative of biomes and ecosystems, interconnected and endowed with sufficient human, financial and technological resources to enforce restrictions on activities.

118 Box II.4 CENTRAL AMERICA: BIODIVERSITY REDUCTION SCENARIOS WITH AND WITHOUT CLIMATE CHANGE Central America contains 7% of the world’s biodiversity and great geological, geographical, climatic and biotic diversity. A recent study (ECLAC, ong>20ong>10b) estimated biodiversity by means of the biodiversity potential index (BPI), which includes species and ecosystems and makes inferences about the probability of finding greater diversity based on a set of variables that contribute to biodiversity. Under a trend scenario of land-use change (without climate change), the BPI will fall by approximately 13% during the course of this century, especially in the period up to ong>20ong>50. With climate change, under the lowest-trajectory scenario for GHG emissions (IPCC scenario B2) and the trend scenario (IPCC scenario A2), the BPI is estimated to fall by 33% and 58% respectively by the year 2100. The countries with the worst BPI outcomes are Guatemala, Nicaragua, El Salvador and Honduras, with expected declines of between 75% and 70% under the trend scenario for GHG emissions (scenario A2). CENTRAL AMERICA: BIODIVERSITY POTENTIAL INDEX IN ong>20ong>05 AND EVOLUTION BY 2100 UNDER THE BASELINE SCENARIO (WITHOUT CLIMATE CHANGE) AND THE B2 AND A2 CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS (On a five-level scale, with black representing the highest biodiversity potential index) ong>20ong>05 Baseline scenario, 2100 Scenario B2, 2100 Scenario A2, 2100 Biodiversity potential index Source: Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC), The Economics of Climate Change in Central America. Summary ong>20ong>10 (LC/MEX/L.978), Mexico City, ECLAC subregional headquarters in Mexico. Note: 0.000-0.ong>20ong>0 0.ong>20ong>1-0.400 0.401-0.600 0.601-0.800 0.801-1.000 Territorial divisions correspond to departments, provinces or districts depending on the country. The boundaries and names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.

118<br />

Box II.4<br />

CENTRAL AMERICA: BIODIVERSITY REDUCTION SCENARIOS WITH<br />

AND WITHOUT CLIMATE CHANGE<br />

Central America c<strong>on</strong>tains 7% of <strong>the</strong> world’s biodiversity and great geological, geographical, climatic and biotic<br />

diversity. A recent study (ECLAC, <str<strong>on</strong>g>20</str<strong>on</strong>g>10b) estimated biodiversity by means of <strong>the</strong> biodiversity potential index (BPI),<br />

which includes species and ecosystems and makes inferences about <strong>the</strong> probability of finding greater diversity based<br />

<strong>on</strong> a set of variables that c<strong>on</strong>tribute to biodiversity. Under a trend scenario of land-use change (without climate<br />

change), <strong>the</strong> BPI will fall by approximately 13% during <strong>the</strong> course of this century, especially in <strong>the</strong> period up to<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>20</str<strong>on</strong>g>50. With climate change, under <strong>the</strong> lowest-trajectory scenario for GHG emissi<strong>on</strong>s (IPCC scenario B2) and <strong>the</strong><br />

trend scenario (IPCC scenario A2), <strong>the</strong> BPI is estimated to fall by 33% and 58% respectively by <strong>the</strong> year 2100. The<br />

countries with <strong>the</strong> worst BPI outcomes are Guatemala, Nicaragua, El Salvador and H<strong>on</strong>duras, with expected<br />

declines of between 75% and 70% under <strong>the</strong> trend scenario for GHG emissi<strong>on</strong>s (scenario A2).<br />

CENTRAL AMERICA: BIODIVERSITY POTENTIAL INDEX IN <str<strong>on</strong>g>20</str<strong>on</strong>g>05 AND EVOLUTION BY 2100<br />

UNDER THE BASELINE SCENARIO (WITHOUT CLIMATE CHANGE)<br />

AND THE B2 AND A2 CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS<br />

(On a five-level scale, with black representing <strong>the</strong> highest biodiversity potential index)<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>20</str<strong>on</strong>g>05<br />

Baseline scenario, 2100<br />

Scenario B2, 2100<br />

Scenario A2, 2100<br />

Biodiversity potential index<br />

Source: Ec<strong>on</strong>omic Commissi<strong>on</strong> for Latin America and <strong>the</strong> Caribbean (ECLAC), The Ec<strong>on</strong>omics of Climate Change in Central<br />

America. Summary <str<strong>on</strong>g>20</str<strong>on</strong>g>10 (LC/MEX/L.978), Mexico City, ECLAC subregi<strong>on</strong>al headquarters in Mexico.<br />

Note:<br />

0.000-0.<str<strong>on</strong>g>20</str<strong>on</strong>g>0 0.<str<strong>on</strong>g>20</str<strong>on</strong>g>1-0.400 0.401-0.600 0.601-0.800 0.801-1.000<br />

Territorial divisi<strong>on</strong>s corresp<strong>on</strong>d to departments, provinces or districts depending <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> country. The boun<strong>da</strong>ries and<br />

names shown <strong>on</strong> this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by <strong>the</strong> United Nati<strong>on</strong>s.

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