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Supplemental IE Report RSAI Sun & Marine - Royal and Sun Alliance

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Milliman Client <strong>Report</strong><br />

1. INTRODUCTION<br />

1.1 I, Gary G Wells, prepared three reports (the “<strong>Report</strong>s”) to the Court dated 4 July 2011 entitled:-<br />

• “<strong>Report</strong> of the Independent Expert on the proposed transfer of some insurance business from the UK<br />

Subsidiaries of <strong>Royal</strong> & <strong>Sun</strong> <strong>Alliance</strong> Insurance plc to <strong>Royal</strong> & <strong>Sun</strong> <strong>Alliance</strong> Insurance plc” (the “<strong>Report</strong> for<br />

the <strong>RSAI</strong> Scheme”);<br />

• “<strong>Report</strong> of the Independent Expert on the proposed transfer of some insurance business from <strong>Royal</strong> & <strong>Sun</strong><br />

<strong>Alliance</strong> Insurance plc <strong>and</strong> certain UK Subsidiaries of <strong>Royal</strong> & <strong>Sun</strong> <strong>Alliance</strong> Insurance plc to The <strong>Marine</strong><br />

Insurance Company Limited” (the “<strong>Report</strong> for the MIC Scheme”); <strong>and</strong><br />

• “<strong>Report</strong> of the Independent Expert on the proposed transfer of some insurance business from the UK<br />

Subsidiaries of <strong>Royal</strong> & <strong>Sun</strong> <strong>Alliance</strong> Insurance plc to <strong>Sun</strong> Insurance Office Limited” (the “<strong>Report</strong> for the <strong>Sun</strong><br />

Scheme”).<br />

1.2 The conclusions of these <strong>Report</strong>s were based on financial information up to 31 December 2010 <strong>and</strong> other information<br />

available to me when I prepared the <strong>Report</strong>s. Since preparing the <strong>Report</strong>s I have been provided with more recent<br />

financial information <strong>and</strong> other information in respect of the relevant companies. Details of the further information I<br />

have received are set out in Appendix A.<br />

1.3 In the light of the further information available to me I am providing in this report (the “<strong>Supplemental</strong> <strong>Report</strong>”) an<br />

update on the conclusions set out in the <strong>Report</strong>s. In the <strong>Report</strong>s I stated that I would address the following in this<br />

<strong>Supplemental</strong> <strong>Report</strong>:-<br />

• The extent to which changes in assets <strong>and</strong> liabilities of the companies party to the proposed <strong>RSAI</strong>, MIC <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>Sun</strong> Schemes (collectively the “Schemes”), relative to their respective positions as at 31 December 2010,<br />

have been in line with expectations;<br />

• The effect of the proposed transfers on the transferring reinsurance asset;<br />

• My review of the RSA Group’s 2011 ICA;<br />

• Arrangements between members of the RSA Group <strong>and</strong> the Institute of London Underwriters ("ILU"); <strong>and</strong><br />

• The extent to which the operational plans of the RSA Group (relative to their respective positions as at the<br />

date of the <strong>Report</strong>s) have been in line with expectations.<br />

I have addressed all these areas below, <strong>and</strong> I also comment on the final draft terms of the post-transfers reinsurance<br />

arrangements.<br />

1.4 In addition to the reports listed in paragraph 1.1 above, I also prepared a report to the Court dated 4 July entitled<br />

“<strong>Report</strong> of the Independent Expert on the proposed transfer of the general insurance business of PA(GI) Limited to<br />

<strong>Royal</strong> & <strong>Sun</strong> <strong>Alliance</strong> Insurance plc <strong>and</strong> The <strong>Marine</strong> Insurance Company Limited” (the “<strong>Report</strong> for the PAGI<br />

Schemes”). I have produced a separate supplemental report updating my conclusions set out in the <strong>Report</strong> for the<br />

PAGI Schemes.<br />

1.5 This <strong>Supplemental</strong> <strong>Report</strong> should be read in conjunction with the <strong>Report</strong>s, as well as the <strong>Report</strong> for the PAGI<br />

Schemes <strong>and</strong> the supplemental report for the PAGI Schemes, <strong>and</strong> the full terms of the Schemes <strong>and</strong> the PAGI<br />

Schemes. This <strong>Supplemental</strong> <strong>Report</strong> has been produced on the same bases as set out at Section 1 of the <strong>Report</strong>s. In<br />

particular, it has the same scope, <strong>and</strong> is subject to the same reliances <strong>and</strong> limitations. Terms used in this<br />

<strong>Supplemental</strong> <strong>Report</strong> have the same meanings as in the <strong>Report</strong>s.<br />

1.6 Reliance has also been placed upon, but not limited to, the additional information detailed in Appendix A. My opinions<br />

depend on the substantial accuracy of this data, information <strong>and</strong> the underlying calculations. <strong>RSAI</strong> has provided me<br />

with details of the procedures <strong>and</strong> processes it uses to ensure that the data it uses for setting claims reserves <strong>and</strong> for<br />

use within their internal capital model is fit for purpose. I am satisfied that appropriate measures are in place to ensure<br />

that data is fit for purpose; I have not however undertaken checks on the data underlying the information I have been<br />

provided <strong>and</strong> give no warranty as to its accuracy. <strong>RSAI</strong> has confirmed to me in writing that to the best of its<br />

knowledge <strong>and</strong> belief all data <strong>and</strong> information it has provided to me is accurate <strong>and</strong> complete (see Letter of<br />

Representation, Appendix B).<br />

1.7 All information I have requested from the RSA Group in relation to the Schemes has been provided to me.<br />

<strong>Supplemental</strong> <strong>Report</strong> of the Independent Expert 3<br />

November 30, 2011

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