Annual Report 2010 03 August 2011 - Banka Qendrore e ...

Annual Report 2010 03 August 2011 - Banka Qendrore e ... Annual Report 2010 03 August 2011 - Banka Qendrore e ...

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Annual Report 2010 CBK portfolio increases the need for further development of credit risk assessment capacities at the commercial banks, in order to ensure that that further expansion of lending by banks is conducted on sound lending practices, by not jeopardizing the system’s performance. The structure of NPL has constantly been dominated by loans classified as ‘loss’. However, in December 2010, the share of these loans to total NPL was 59.5 percent or 12.5 pp lower compared to 2009. Whereas, the share of loans classified as ‘doubtful’ increased to 40.5 percent of total NPL. In 2010, loans classified as ‘loss’ increased by euro 10.8 million (27.3 percent), while loans classified as ‘doubtful’ increased by euro 19 million (122.5 percent). Regarding the structure of NPL in terms of economic agents, it can be noticed that during 2010, the household loan portfolio has not experienced any change with regard to the quality compared to the previous year (Figure 21). On the other hand, the portfolio of loans designated to non-financial corporations was characterized with higher sensitivity towards economic difficulties that appeared as a consequence of the financial crisis. During this period, 5.3 percent of loans to enterprises were classified as NPL, which represents a growth of 0.2 pp compared to 2009. Kosovo’s banking system has Figure 22. NPL and provisions continuously shown to be 7% conservative in terms of NPL coverage with loan loss provisions. In December 2009, coverage ratio of NPL with loan loss provisions stood at 125 percent, whereas the average for the last four years was 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 130 percent (Figure 22). In 1% December 2010, provisions 0% amounted at euro 93.2 million, compared to euro 77.4 million in December 2009. The high level of NPL/Total loans Source: CBK (2011) NPL coverage ratio indicates that the actual level of NPL does not threat the stability of the banking system. December 2007 December 2008 December 2009 December 2010 Provisions/NPL (right axis) 160% 140% 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 42 | iii. Solvency risk Figure 23. Capital adequacy of banking sector One of the most important 20% 16.9% 16.7% indicators for measuring the 18% 17.9% 18.7% banking system sustainability is the Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR). In 2010, Kosovo’s banking system increased its CAR to 18.7 percent compared to 17.9 percent in 2009 (Figure 23). This level is quite satisfactory considering that it is well above the minimal level of 12 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% December 2007 December 2008 December 2009 December 2010 percent that is required by the CAR Tier 1 capital/risk-weighted assets Capital/Assets ratio CBK regulative. All commercial Source: CBK (2011) banks operating in Kosovo are well capitalized and do not have any difficulty to fulfil the criterion of 12 percent for the CAR. The increase of this indicator during 2010 was driven by the faster growth of capital (13

CBK Annual Report 2010 percent in 2010) compared to the growth of Risk-Weighted Assets (RWA), which increased by 9 percent in 2010. During 2010, banks increased the investments in securities, which convey lower risk compared to other categories, thus contributing to the slowdown of the RWA growth. Figure 24. Total banking system capital In the end of 2010, the total amount of banking system capital was euro 271.4 million, compared to euro 240.2 million in the same period of 2009. Since December 2008, the capital of the banking system followed an increasing trend, but the growth rate continuously slowed down (Figure 24). The main source of financing for the banking system’s capital continues to be the shareholders capital with a share of 62.8 percent, followed by the retained profit by banks with a share of 21.9 percent. Based on CBK rule number I 10 , in 250 December 2010, banks were 200 obliged to maintain the level of capital at euro 175.3 million. 150 100 However, banks operating in Kosovo continuously kept a higher level of regulative capital than 50 0 required by the CBK. In December 2010, the total regulative capital was euro 271.4 million, which Source: CBK (2011) represents a surplus of regulative capital amounting at euro 96.1 million (Figure 25). 3.3.2.4.1. Stress-test analysis 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 The satisfactory position of the Kosovo’s banking system with regard to the sustainability against the credit and liquidity risk is confirmed also by the stress-test analysis. The results presented in this report are based on December 2010 data on commercial banks operating in Kosovo. This part provides an analysis of the sensitivity of the banking system against credit risk, combined with the interest rate and exchange rate risks. The sensitivity against the liquidity risk was also tested, based on hypothetic assumptions on the withdrawal of deposits from the banking system. 33.4% 15.9% 13.0% December 2008 December 2009 December 2010 Capital Source: CBK (2011) Annual growth rate of capital Figure 25. Total capital and regulatory capital, in millions of euro 300 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% December 2007 December 2009 December 2009 December 2010 Regulatory capital Capital 5% 0% i. Stress-test results - credit risk In assessing the banking system sensitivity against the credit risk, it is assumed that the share of Non-Performing Loans (NPL) to total banking system loans will increase by 4.5pp, 10 According to the CBK Rule 1, banks are obliged to maintain a capital to RWA ratio of at least 12 percent. | 43

CBK<br />

<strong>Annual</strong> <strong>Report</strong> <strong>2010</strong><br />

percent in <strong>2010</strong>) compared to the growth of Risk-Weighted Assets (RWA), which increased<br />

by 9 percent in <strong>2010</strong>. During <strong>2010</strong>, banks increased the investments in securities, which<br />

convey lower risk compared to other categories, thus contributing to the slowdown of the<br />

RWA growth.<br />

Figure 24. Total banking system capital<br />

In the end of <strong>2010</strong>, the total<br />

amount of banking system capital<br />

was euro 271.4 million, compared<br />

to euro 240.2 million in the same<br />

period of 2009. Since December<br />

2008, the capital of the banking<br />

system followed an increasing<br />

trend, but the growth rate<br />

continuously slowed down (Figure<br />

24). The main source of financing<br />

for the banking system’s capital<br />

continues to be the shareholders<br />

capital with a share of 62.8<br />

percent, followed by the retained<br />

profit by banks with a share of<br />

21.9 percent.<br />

Based on CBK rule number I 10 , in 250<br />

December <strong>2010</strong>, banks were 200<br />

obliged to maintain the level of<br />

capital at euro 175.3 million.<br />

150<br />

100<br />

However, banks operating in<br />

Kosovo continuously kept a higher<br />

level of regulative capital than<br />

50<br />

0<br />

required by the CBK. In December<br />

<strong>2010</strong>, the total regulative capital<br />

was euro 271.4 million, which Source: CBK (<strong>2011</strong>)<br />

represents a surplus of regulative<br />

capital amounting at euro 96.1 million (Figure 25).<br />

3.3.2.4.1. Stress-test analysis<br />

300<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

The satisfactory position of the Kosovo’s banking system with regard to the sustainability<br />

against the credit and liquidity risk is confirmed also by the stress-test analysis. The<br />

results presented in this report are based on December <strong>2010</strong> data on commercial banks<br />

operating in Kosovo. This part provides an analysis of the sensitivity of the banking system<br />

against credit risk, combined with the interest rate and exchange rate risks. The sensitivity<br />

against the liquidity risk was also tested, based on hypothetic assumptions on the<br />

withdrawal of deposits from the banking system.<br />

33.4%<br />

15.9%<br />

13.0%<br />

December 2008 December 2009 December <strong>2010</strong><br />

Capital<br />

Source: CBK (<strong>2011</strong>)<br />

<strong>Annual</strong> growth rate of capital<br />

Figure 25. Total capital and regulatory capital, in<br />

millions of euro<br />

300<br />

40%<br />

35%<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

December 2007 December 2009 December 2009 December <strong>2010</strong><br />

Regulatory capital<br />

Capital<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

i. Stress-test results - credit risk<br />

In assessing the banking system sensitivity against the credit risk, it is assumed that the<br />

share of Non-Performing Loans (NPL) to total banking system loans will increase by 4.5pp,<br />

10 According to the CBK Rule 1, banks are obliged to maintain a capital to RWA ratio of at least 12 percent.<br />

| 43

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