Annual Report 2010 03 August 2011 - Banka Qendrore e ...
Annual Report 2010 03 August 2011 - Banka Qendrore e ... Annual Report 2010 03 August 2011 - Banka Qendrore e ...
Annual Report 2010 CBK 50 | countries. The inflation rate in Kosovo was by around 4.8 pp higher than in the CEFTA and EU countries, leading to an appreciation of the Kosovo’s Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) in this period. In 2010, Kosovo’s REER appreciated against the Eurozone countries by 1.4 percent and by 2.2 percent against the CEFTA countries. Kosovo’s exports in 2009 were characterized by a significant decline driven mainly by the global crisis which had a considerable negative effect on the on the sales of base metals industry, namely nickel minerals. The recovery of the world economy in 2010 resulted in a stronger external demand for base metals. As a result, the increase of base metal prices during 2010 had a positive impact on the production level and led to the increase of the volume and amount of sales. Considering that 90 percent of metals exported from Kosovo are nickel minerals, Kosovo’s exports in 2010 recorded an annual growth of 77.8 percent, reaching the value of euro 294.0 million. Figure 32. Main categories of the structure of imports, in percentage 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% Mineral products Figure 33. Main categories of the structure of exports, in percentage The structure of imports in 2010 10% 0% was similar to the previous year (Figure 32). However, differently from last year, when imports of mineral products (mainly fuel) recorded an annual decline of 12.5 2009 2010 Source: CBK (2011) percent, the import of mineral products in 2010 recorded an annual growth of 26.5 percent, thus contributing by around 4.5 pp to the overall growth of imports. The share of mineral products to total imports in 2010 increased to 19.5 percent (17.1 percent in 2009). The import of machinery and equipment products also recorded an annual growth of 3.4 percent in 2010, but its share to total imports decreased to 13.4 percent (14.4 percent in 2009). Base metals and food products remain important categories of Kosovo imports, and their share to total imports in 2010 was 8.9 and 12.2 percent, respectively. Base metals The structure of exports in 2010 was dominated by base metals, with a share of 63.0 percent of total exports, compared to 53.5 percent in December 2009 (Figure 33). The recovery of external demand and the increase of prices in the metal industry in international markets had a positive impact in the significant growth of base metals exports, which, in December 2010, reached at euro 185.2 million (euro 88.4 million in December 2009), contributing by 58.6 pp to overall growth of Kosovo’s exports. The increase of overall exports in 2010 was also due to the growth by 55.3 percent of mineral products exports, which represented 13.2 percent of total exports. Machinery and equipment exports (mainly consisting of the exports of electricity) represent 3.6 percent of Machinery Mineral products Alco. beverages Source: CBK (2011) Base metals Machinery Chemicals Vegetables Transportation means Alco. beverages Plastic, rubber 2009 2010 Vegetables Leather products Livestock Textile Stone, ceramic
CBK Annual Report 2010 total exports. Unlike last year, when machinery and equipment export recorded an annual decline of 18.0 percent, exports of this category recorded an annual growth of 48.8 percent in 2010. The classification of the imported 32.2 31.7 30% 31.4 31.1 products according to their final 20% use or Broad Economic Categories 10% 16.6 17.1 15.1 10.8 (BEC) was similar to the previous 0% 2007 2008 2009 2010 year. According to this Capital goods Intermediary goods Consumption goods Unclassified goods classification, the intermediate Source: CBK (2011) goods represent the largest category with a share of 47.9 percent of total imports, followed by consumption goods with a share of 31.1 percent of total imports (Figure 34). The relatively high share of intermediate goods in the overall imports indicates that the production activity in the Kosovo’s economy considerably depends on the import of raw materials from abroad. Also, the increase of the share of consumption goods to total imports continuously indicates a low level of domestic production. The share of capital goods to total imports decreased to 10.8 percent in 2010 compared to 15.1 percent in 2009, in spite of the faster growth of investments in the country during 2010. The structure of Kosovo’s trading partners in 2010 was similar to the previous years. In 2010, Kosovo realized around 74.7 percent of total trade with the European Union (EU) and with CEFTA member countries. The recovery of the demand in EU countries, especially in the second half of 2010, made Kosovo exports to these countries record a higher growth compared to export to the region countries. The noncompliance with CEFTA Figure 34. Imports by BEC 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 9.2 10.1 12.9 10.2 41.9 41.1 40.6 47.9 Figure 35. Structure of exports by trading partners, in percentage 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 0.4 0.3 agreement, for political reasons, by Serbia and Bosnia and Herzegovina continued to obstruct Kosovo’s exports to these countries also during 2010. In addition to the problems related to the implementation of the CEFTA agreement, as of end 2010, also Kosovo’s status as a favored country for trade with EU has expired, thus presenting another obstacle for Kosovo’s firms to penetrate the external markets. Kosovo’s exports towards EU reached at euro 131.5 million in 2010, which represents an annual growth of 84.4 percent. Consequently, the share of Kosovo’s exports to EU increased to 44.7 percent, compared to 43.1 percent in the previous year (Figure 35). Among the EU counties, Italy represents the main destination for Kosovo’s exports, with a share of 27.3 percent of total exports. The largest part of exports to Italy consists of nickel minerals. Exports to Germany, Austria and Slovenia have also increased their share to total exports. 0.4 Source: CBK 2011 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.4 2007 2008 2009 2010 EU CEFTA Other | 51
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- Page 5 and 6: CBK Annual Report 2010 CONTENTS Cov
- Page 7 and 8: CBK Annual Report 2010 LIST OF ABBR
- Page 9 and 10: CBK Annual Report 2010 LIST OF FIGU
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- Page 13 and 14: CBK Annual Report 2010 Cover Letter
- Page 15 and 16: CBK Annual Report 2010 Governor’s
- Page 17 and 18: CBK Annual Report 2010 Central Bank
- Page 19 and 20: CBK Annual Report 2010 Organization
- Page 21 and 22: CBK Annual Report 2010 1. Executive
- Page 23 and 24: CBK Annual Report 2010 2. External
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- Page 29 and 30: CBK Annual Report 2010 On the other
- Page 31 and 32: CBK Annual Report 2010 marking an a
- Page 33 and 34: CBK Annual Report 2010 Financial se
- Page 35 and 36: CBK Annual Report 2010 securities c
- Page 37 and 38: CBK Annual Report 2010 Regarding th
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- Page 51: CBK Annual Report 2010 3.4.1 Curren
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- Page 57 and 58: CBK Annual Report 2010 3.4.2.1 Fore
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- Page 61 and 62: CBK Annual Report 2010 c) Exchange
- Page 63 and 64: CBK Annual Report 2010 4.1.2 Method
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<strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2010</strong><br />
CBK<br />
50 |<br />
countries. The inflation rate in Kosovo was by around 4.8 pp higher than in the CEFTA and<br />
EU countries, leading to an appreciation of the Kosovo’s Real Effective Exchange Rate<br />
(REER) in this period. In <strong>2010</strong>, Kosovo’s REER appreciated against the Eurozone countries<br />
by 1.4 percent and by 2.2 percent against the CEFTA countries.<br />
Kosovo’s exports in 2009 were<br />
characterized by a significant<br />
decline driven mainly by the global<br />
crisis which had a considerable<br />
negative effect on the on the sales<br />
of base metals industry, namely<br />
nickel minerals. The recovery of<br />
the world economy in <strong>2010</strong><br />
resulted in a stronger external<br />
demand for base metals. As a<br />
result, the increase of base metal<br />
prices during <strong>2010</strong> had a positive<br />
impact on the production level and<br />
led to the increase of the volume<br />
and amount of sales. Considering<br />
that 90 percent of metals exported<br />
from Kosovo are nickel minerals,<br />
Kosovo’s exports in <strong>2010</strong> recorded<br />
an annual growth of 77.8 percent,<br />
reaching the value of euro 294.0<br />
million.<br />
Figure 32. Main categories of the structure of imports,<br />
in percentage<br />
25%<br />
20%<br />
15%<br />
10%<br />
5%<br />
0%<br />
70%<br />
60%<br />
50%<br />
40%<br />
30%<br />
20%<br />
Mineral products<br />
Figure 33. Main categories of the structure of exports,<br />
in percentage<br />
The structure of imports in <strong>2010</strong><br />
10%<br />
0%<br />
was similar to the previous year<br />
(Figure 32). However, differently<br />
from last year, when imports of<br />
mineral products (mainly fuel)<br />
recorded an annual decline of 12.5<br />
2009 <strong>2010</strong><br />
Source: CBK (<strong>2011</strong>)<br />
percent, the import of mineral<br />
products in <strong>2010</strong> recorded an annual growth of 26.5 percent, thus contributing by around<br />
4.5 pp to the overall growth of imports. The share of mineral products to total imports in<br />
<strong>2010</strong> increased to 19.5 percent (17.1 percent in 2009). The import of machinery and<br />
equipment products also recorded an annual growth of 3.4 percent in <strong>2010</strong>, but its share to<br />
total imports decreased to 13.4 percent (14.4 percent in 2009). Base metals and food<br />
products remain important categories of Kosovo imports, and their share to total imports in<br />
<strong>2010</strong> was 8.9 and 12.2 percent, respectively.<br />
Base metals<br />
The structure of exports in <strong>2010</strong> was dominated by base metals, with a share of 63.0<br />
percent of total exports, compared to 53.5 percent in December 2009 (Figure 33). The<br />
recovery of external demand and the increase of prices in the metal industry in<br />
international markets had a positive impact in the significant growth of base metals<br />
exports, which, in December <strong>2010</strong>, reached at euro 185.2 million (euro 88.4 million in<br />
December 2009), contributing by 58.6 pp to overall growth of Kosovo’s exports.<br />
The increase of overall exports in <strong>2010</strong> was also due to the growth by 55.3 percent of<br />
mineral products exports, which represented 13.2 percent of total exports. Machinery and<br />
equipment exports (mainly consisting of the exports of electricity) represent 3.6 percent of<br />
Machinery<br />
Mineral products<br />
Alco. beverages<br />
Source: CBK (<strong>2011</strong>)<br />
Base metals<br />
Machinery<br />
Chemicals<br />
Vegetables<br />
Transportation<br />
means<br />
Alco. beverages<br />
Plastic, rubber<br />
2009 <strong>2010</strong><br />
Vegetables<br />
Leather products<br />
Livestock<br />
Textile<br />
Stone, ceramic