The Global Rail Market Now to 2016 - Roland Berger
The Global Rail Market Now to 2016 - Roland Berger The Global Rail Market Now to 2016 - Roland Berger
We have updated our first rail market study (2006) Rationale behind the update of the rail market study After successful reception and feedback to the first study, UNIFE decided to update and enlarge the scope of the study – The country scope was extended from 41 to 50 countries (>95% of the market) – Trends and their impact on the industry were investigated in more depth – The forecast now includes a bottom-up validation to incorporate short-term project demand into the model Overall methodology and the approach for long-term forecasting have remained unchanged as they have proven to deliver very good and stable results 2
Total rail supply market volume exceeds EUR 120 bn Key data Worldwide Rail Market Study TOTAL MARKET Average market volumes 05-07 Rail control Infrastructure Rolling stock 123 1) 10 22 37 Growth p.a. 2.0-2.5% 3.0-3.5% 2.5-3.0% 2.0-2.5% ACCESSIBLE MARKET 2) Average market volumes 05-07 Growth p.a. 86 1) 2.5-3.0% Rail control 10 3.0-3.5% Infrastructure 17 2.5-3.0% Rolling stock 31 2.0-2.5% Services 53 2.0-2.5% Services 27 3.5-4.0% 1) Figures are including market volume for project integration, Growth rates are 9-year average growth rates 2) ACCESSIBLE MARKET: Part of the market open to any external supplier 3
- Page 1: The Global Rail Market Now to 2016
- Page 5 and 6: 35% of the rail market volume origi
- Page 7 and 8: The accessible rail market is expec
- Page 9 and 10: Overall trends favor the industry's
We have updated our first rail<br />
market study (2006)<br />
Rationale behind the update of the rail market study<br />
<br />
<br />
After successful reception and feedback <strong>to</strong><br />
the first study, UNIFE decided <strong>to</strong> update and<br />
enlarge the scope of the study<br />
– <strong>The</strong> country scope was extended from<br />
41 <strong>to</strong> 50 countries (>95% of the market)<br />
– Trends and their impact on the industry<br />
were investigated in more depth<br />
– <strong>The</strong> forecast now includes a bot<strong>to</strong>m-up<br />
validation <strong>to</strong> incorporate short-term<br />
project demand in<strong>to</strong> the model<br />
Overall methodology and the approach for<br />
long-term forecasting have remained<br />
unchanged as they have proven <strong>to</strong> deliver<br />
very good and stable results<br />
2