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Under the Euro Medium Term Note Programme ... - Finance - EDF

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Risk Factors<br />

Increased competition and a decrease in <strong>the</strong> principal mineral deposits associated with more<br />

stringent regulatory requirements have slowed <strong>the</strong> rate at which ESCs are produced and<br />

made <strong>the</strong>m more expensive. This trend has been accentuated by <strong>the</strong> economic crisis, which<br />

has reduced households’ investment capacity and hurt <strong>the</strong> construction sector.<br />

Against this background, <strong>the</strong> proposal Energy Efficiency Directive adopted in June 2011 and<br />

<strong>the</strong> French political decisions that may be taken as a result <strong>the</strong>reof if <strong>the</strong> measure is<br />

extended for a third period after 2014 may lead to considerably more stringent obligations.<br />

These provisions could significantly increase <strong>EDF</strong>’s sales costs and require a considerable<br />

increase in regulated sale rates, because such rates are set by <strong>the</strong> public authorities.<br />

Therefore <strong>EDF</strong> cannot guarantee that increased sales costs will be completely reflected in<br />

<strong>the</strong> rates.<br />

The expansion of an integrated <strong>Euro</strong>pean electricity market may be slowed by a lack<br />

of cross-border transmission system interconnections<br />

The development of an integrated <strong>Euro</strong>pean electricity market is inhibited by a lack of crossborder<br />

interconnections. This situation limits exchange capacity between operators in<br />

different countries, in particular <strong>the</strong> capacity to rapidly adapt supply to demand (“blackout<br />

risk”), and allows price differences in different countries to persist, which would be<br />

significantly reduced in an efficient integrated <strong>Euro</strong>pean market. It also impedes <strong>the</strong><br />

emergence of efficient operators with a <strong>Euro</strong>pean scope as it limits <strong>the</strong> possibilities for<br />

synergies between companies within a same group located on different sides of a border.<br />

Although <strong>the</strong>re are currently several projects to develop interconnections (investments are<br />

determined by transmission network managers independently from producers), <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

construction has none<strong>the</strong>less been slowed down, mainly by environmental, regulatory and<br />

local acceptability considerations.<br />

Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong> lack of adequate interconnections between countries where <strong>the</strong> <strong>EDF</strong> Group<br />

is based or <strong>the</strong> failure to develop such interconnections at an adequate pace may limit <strong>the</strong><br />

industrial synergies that <strong>the</strong> <strong>EDF</strong> Group strives to achieve between its various entities or may<br />

cause network interruptions in countries in which <strong>the</strong> <strong>EDF</strong> Group is established, which could<br />

have a negative impact on its results, business and outlook.<br />

Repeated or widespread blackouts in France or in an area served by a subsidiary of<br />

<strong>EDF</strong>, particularly if <strong>the</strong>y are attributable to <strong>the</strong> Group, may have consequences for <strong>the</strong><br />

Group’s activities, results and image<br />

The <strong>EDF</strong> Group may be <strong>the</strong> source of repeated or widespread blackouts or be blamed for<br />

one, even if <strong>the</strong> causal event occurred in ano<strong>the</strong>r network or was attributable to ano<strong>the</strong>r<br />

operator.<br />

The causes of blackouts vary: local or regional imbalances between electricity generation<br />

and consumption, accidental interruptions to <strong>the</strong> power supply, cascading power failures<br />

(more difficult to stop in a market with cross-border exchanges), interconnection problems at<br />

borders and difficulty in coordinating operators in a liberalised market.<br />

The initial impact of such power failures would be repair costs incurred to re-establish power<br />

or restore <strong>the</strong> network. Power failures may also generate capital expenditures if it were<br />

decided, for example, to install additional generation or network capacity. This could also<br />

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