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Supplemental IE Report RSAI Sun & Marine - Royal and Sun Alliance

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Milliman Client <strong>Report</strong><br />

3.12 The motor third party liability claims continue to give rise to significant uncertainty in the reserve level of <strong>Sun</strong>, <strong>and</strong> as<br />

such the RSA Group regards them to be high risk <strong>and</strong> of high materiality to the financial results of <strong>Sun</strong>, although not<br />

to the RSA Group.<br />

3.13 Notwithst<strong>and</strong>ing the uncertainty relating to motor third party liability claims, based on my review, the reserves of <strong>Sun</strong>,<br />

Sea <strong>and</strong> National Vulcan appear reasonable at present.<br />

THE MARINE INSURANCE COMPANY<br />

3.14 I have been provided with technical provisions for <strong>Marine</strong> as at 30 June 2011 together with an analysis of incurred<br />

movements in the period since 31 December 2010.<br />

3.15 The majority of <strong>Marine</strong>’s gross liabilities are in respect of fronting for aviation business, for which no liability is retained<br />

in <strong>Marine</strong>. There was a small release from these gross liabilities in the six months to 30 June 2011.<br />

3.16 The remainder of the liabilities are almost entirely in respect of US surplus lines business, on which overall reserves<br />

moved in line with expectations over the 6 months to 30 June 2011.<br />

3.17 I continue to be satisfied that the reserves in <strong>Marine</strong> appear reasonable at present.<br />

CONCLUSION<br />

3.18 I believe that the Schemes are unlikely to have a materially adverse impact on the reserve strength provided<br />

to policyholders affected by the Schemes.<br />

<strong>Supplemental</strong> <strong>Report</strong> of the Independent Expert 7<br />

November 30, 2011

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