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Christoph Mueller, Aer Lingus CEO

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<strong>Christoph</strong> <strong>Mueller</strong>, <strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong> <strong>CEO</strong><br />

26 August 2010


Disclaimer | Forward Looking Information<br />

Certain information included in these statements is forward-looking and involves risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ<br />

materially from those expressed or implied by the forward looking statements.<br />

Forward-looking statements include, without limitation, projections relating to results of operations and financial conditions and the Company's<br />

plans and objectives for future operations, including, without limitation, discussions of the Company's Business Plan programs, expected future<br />

revenues, financing plans and expected expenditures and divestments. All forward-looking statements in this report are based upon information<br />

known to the Company on the date of this report. Due to such uncertainties and risks, you should not place undue reliance on such forwardlooking<br />

statements, which speak only as at the date of this report. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any<br />

forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law or by any appropriate<br />

regulatory authority.<br />

It is not reasonably possible to itemise all of the many factors and specific events that could cause the Company's forward looking statements to<br />

be incorrect or that could otherwise have a material adverse effect on the future operations or results of an airline operating in the global<br />

economy. Among the factors that are subject to change and could significantly impact the Company’s expected results are the fuel costs,<br />

competition from new and existing carriers, costs associated with environmental, safety and security measures, actions of governments and<br />

regulatory authorities, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and interest rates, airport access and charges, industrial relations, the economic<br />

environment of the airline industry and the general economic environment in the markets to which the Company operates.<br />

Slide 2


Welcome & introduction


Who we are<br />

<strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong> overview<br />

• Headquartered in Dublin, Ireland<br />

• We will celebrate our 75 th birthday in 2011<br />

• We operate 44 aircraft on routes to destinations in the UK, Europe<br />

and North America<br />

• We carried 10.4 million passengers in 2009<br />

• We connect Ireland with the world by offering the best product in<br />

the Irish airline market at a competitive price to passengers<br />

• We serve both leisure and business travellers with a quality core<br />

product that can be augmented through a la carte paid options<br />

• Unlike some low cost operators, we serve central airport locations<br />

enhancing connectivity options for our passengers<br />

• We offer this airport selection at more competitive fares than most<br />

legacy carriers<br />

<strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong> | 26 August 2010<br />

4


Phases in the <strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong> story<br />

The recent<br />

past<br />

Immediate<br />

actions to<br />

address issues<br />

Delivering<br />

results in H1<br />

2010<br />

Re-positioning<br />

Profitable<br />

growth<br />

<strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong> | 26 August 2010<br />

5


The recent past


Yr-on-yr movements in GDP & passenger traffic remain linked – except<br />

for Ireland<br />

Dublin Airport ¹ London Heathrow & Stansted ¹<br />

0.0%<br />

(5.0%)<br />

(10.0%)<br />

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1<br />

2009 2010<br />

2.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

(2.0%)<br />

(4.0%)<br />

(6.0%)<br />

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1<br />

2009 2010<br />

(8.0%)<br />

(15.0%)<br />

(10.0%)<br />

Irish GDP<br />

Dublin<br />

UK GDP<br />

London Heathrow & Stantsed<br />

Frankfurt Airport ¹ Charles de Gaulle & Orly ¹<br />

5.0%<br />

5.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

(5.0%)<br />

(10.0%)<br />

(15.0%)<br />

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1<br />

2009 2010<br />

0.0%<br />

(5.0%)<br />

(10.0%)<br />

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1<br />

2009 2010<br />

German GDP<br />

Frankfurt<br />

French GDP<br />

CDG & Orly<br />

10.0%<br />

5.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

(5.0%)<br />

(10.0%)<br />

(15.0%)<br />

Schipol Airport ¹<br />

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1<br />

2009 2010<br />

Dutch GDP Schipol<br />

Comment<br />

• GDP trends continue to correlate closely<br />

with passenger traffic in most European<br />

territories except Ireland<br />

• Outlook remains uncertain & IATA note<br />

that the “post recession re-bound may be<br />

slowing”<br />

<strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong> | 26 August 2010<br />

¹ Growth compared to same quarter of previous year<br />

7


Core Irish market conditions remain difficult<br />

Comment<br />

• Demand conditions remain weak<br />

in <strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong>’ core Irish market.<br />

Change in Passenger Numbers May 2010<br />

Across all airports in the country (ranked by market size)<br />

• However, the underlying trend of<br />

air travel to & from Ireland is well<br />

established and ranks significantly<br />

ahead of European peers:<br />

Country Pop. Air Pax Multiple<br />

Ireland 4.5m 26.3m 5.8x<br />

UK 61.6m 198.5 3.2x<br />

Germany 82.0m 158.2m 1.9x<br />

France 64.7m 117,.6m 1.8x<br />

EU 27 500.0m 751.4m 1.5x<br />

Source: Anna <strong>Aer</strong>o<br />

<strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong> | 26 August 2010<br />

8


Immediate actions - to address demanding trading conditions<br />

Difficult to stop losses when Irish GDP declines by (7%)<br />

but we took corrective action<br />

Capacity<br />

Long haul capacity reduced by 22% in the second half of 2009<br />

Yield<br />

Focus is higher yields per passenger rather than simply<br />

increasing passenger loads on aircraft<br />

Bases<br />

Gatwick losses deemed unacceptable & capacity scale-back<br />

announced in January 2010<br />

<strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong> | 26 August 2010<br />

Slide 9


Immediate actions – “Greenfield” cost reduction programme launched<br />

• Greenfield is significant and it is organisation wide<br />

Greenfield - €97m cost savings<br />

• €97m of cost savings<br />

– €74m from staff cost and €23m of other savings<br />

• Cost base reduction target<br />

Workforce - 20%<br />

Back office functions - 40%<br />

Management positions - 40%<br />

• Reduction of 170 of 600 Head Office building / support staff in<br />

2011 / 2012<br />

• Non-Greenfield actions will be supported by IT investment<br />

and process re-engineering from 2011<br />

• 10% salary reduction<br />

• Pay freeze until 2012 / 2013<br />

– Pay freeze will potentially avoid additional costs<br />

Airline<br />

€2m<br />

€10m<br />

€3m<br />

€4m €3m<br />

€9m<br />

€30m<br />

Cost Reduction<br />

2009/10<br />

€20m<br />

% of Revenue<br />

(FY YE)<br />

Other = €23m<br />

€16m<br />

Cabin Crew Support Pilots<br />

Advertising Airport Charges Mtnce<br />

Other Staff Other Non-Staff Distribution<br />

Source: Company information<br />

Sector cost reductions<br />

Staff = €74m<br />

% of Op Cost<br />

(FY YE)<br />

British Airw ays £220m 2.40% 2.60%<br />

Air France €700m 2.90% 3.10%<br />

<strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong> €97m 7.15% 7.44%<br />

Source: Company announcements (FY YE =last reported). Note (2):<br />

Excludes restructuring costs<br />

(2)<br />

Larger relative cost reduction programme than competitors<br />

Slide 10


Delivering results in H1 2010


H1 2010 – Delivering positive performance in difficult conditions<br />

H1 2010 highlights<br />

• Improved performance despite air space<br />

closures & still declining demand in<br />

primary Irish market<br />

• Significant swing in Q2 2010 profitability<br />

compared to prior year<br />

• Both long haul & short haul operations<br />

were positive at EBITDAR level in H1<br />

2010<br />

€m<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

Operating profit<br />

Q1 Q2 H1<br />

19<br />

• Upward trajectory in unit revenue trend<br />

(20)<br />

(18)<br />

(19)<br />

• Affirmation of revised approach to<br />

inventory & network management<br />

(40)<br />

(60)<br />

(38)<br />

• Financial position remains very robust<br />

• Extremely robust cash position of over<br />

€1bn at end of June 2010<br />

(80)<br />

(100)<br />

(75)<br />

(93)<br />

• However, cost reduction programme<br />

remains critical<br />

2009 2010<br />

<strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong> | 26 August 2010<br />

Slide 12


H1 2010 | Business overview<br />

Commercial highlights<br />

• Following a challenging 2009, the first 6 months of 2010 witnessed the<br />

turnaround of long haul operations with increased seat occupancy and higher<br />

yields.<br />

• Short haul performance was supported by a shift in customer booking<br />

patterns to dates closer to the flight departure.<br />

• Commercial impact of air space closures in Q2 2010 has been successfully<br />

mitigated and the forward booking profile has recovered.<br />

• Both long haul and short haul operations are now benefiting from remedial<br />

actions taken in late 2009 and early 2010.<br />

<strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong> | 26 August 2010<br />

13


Long haul turnaround supported by network management<br />

Long haul performance overview<br />

• Demand opportunity developed via network management and partnership.<br />

• Connecting traffic flows complementing point to point demand.<br />

• Revenue management and pricing strategy adjusted to reflect this new<br />

demand environment.<br />

• Consistent on-board product introduced across A330 fleet.<br />

• Strong unit revenue improvement delivered by combination of yield and load<br />

factor improvements.<br />

• Cargo volumes continue to improve year-on-year<br />

<strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong> | 26 August 2010<br />

14


Long haul turnaround supported by network management<br />

Long haul yield per ASK growth vs. 2009 Long haul ASK capacity vs. 2009<br />

36.5%<br />

31.1%<br />

Q1 10 Q2 10 H1 10<br />

23.5%<br />

Q1 10 Q2 10 H1 10<br />

(31.8%) (31.3%) (31.6%)<br />

Long haul yield per passenger growth vs. 2009<br />

Long haul load factor vs. 2009<br />

20.9%<br />

17.5%<br />

+ 6.4 pts<br />

+ 5.2 pts<br />

12.4%<br />

+ 3.8 pts<br />

Q1 10 Q2 10 H1 10<br />

Q1 10 Q2 10 H1 10<br />

H1 2010 Results | August 2010<br />

15


Strong short haul yield growth in H1 2010<br />

Performance overview<br />

• Management of revenue per seat metric and not yield or load factor.<br />

• Demand led capacity planning and deployment.<br />

• Flight schedules adjusted to reflect time or price sensitive market<br />

requirements.<br />

• Underlying or natural demand managed with reduced reliance on promotional<br />

activity.<br />

<strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong> | 26 August 2010<br />

16


Strong short haul yield growth in H1 2010<br />

Short haul yield per ASK growth vs. 2009 Short haul ASK capacity vs. 2009<br />

10.2%<br />

4.9%<br />

4.3%<br />

Q1 10 Q2 10 H1 10<br />

(5.3%)<br />

Q1 10 Q2 10 H1 10<br />

(2.2%)<br />

(12.8%)<br />

Short haul yield per passenger growth vs. 2009<br />

13.8%<br />

Short haul load factor vs. 2009<br />

Q1 10 Q2 10 H1 10<br />

9.0%<br />

3.0%<br />

Q1 10 Q2 10 H1 10<br />

(1.8) pts<br />

(1.5) pts<br />

(1.9) pts<br />

H1 2010 Results | August 2010<br />

17


H1 2010 | Ancillary revenue growth<br />

Overview<br />

• Continued growth in ancillary revenue<br />

per passenger with a 7.8% increase in<br />

H1 2010 compared to corresponding<br />

period in 2009.<br />

• Volume decline resulting from planned<br />

capacity reduction contributed to 3.9%<br />

decline in total ancillary revenue.<br />

Ancillary revenue per passenger - €<br />

18.32<br />

16.99 16.75<br />

14.97<br />

14.35<br />

11.50 11.70<br />

• Strong year-on-year performances from:<br />

• Online booking fees<br />

• Baggage fees<br />

• Card fees<br />

• Seat selection revenues<br />

H1 07 FY 07 H1 08 FY 08 H1 09 FY 09 H1 10<br />

• New fare family and bundled products<br />

being trialled at present.<br />

<strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong> | 26 August 2010<br />

18


H1 2010 | EBITDAR costs<br />

€m unless stated otherwise<br />

H1 2010<br />

€m<br />

H1 2009<br />

€m<br />

Change<br />

%<br />

Direct operating Costs 46.0 46.9 (1.9%)<br />

Distribution costs 24.9 26.1 (4.6%)<br />

Airport charges 117.6 121.4 (3.1%)<br />

En-route charges 26.9 28.2 (4.6%)<br />

Maintenance 23.7 37.2 (36.3%)<br />

FX hedging (gain) / loss (15.3) (20.7) (26.1%)<br />

Total ex-staff & fuel costs 223.9 239.0 (6.3%)<br />

Staff costs 135.7 152.1 (10.8%)<br />

Total ex-fuel 359.5 391.1 (8.1%)<br />

Fuel 132.1 189.6 (30.3%)<br />

Total incl. fuel 491.6 580.7 (15.3%)<br />

H1 2010 Results | August 2010 19


H1 2010 | Cash & debt<br />

€m Cash Debt<br />

Balance as at 31 st December 2009 828.5 492.6<br />

Free cashflow 56.3 -<br />

Net debt drawn / (repaid) 40.8 40.8<br />

FX impact 75.6 70.6<br />

Interest accrued 8.5 4.1<br />

Balance as at 30 th June 2010 1,009.7 608.2<br />

Restricted cash 59.5<br />

H1 2010 Results | August 2010 20


Ash cloud disruption - cost of air space closures has been contained<br />

Ash cloud response<br />

• <strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong> reacted effectively to<br />

unprecedented closure of Northern<br />

European airspace in April & May<br />

• Management confident that the total<br />

impact on <strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong>’ operating result<br />

will be a maximum of €20m<br />

• Total cost as percentage of revenues<br />

is in line with peers<br />

No. of <strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong><br />

flights disrupted<br />

Disruption periods<br />

Estimated lost gross<br />

margin<br />

Estimated passenger<br />

compensation costs<br />

• 2,128<br />

• 2 significant periods of<br />

disruption in April & May<br />

• Approx. €10.0 million<br />

• Approx. €10.0 million<br />

AF-KLM¹<br />

Air Berlin¹<br />

BA¹<br />

<strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong>¹<br />

Ryanair¹<br />

easyjet¹<br />

€158m impact<br />

€40m impact<br />

Stg£142m impact<br />

€20m impact<br />

€50m impact<br />

Stg£65m impact<br />

0.8% of revenues<br />

1.2% of revenues<br />

1.4% of revenues<br />

1.7% of revenues<br />

1.7% of revenues<br />

2.4% of revenues<br />

¹ Derived from company announcements & most recent annual financial statements<br />

<strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong> | 26 August 2010<br />

21


Re-positioning for long term growth


Next steps to implementing our new strategy<br />

Satisfying customer needs<br />

Bespoke a la carte enhancements<br />

Fare families<br />

Introduction of EPOS handsets to<br />

further drive ancillary revenues<br />

Working with the Dublin Airport Authority<br />

State of the Art terminal will welcome visitors to Ireland<br />

Development of Dublin Airport as a strategic transfer point<br />

<strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong> | 26 August 2010<br />

Slide 23


Re-positioning <strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong> for long term growth<br />

Network<br />

Focus on our core mission:<br />

“Connecting Ireland with the World”<br />

Distribution<br />

Multi-platform strategy adopted to<br />

individual markets<br />

Product<br />

Quality core product with paid value<br />

enhancing options<br />

<strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong> | 26 August 2010<br />

Slide 24


Next steps to implementing our new strategy<br />

Connectivity<br />

“Filling-in” our existing short haul<br />

network<br />

<strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong> code now extended<br />

across North America<br />

<strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong> | 26 August 2010<br />

Slide 25


<strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong>’ role in industry consolidation<br />

• Network connectivity is key for us as we seek to connect Ireland to the World<br />

• <strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong> benefits from excellent relationships with members of the<br />

Oneworld, Star & SkyTeam alliances as well as our own partnership initiatives<br />

OneWorld Star SkyTeam Bilateral<br />

• These relationships provide us with a quality partner network with real depth<br />

• Asian connectivity remains the main gap in our current network<br />

• We are likely to join one of the 3 alliances in the medium term but no<br />

decision has yet been taken<br />

We will evaluate which of the 3 alliances is best suited to deliver a better<br />

product for our customers and a return on investment for shareholders<br />

<strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong> | 26 August 2010<br />

Slide 26


Partnerships Update<br />

United Airlines extended<br />

code share<br />

• Washington – Madrid commenced on 28<br />

March 2010<br />

<strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong> Regional<br />

franchise<br />

• Launched by <strong>Aer</strong> Arann in March with 4 of<br />

its aircraft serving 12 routes<br />

• Positive trading result at operating profit<br />

level<br />

• 100K+ passengers carried to date<br />

• Performance meeting United Airlines’<br />

and <strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong>’ expectations<br />

• Meeting <strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong> network and franchise<br />

revenue expectations<br />

• Partners are reviewing opportunities for<br />

an additional aircraft in 2011<br />

• 5th ATR72 added to franchise by <strong>Aer</strong><br />

Arann in August to commence Shannon<br />

services.<br />

Both initiatives have already positively impacted the operating result despite<br />

only commencing in late March 2010<br />

<strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong> | 26 August 2010<br />

27


“Greenfield” cost reduction programme remains imperative<br />

Cost challenge<br />

• Continuing challenge is to actively control upward cost pressures<br />

• Fuel costs are volatile over time<br />

Operating<br />

environment<br />

remains difficult<br />

• A busy Summer season does not represent easing of operating<br />

environment & return to pre-recession demand levels<br />

• 2010/11 winter season will be more a difficult period to sustain<br />

recent yield performance<br />

We cannot be<br />

complacent on<br />

costs<br />

• Cannot assume recent growth in yields will continue indefinitely<br />

• Industry is already adding capacity with effect on long term yields<br />

• Yields maximisation cannot compensate for cost inflation<br />

H1 2010 Results | August 2010<br />

28


Decisive action taken on key issues<br />

Transatlantic<br />

services<br />

• Turnaround of long haul operations a crucial step for the company<br />

• Action taken to address loss making Shannon winter services<br />

• <strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong> remains committed to Shannon transatlantic services for rest of year<br />

Dublin Airport<br />

Terminal 2<br />

• Agreement with DAA to commence transfer of operations from November 2010<br />

• <strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong> passengers to benefit from US Custom & Border Protection facilities<br />

Property<br />

consolidation<br />

• Positive steps taken to reduce property portfolio<br />

• Includes surrender of leasehold interest in the Head Office Building site to DAA<br />

• Financial & operational benefits will accrue to <strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong><br />

Dublin<br />

Maintenance<br />

• Base maintenance contract awarded to Dublin <strong>Aer</strong>ospace<br />

• Services previously undertaken by Sabena Technics in France<br />

• <strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong> proud to support development of Irish air maintenance activities<br />

Management<br />

changes<br />

• Chief Operating Officer – Trevor Jensen – appointed on 29 April 2010<br />

• De-layering of organisational structure under way<br />

• 40% of remaining management positions with new appointments<br />

H1 2010 Results | August 2010<br />

29


<strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong> | Progress on key objectives<br />

• Significant turnaround in profitability of long haul operations<br />

<br />

• Revised revenue management strategy is generating positive results<br />

<br />

• Financial and operational impact of ash cloud disruption contained<br />

<br />

• United Airlines extended code share is delivering proof of concept<br />

<br />

• Cargo performance continues on positive trajectory<br />

<br />

• IT implementation remains on track<br />

<br />

<strong>Aer</strong> <strong>Lingus</strong> | 26 August 2010<br />

30


2010 Trading outlook<br />

Outlook comments<br />

• Cash drain addressed through remedial actions<br />

• Strategic actions are on track<br />

• Strong commercial performance at end of H1 2010<br />

• Full year operating result (before exceptional items) should be no worse than breakeven<br />

• However, this view is heavily dependent on delivery of committed staff productivity savings and no<br />

significant disruptions to operations from industrial action or further airspace closures<br />

• It is premature to provide firm guidance on likely performance in 2011. However….<br />

• Expected improvement in 2011 costs as a result of continued implementation of Greenfield<br />

programme<br />

H1 2010 Results | August 2010<br />

31


Q & A


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